50,000,000

[jon-nyc]

For that graph, yes. 18MM people

[Jolly]

Relevant in the election?

[jon-nyc]

Note this is 18-29.

[Copper]

That is roughly double the population of that age bracket.

[LuFins Dad]

Under modern voting laws, the highest total turnout of Voter Aged Population is 62%. Over the past 40 years it’s not topped 57% and between 50-55 is typical. If turnout goes over 62% I will be extremely suspicious. If it goes over 65% I am calling shenanigans. 65% would be 172,250,000 at most. We are almost 1/3 of the way there already.

[jon-nyc]

I think we will likely break the 1908 record.

Heavy polarization leads to motivated voters.

We opened today. At a little after 5 there was still a line about 1000 ft long outside the voting place.

The credible estimate I’ve seen is 157MM

[LuFins Dad]

60% would be an insanely high turnout based on the last 60 years. I doubt 65% are even registered to vote...

I also don’t think that you can compare an era that women didn’t have the vote and both blacks and poor whites were disenfranchised.

[jon-nyc]

Well the comparison is normalized because the percentages are of eligible voters.

[jon-nyc]

Also it was 57% just 12 years ago.

I think it’s quite obvious that people are more agitated and focused today than they were then. Notwithstanding the people who thought BHO walked on water.

Two other differences- today we have social media reminding us every fucking day to register and giving us specific instructions how to do so.

Also, Covid. Everyone is home.

[jon-nyc]

@jon-nyc said in 50,000,000:

Two other differences- today we have social media reminding us every fucking day to register and giving us specific instructions how to do so.