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The New Coffee Room

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  3. For Horace - stock market will go up regardless of who wins President

For Horace - stock market will go up regardless of who wins President

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  • taiwan_girlT Offline
    taiwan_girlT Offline
    taiwan_girl
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    @Horace Lol
    (https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-soar-regardless-who-wins-election-fundstrat-president-2020-10-1029652776)

    Under either a Trump or Biden win this November, Lee expects the following:

    1. Stimulus passes.
    2. White House focuses on further economic stimulus.
    3. Virus is probably contained in mid-2021.
    4. US economy is cranking.
    5. Inflation risk rises.
    6. Investors are "risk-on."
    1 Reply Last reply
    • LarryL Offline
      LarryL Offline
      Larry
      wrote on last edited by
      #2

      https://www.ccn.com/biden-would-be-absolute-disaster-stock-market-heres-why/

      Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
      • taiwan_girlT Offline
        taiwan_girlT Offline
        taiwan_girl
        wrote on last edited by
        #3

        So, in other words, nobody knows. Lol

        However I predict that the stock market will do just fine. The economy will do just fine. We all will do just fine.

        LarryL 1 Reply Last reply
        • HoraceH Offline
          HoraceH Offline
          Horace
          wrote on last edited by
          #4

          Thanks for this update TG. It's good to know that my extraordinary wealth is safe.

          Education is extremely important.

          taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
          • HoraceH Horace

            Thanks for this update TG. It's good to know that my extraordinary wealth is safe.

            taiwan_girlT Offline
            taiwan_girlT Offline
            taiwan_girl
            wrote on last edited by
            #5

            @Horace πŸ‘πŸ»πŸ˜

            1 Reply Last reply
            • AxtremusA Away
              AxtremusA Away
              Axtremus
              wrote on last edited by
              #6

              See https://www.macrotrends.net/2481/stock-market-performance-by-president

              In percentage terms, the US stock market rose the most under these US Presidents:

              • Calvin Coolidge
              • Bill Clinton
              • Franklin Roosevelt
              • Barack Obama
              • Ronald Reagan

              If we judge them only by US stock market performance in their first 45 months in office (roughly where Trump is today), then Trump outperforms only Ronald Reagan but still underperforms Coolidge, Clinton, Roosevelt, Obama, and Eisenhower.

              LarryL 1 Reply Last reply
              • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                So, in other words, nobody knows. Lol

                However I predict that the stock market will do just fine. The economy will do just fine. We all will do just fine.

                LarryL Offline
                LarryL Offline
                Larry
                wrote on last edited by
                #7

                @taiwan_girl said in For Horace - stock market will go up regardless of who wins President:

                So, in other words, nobody knows. Lol

                However I predict that the stock market will do just fine. The economy will do just fine. We all will do just fine.

                Ok, let's see... Biden has stated on the record multiple times that he will raise taxes on corporations, reinstate all the regulations that were killing the economy, and spend until trillions of dollars chasing every goony left wing wet dream out there, and you think none of that will cut into profits, or drive business out of the country again......

                Bwaaaahahahahaaaaaaa

                1 Reply Last reply
                • AxtremusA Axtremus

                  See https://www.macrotrends.net/2481/stock-market-performance-by-president

                  In percentage terms, the US stock market rose the most under these US Presidents:

                  • Calvin Coolidge
                  • Bill Clinton
                  • Franklin Roosevelt
                  • Barack Obama
                  • Ronald Reagan

                  If we judge them only by US stock market performance in their first 45 months in office (roughly where Trump is today), then Trump outperforms only Ronald Reagan but still underperforms Coolidge, Clinton, Roosevelt, Obama, and Eisenhower.

                  LarryL Offline
                  LarryL Offline
                  Larry
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #8

                  @Axtremus said in For Horace - stock market will go up regardless of who wins President:

                  See https://www.macrotrends.net/2481/stock-market-performance-by-president

                  In percentage terms, the US stock market rose the most under these US Presidents:

                  • Calvin Coolidge
                  • Bill Clinton
                  • Franklin Roosevelt
                  • Barack Obama
                  • Ronald Reagan

                  If we judge them only by US stock market performance in their first 45 months in office (roughly where Trump is today), then Trump outperforms only Ronald Reagan but still underperforms Coolidge, Clinton, Roosevelt, Obama, and Eisenhower.

                  After what you said about babies yesterday, you can take your opinions and go fuck yourself.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • LarryL Larry

                    https://www.ccn.com/biden-would-be-absolute-disaster-stock-market-heres-why/

                    Doctor PhibesD Offline
                    Doctor PhibesD Offline
                    Doctor Phibes
                    wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
                    #9

                    @Larry said in For Horace - stock market will go up regardless of who wins President:

                    https://www.ccn.com/biden-would-be-absolute-disaster-stock-market-heres-why/

                    From the exact same website, 3 months later

                    https://www.ccn.com/wall-street-trump-turn-biden-victory-gdp-good/

                    I was only joking

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • LarryL Offline
                      LarryL Offline
                      Larry
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #10

                      Notice it also says this is "far from certain".

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                        Doctor PhibesD Offline
                        Doctor Phibes
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #11

                        I'd say pretty much everything is far from certain at the moment.

                        I was only joking

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • LarryL Offline
                          LarryL Offline
                          Larry
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #12

                          I don't participate in the stock market, because I prefer to actually make a profit. But for those who do, if you think raising corporate taxes and putting tons of business strangling regulations back in place, and then spending trillions of dollars chasing leftwing pipe dreams is going to have no effect on the stock market, you're nuts.

                          taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
                          • LarryL Larry

                            I don't participate in the stock market, because I prefer to actually make a profit. But for those who do, if you think raising corporate taxes and putting tons of business strangling regulations back in place, and then spending trillions of dollars chasing leftwing pipe dreams is going to have no effect on the stock market, you're nuts.

                            taiwan_girlT Offline
                            taiwan_girlT Offline
                            taiwan_girl
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #13

                            @Larry how do you measure economic success for the nation as total? I would be willing to bet a cup of coffee with you that if you look at at least five measurements

                            (for example:

                            GDP increase %
                            Unemployment
                            Wage increase vs inflation
                            Stock market %change
                            Inflation
                            Net # of jobs added
                            Etc)

                            And looked at the four year president cycles, on average, There would not be a clear @winner” between the Republics and Democrats

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • HoraceH Offline
                              HoraceH Offline
                              Horace
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #14

                              My aapl call of 2 years ago when it was at 37 as compared to its current 115 is what I would refer to as "profitable".

                              Education is extremely important.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • LarryL Offline
                                LarryL Offline
                                Larry
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #15

                                I measure economic success by using common sense instead of googling for statistics that support my politics. Black employment is at an all time high, Latino employment is at an all time high. This isn't because a bunch of wall street nerds wrote an article, it's because things were done that created jobs. You don't create jobs by doing things that limit profits by the companies these people have jobs with, or by doing things that will give the company reason to move out of the country. Factories make stuff. People buy the stuff they make. If people can't afford to buy the stuff the factories make, the factories will have to make fewer of the stuff they make.

                                Then you raise taxes on the people who buy stuff but now can't buy because they lost their job... the company still makes money because they've moved to Ireland where the taxes are lower, and left wing Google searchers will say "See? The stock market is still goid!" While tens of thousands of people who lost their jobs are drawing unemployment checks and sitting around trying to keep from losing their homes. All so some people can virtue signal about how they're saving the environment and increasing unemployment checks....

                                Take it to its ultimate conclusion - if stifling business and raising taxes has no negative effects, then just go ahead and take 100% of corporate profit. Tax the working folk at 100%, take it all. When you finally figure out just how the economy actually works, it will be too late.

                                taiwan_girlT Doctor PhibesD 2 Replies Last reply
                                • LarryL Larry

                                  I measure economic success by using common sense instead of googling for statistics that support my politics. Black employment is at an all time high, Latino employment is at an all time high. This isn't because a bunch of wall street nerds wrote an article, it's because things were done that created jobs. You don't create jobs by doing things that limit profits by the companies these people have jobs with, or by doing things that will give the company reason to move out of the country. Factories make stuff. People buy the stuff they make. If people can't afford to buy the stuff the factories make, the factories will have to make fewer of the stuff they make.

                                  Then you raise taxes on the people who buy stuff but now can't buy because they lost their job... the company still makes money because they've moved to Ireland where the taxes are lower, and left wing Google searchers will say "See? The stock market is still goid!" While tens of thousands of people who lost their jobs are drawing unemployment checks and sitting around trying to keep from losing their homes. All so some people can virtue signal about how they're saving the environment and increasing unemployment checks....

                                  Take it to its ultimate conclusion - if stifling business and raising taxes has no negative effects, then just go ahead and take 100% of corporate profit. Tax the working folk at 100%, take it all. When you finally figure out just how the economy actually works, it will be too late.

                                  taiwan_girlT Offline
                                  taiwan_girlT Offline
                                  taiwan_girl
                                  wrote on last edited by taiwan_girl
                                  #16

                                  @Larry But Larry, A person has to use data to be able to accurately compare things. Maybe for you, economic success is black or hispanic employment. But it is measurable. For Horace, maybe it is the price of Apple stock.

                                  You mention profit. What would be a good translation for the nation as a whole? GDP change? Stock market change?

                                  All I am asking is for at least five measures of what the nation (or you) considers a picture of the economy.

                                  One measure is not enough I don’t think.

                                  Common sense is for sure important for any business, But very difficult to measure in quantity.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • LarryL Offline
                                    LarryL Offline
                                    Larry
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #17

                                    Nice... you ignored everything I said.

                                    taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
                                    • HoraceH Offline
                                      HoraceH Offline
                                      Horace
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #18

                                      It often enhances communication in these exchanges if one posts from an iPhone. Most leading scientists say that arguments are 13% more persuasive when typed on an iPhone. 16% if typed on an iPhone that had been bought within the past year.

                                      Education is extremely important.

                                      JollyJ KlausK CopperC 3 Replies Last reply
                                      • LarryL Offline
                                        LarryL Offline
                                        Larry
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #19

                                        Hahahaha

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • HoraceH Horace

                                          It often enhances communication in these exchanges if one posts from an iPhone. Most leading scientists say that arguments are 13% more persuasive when typed on an iPhone. 16% if typed on an iPhone that had been bought within the past year.

                                          JollyJ Offline
                                          JollyJ Offline
                                          Jolly
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #20

                                          @Horace said in For Horace - stock market will go up regardless of who wins President:

                                          It often enhances communication in these exchanges if one posts from an iPhone. Most leading scientists say that arguments are 13% more persuasive when typed on an iPhone. 16% if typed on an iPhone that had been bought within the past year.

                                          What percentage of scientists are leading and what percentage are non-leading?

                                          β€œCry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". β€” Buck Sexton

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