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The New Coffee Room

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  3. For Horace - stock market will go up regardless of who wins President

For Horace - stock market will go up regardless of who wins President

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  • AxtremusA Axtremus

    See https://www.macrotrends.net/2481/stock-market-performance-by-president

    In percentage terms, the US stock market rose the most under these US Presidents:

    • Calvin Coolidge
    • Bill Clinton
    • Franklin Roosevelt
    • Barack Obama
    • Ronald Reagan

    If we judge them only by US stock market performance in their first 45 months in office (roughly where Trump is today), then Trump outperforms only Ronald Reagan but still underperforms Coolidge, Clinton, Roosevelt, Obama, and Eisenhower.

    LarryL Offline
    LarryL Offline
    Larry
    wrote on last edited by
    #8

    @Axtremus said in For Horace - stock market will go up regardless of who wins President:

    See https://www.macrotrends.net/2481/stock-market-performance-by-president

    In percentage terms, the US stock market rose the most under these US Presidents:

    • Calvin Coolidge
    • Bill Clinton
    • Franklin Roosevelt
    • Barack Obama
    • Ronald Reagan

    If we judge them only by US stock market performance in their first 45 months in office (roughly where Trump is today), then Trump outperforms only Ronald Reagan but still underperforms Coolidge, Clinton, Roosevelt, Obama, and Eisenhower.

    After what you said about babies yesterday, you can take your opinions and go fuck yourself.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • LarryL Larry

      https://www.ccn.com/biden-would-be-absolute-disaster-stock-market-heres-why/

      Doctor PhibesD Offline
      Doctor PhibesD Offline
      Doctor Phibes
      wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
      #9

      @Larry said in For Horace - stock market will go up regardless of who wins President:

      https://www.ccn.com/biden-would-be-absolute-disaster-stock-market-heres-why/

      From the exact same website, 3 months later

      https://www.ccn.com/wall-street-trump-turn-biden-victory-gdp-good/

      I was only joking

      1 Reply Last reply
      • LarryL Offline
        LarryL Offline
        Larry
        wrote on last edited by
        #10

        Notice it also says this is "far from certain".

        1 Reply Last reply
        • Doctor PhibesD Offline
          Doctor PhibesD Offline
          Doctor Phibes
          wrote on last edited by
          #11

          I'd say pretty much everything is far from certain at the moment.

          I was only joking

          1 Reply Last reply
          • LarryL Offline
            LarryL Offline
            Larry
            wrote on last edited by
            #12

            I don't participate in the stock market, because I prefer to actually make a profit. But for those who do, if you think raising corporate taxes and putting tons of business strangling regulations back in place, and then spending trillions of dollars chasing leftwing pipe dreams is going to have no effect on the stock market, you're nuts.

            taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
            • LarryL Larry

              I don't participate in the stock market, because I prefer to actually make a profit. But for those who do, if you think raising corporate taxes and putting tons of business strangling regulations back in place, and then spending trillions of dollars chasing leftwing pipe dreams is going to have no effect on the stock market, you're nuts.

              taiwan_girlT Offline
              taiwan_girlT Offline
              taiwan_girl
              wrote on last edited by
              #13

              @Larry how do you measure economic success for the nation as total? I would be willing to bet a cup of coffee with you that if you look at at least five measurements

              (for example:

              GDP increase %
              Unemployment
              Wage increase vs inflation
              Stock market %change
              Inflation
              Net # of jobs added
              Etc)

              And looked at the four year president cycles, on average, There would not be a clear @winner” between the Republics and Democrats

              1 Reply Last reply
              • HoraceH Offline
                HoraceH Offline
                Horace
                wrote on last edited by
                #14

                My aapl call of 2 years ago when it was at 37 as compared to its current 115 is what I would refer to as "profitable".

                Education is extremely important.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • LarryL Offline
                  LarryL Offline
                  Larry
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #15

                  I measure economic success by using common sense instead of googling for statistics that support my politics. Black employment is at an all time high, Latino employment is at an all time high. This isn't because a bunch of wall street nerds wrote an article, it's because things were done that created jobs. You don't create jobs by doing things that limit profits by the companies these people have jobs with, or by doing things that will give the company reason to move out of the country. Factories make stuff. People buy the stuff they make. If people can't afford to buy the stuff the factories make, the factories will have to make fewer of the stuff they make.

                  Then you raise taxes on the people who buy stuff but now can't buy because they lost their job... the company still makes money because they've moved to Ireland where the taxes are lower, and left wing Google searchers will say "See? The stock market is still goid!" While tens of thousands of people who lost their jobs are drawing unemployment checks and sitting around trying to keep from losing their homes. All so some people can virtue signal about how they're saving the environment and increasing unemployment checks....

                  Take it to its ultimate conclusion - if stifling business and raising taxes has no negative effects, then just go ahead and take 100% of corporate profit. Tax the working folk at 100%, take it all. When you finally figure out just how the economy actually works, it will be too late.

                  taiwan_girlT Doctor PhibesD 2 Replies Last reply
                  • LarryL Larry

                    I measure economic success by using common sense instead of googling for statistics that support my politics. Black employment is at an all time high, Latino employment is at an all time high. This isn't because a bunch of wall street nerds wrote an article, it's because things were done that created jobs. You don't create jobs by doing things that limit profits by the companies these people have jobs with, or by doing things that will give the company reason to move out of the country. Factories make stuff. People buy the stuff they make. If people can't afford to buy the stuff the factories make, the factories will have to make fewer of the stuff they make.

                    Then you raise taxes on the people who buy stuff but now can't buy because they lost their job... the company still makes money because they've moved to Ireland where the taxes are lower, and left wing Google searchers will say "See? The stock market is still goid!" While tens of thousands of people who lost their jobs are drawing unemployment checks and sitting around trying to keep from losing their homes. All so some people can virtue signal about how they're saving the environment and increasing unemployment checks....

                    Take it to its ultimate conclusion - if stifling business and raising taxes has no negative effects, then just go ahead and take 100% of corporate profit. Tax the working folk at 100%, take it all. When you finally figure out just how the economy actually works, it will be too late.

                    taiwan_girlT Offline
                    taiwan_girlT Offline
                    taiwan_girl
                    wrote on last edited by taiwan_girl
                    #16

                    @Larry But Larry, A person has to use data to be able to accurately compare things. Maybe for you, economic success is black or hispanic employment. But it is measurable. For Horace, maybe it is the price of Apple stock.

                    You mention profit. What would be a good translation for the nation as a whole? GDP change? Stock market change?

                    All I am asking is for at least five measures of what the nation (or you) considers a picture of the economy.

                    One measure is not enough I don’t think.

                    Common sense is for sure important for any business, But very difficult to measure in quantity.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • LarryL Offline
                      LarryL Offline
                      Larry
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #17

                      Nice... you ignored everything I said.

                      taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
                      • HoraceH Offline
                        HoraceH Offline
                        Horace
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #18

                        It often enhances communication in these exchanges if one posts from an iPhone. Most leading scientists say that arguments are 13% more persuasive when typed on an iPhone. 16% if typed on an iPhone that had been bought within the past year.

                        Education is extremely important.

                        JollyJ KlausK CopperC 3 Replies Last reply
                        • LarryL Offline
                          LarryL Offline
                          Larry
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #19

                          Hahahaha

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • HoraceH Horace

                            It often enhances communication in these exchanges if one posts from an iPhone. Most leading scientists say that arguments are 13% more persuasive when typed on an iPhone. 16% if typed on an iPhone that had been bought within the past year.

                            JollyJ Offline
                            JollyJ Offline
                            Jolly
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #20

                            @Horace said in For Horace - stock market will go up regardless of who wins President:

                            It often enhances communication in these exchanges if one posts from an iPhone. Most leading scientists say that arguments are 13% more persuasive when typed on an iPhone. 16% if typed on an iPhone that had been bought within the past year.

                            What percentage of scientists are leading and what percentage are non-leading?

                            “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                            Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • HoraceH Offline
                              HoraceH Offline
                              Horace
                              wrote on last edited by Horace
                              #21

                              In order to be a leading scientist, a scientist must submit to consensus with other leading scientists. The global warming debate has brought this into sharp focus. Leading science follows from conclusions. There is no leading science which does not lead to good conclusions.

                              As it turns out, 98% of scientists are leading scientists.

                              Education is extremely important.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • X Offline
                                X Offline
                                xenon
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #22

                                I like how we've all ascribe to MMT now. Seems like there'd be little political fallback from going full idiot and ratcheting down taxes further and gunning up spending too.

                                I think Trump actually demanded stimulus a few days ago.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • JollyJ Offline
                                  JollyJ Offline
                                  Jolly
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #23

                                  I don't think Trump favors MMT. I think he's like a duck...Calm above water, but peddling furiously to keep the economy from tanking.

                                  If I was Biden, I'd let Trump keep it.

                                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • HoraceH Horace

                                    It often enhances communication in these exchanges if one posts from an iPhone. Most leading scientists say that arguments are 13% more persuasive when typed on an iPhone. 16% if typed on an iPhone that had been bought within the past year.

                                    KlausK Offline
                                    KlausK Offline
                                    Klaus
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #24

                                    @Horace said in For Horace - stock market will go up regardless of who wins President:

                                    It often enhances communication in these exchanges if one posts from an iPhone. Most leading scientists say that arguments are 13% more persuasive when typed on an iPhone. 16% if typed on an iPhone that had been bought within the past year.

                                    I can tell you typed this on a recently bought iPhone.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • HoraceH Horace

                                      It often enhances communication in these exchanges if one posts from an iPhone. Most leading scientists say that arguments are 13% more persuasive when typed on an iPhone. 16% if typed on an iPhone that had been bought within the past year.

                                      CopperC Offline
                                      CopperC Offline
                                      Copper
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #25

                                      @Horace said in For Horace - stock market will go up regardless of who wins President:

                                      an iPhone that had been bought within the past year.

                                      old news

                                      ![alt text](cd819b6d-5b6f-437b-bda7-bf67a5df6d7d-image.png image url)

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                        Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                        Doctor Phibes
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #26

                                        What percentage of leading scientists own stock in AAPL?

                                        I was only joking

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • LarryL Larry

                                          Nice... you ignored everything I said.

                                          taiwan_girlT Offline
                                          taiwan_girlT Offline
                                          taiwan_girl
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #27

                                          @Larry said in For Horace - stock market will go up regardless of who wins President:

                                          Nice... you ignored everything I said.

                                          Larry, I respectfully disagree. I did not ignore what you said. My interpret is that for you personally, you personally have done much better under Republic presidents than Democrat presidents.

                                          All I am asking you is what would you use to define the economy on a nationwide basis?

                                          And I believe that if you pick 5 things (GDP, etc), and we look at historical data, there will not be a big difference between Republics and Democrats presidents. I am will be happy to buy a cup of coffee if I am incorrect.

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