Morgan Stanley: “While we understand the desire for optimism, we also caution that the US outbreak is far from over. Recovering from this acute period in the outbreak is just the beginning and not the end. We believe the path to re-opening the economy is going to be long.”
At a glance, I’d have to say that chart aligns quite well with how I think things will go. I’d wonder what their investment advice would be now, given this timeline.
My gut says the 2nd peak won’t materialize as much as they think. I think it’ll be more confusion about “is this COVID or is this the seasonal flu?”, though.