Saw something that made me LOL today

[LuFins Dad]

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2016_president/

[George K]

[LuFins Dad]

@George-K said in Saw something that made me LOL today:

That’s current, mine was 2016.

[George K]

@LuFins-Dad said in Saw something that made me LOL today:

That’s current, mine was 2016

I know. I just thought it an interesting contrast.

[LuFins Dad]

@George-K said in Saw something that made me LOL today:

@LuFins-Dad said in Saw something that made me LOL today:

That’s current, mine was 2016

I know. I just thought it an interesting contrast.

I know a lot of lefties that are crowing and bragging about the polls, and I am just shaking my head...

[Mik]

That's what I was talking about earlier, hubris. I honestly think they cannot conceive that Trump could possibly win.

[Doctor Phibes]

These aren't actually polls you're linking to, they're betting odds.

I'm a lefty and all, and I for one still think that Trump is going to win.

[Horace]

betting odds can be assumed to be better predictors than polls.

[Doctor Phibes]

@Horace said in Saw something that made me LOL today:

betting odds can be assumed to be better predictors than polls.

Based on what?

Last election's odds weren't exactly accurate.

[Horace]

based on money mattering to people, and words not.

[Doctor Phibes]

The odds are based on how people who gamble are betting, so it's a sub-section of the population not chosen at random, and including a lot of people who probably aren't eligible to vote.

Also, 2016's numbers were complete bollocks.

[Loki]

Of course people are betting that 2016 will repeat. One would have to assume that there were no lessons learned from what was missed last time.