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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. AMZN

AMZN

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  • HoraceH Offline
    HoraceH Offline
    Horace
    wrote last edited by
    #1

    Amazon stock has been hit pretty hard in the tech selloff. Lots of talk of software being disrupted, but massive infrastructure tech companies like AMZN and AAPL are relatively immune from competition from an AI genius in their basement. You can't build all that global production or shipping capacity with a few Claude prompts. Maybe there is a reasonable point that pure software companies are at risk, but this selloff has hit everybody. I'm calling AMZN as a good play, as well as AAPL. But AAPL hasn't really sold off, because the market probably agrees that a basement prompt wizard isn't going to compete with them any time soon.

    Education is extremely important.

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    • LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins Dad
      wrote last edited by
      #2

      It should be a good short term play, with a 15-20% return relatively quickly, but I wonder about how much of the sell off is due to AWS?

      The Brad

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      • HoraceH Offline
        HoraceH Offline
        Horace
        wrote last edited by
        #3

        Cloud services are infrastructure, requiring massive capital investment, again immune from competition from prompt wizards.

        Education is extremely important.

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        • MikM Offline
          MikM Offline
          Mik
          wrote last edited by
          #4

          And needed to provide a platform for the prompt wizards.

          "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

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          • HoraceH Offline
            HoraceH Offline
            Horace
            wrote last edited by
            #5

            I should admit that my "analysis" might suffer from the common flaw that just because a stock has gotten cheaper, it doesn't mean it's cheap. Maybe AMZN was hugely overvalued at its peak, from which it's lost about 20% in the recent selloff. I'm just betting not.

            Education is extremely important.

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            • MikM Offline
              MikM Offline
              Mik
              wrote last edited by
              #6

              I think that's a good bet.

              "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

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              • LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins Dad
                wrote last edited by
                #7

                An underlying problem AMZN faces is over saturation. There’s not a lot of room for their shipping platform or entertainment platforms to grow. AWS is pretty well maxed, too. And it’s not worried about the kid in the basement, its challenge is Google. Google is buying up data centers while AWS is leasing… Many of AWS leases are coming due, while Google is purchasing and making offers to purchase the preexisting centers.

                The Brad

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                • taiwan_girlT Online
                  taiwan_girlT Online
                  taiwan_girl
                  wrote last edited by
                  #8

                  I am hanging on to my quantum computing stocks (thanks @89th) which are up about 10x since I bought.

                  The downside is that I bought so little! LOL

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                  • 89th8 Offline
                    89th8 Offline
                    89th
                    wrote last edited by
                    #9

                    Which stocks are those? I didn't get into quantum (I don't think?) but did suggest eVTOLs. Then again, my FIL's favorite stock (TJX) has done very nicely for me since I bought in 2020.

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                    • taiwan_girlT Online
                      taiwan_girlT Online
                      taiwan_girl
                      wrote last edited by taiwan_girl
                      #10

                      I am pretty sure you were the one who posted that you thought quantum computing stocks were going to be the next big thing. And of course, I get all my stock tips from here. 5555

                      I bought some shares of Rigetti Computing (RGTI) and D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) each when they were about $1.50 near the end of 2024. But I was not sure enough of your tip to buy more than a couple of hundred USD of each. 😞

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                      • 89th8 Offline
                        89th8 Offline
                        89th
                        wrote last edited by
                        #11

                        Well darn, I should've listened to myself. Both were over 3,000% up since late 2024! Now down to just 2,000% up, wow. Nice job!

                        The closest I could find to my reference of quantum is here btw... the timing lines up but I was not smart enough to think about stocks.

                        https://nodebb.the-new-coffee-room.club/post/305940

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