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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Buffett continues to bet on a stock market crash

Buffett continues to bet on a stock market crash

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  • AxtremusA Offline
    AxtremusA Offline
    Axtremus
    wrote last edited by
    #5

    Maybe he just doesn't want to do too much now as he nears retirement, leaving more big decisions to his successor.

    HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
    • AxtremusA Axtremus

      Maybe he just doesn't want to do too much now as he nears retirement, leaving more big decisions to his successor.

      HoraceH Offline
      HoraceH Offline
      Horace
      wrote last edited by
      #6

      @Axtremus said in Buffett continues to bet on a stock market crash:

      Maybe he just doesn't want to do too much now as he nears retirement, leaving more big decisions to his successor.

      Keeping cash is as big a decision as investing it is.

      Education is extremely important.

      AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
      • HoraceH Offline
        HoraceH Offline
        Horace
        wrote last edited by
        #7

        BRK down on the day, after an extremely good earnings report over the weekend. The market hates the cash strategy.

        Education is extremely important.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • HoraceH Offline
          HoraceH Offline
          Horace
          wrote last edited by
          #8

          I won't be at all surprised if real valuations grow into these bubbly prices, due to AI. If that happens, BRK is screwed. The problem with keeping cash is that you either capitulate eventually, thereby eating the opportunity costs, or permanently accept the objectively bad outcome of 0% returns indefinitely.

          Education is extremely important.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ Offline
            jon-nycJ Offline
            jon-nyc
            wrote last edited by
            #9

            They’re probably earning more like 4% but still there’s some opportunity cost there.

            If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • HoraceH Offline
              HoraceH Offline
              Horace
              wrote last edited by
              #10

              Yeah I guess it's in cash equivalents with sufficient liquidity, earning something or other.

              Education is extremely important.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • kluursK Offline
                kluursK Offline
                kluurs
                wrote last edited by
                #11

                So, what do we recommend for Buffet to ensure he'll not outlive his investments?

                jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                • HoraceH Horace

                  @Axtremus said in Buffett continues to bet on a stock market crash:

                  Maybe he just doesn't want to do too much now as he nears retirement, leaving more big decisions to his successor.

                  Keeping cash is as big a decision as investing it is.

                  AxtremusA Offline
                  AxtremusA Offline
                  Axtremus
                  wrote last edited by
                  #12

                  @Horace said in Buffett continues to bet on a stock market crash:

                  @Axtremus said in Buffett continues to bet on a stock market crash:

                  Maybe he just doesn't want to do too much now as he nears retirement, leaving more big decisions to his successor.

                  Keeping cash is as big a decision as investing it is.

                  Yet one that can be easily changed.

                  HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                  • MikM Offline
                    MikM Offline
                    Mik
                    wrote last edited by
                    #13

                    It may be part of his decision to give away the fortune.

                    "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • AxtremusA Axtremus

                      @Horace said in Buffett continues to bet on a stock market crash:

                      @Axtremus said in Buffett continues to bet on a stock market crash:

                      Maybe he just doesn't want to do too much now as he nears retirement, leaving more big decisions to his successor.

                      Keeping cash is as big a decision as investing it is.

                      Yet one that can be easily changed.

                      HoraceH Offline
                      HoraceH Offline
                      Horace
                      wrote last edited by
                      #14

                      @Axtremus said in Buffett continues to bet on a stock market crash:

                      @Horace said in Buffett continues to bet on a stock market crash:

                      @Axtremus said in Buffett continues to bet on a stock market crash:

                      Maybe he just doesn't want to do too much now as he nears retirement, leaving more big decisions to his successor.

                      Keeping cash is as big a decision as investing it is.

                      Yet one that can be easily changed.

                      Open market stock investments are easily changed.

                      Education is extremely important.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • kluursK kluurs

                        So, what do we recommend for Buffet to ensure he'll not outlive his investments?

                        jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote last edited by
                        #15

                        @kluurs said in Buffett continues to bet on a stock market crash:

                        So, what do we recommend for Buffet to ensure he'll not outlive his investments?

                        Give it all to me and I will support him and his wife until they die.

                        That’s the kind of guy I am, I don’t even know them yet I’m willing to assume their longevity risk.

                        If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

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