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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The Iran Nuclear Program thread

The Iran Nuclear Program thread

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  • jon-nycJ Offline
    jon-nycJ Offline
    jon-nyc
    wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
    #207

    Polymarket stats:

    US Military Action on Iran before July? 31%
    Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? 27%
    Khamenei out in 2025? 51%
    ... by June 30? 21%
    Ceasefire before July? 25%

    Thank you for your attention to this matter.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nyc
      wrote on last edited by
      #208

      alt text

      Thank you for your attention to this matter.

      jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
        #209

        Polymarket on US attack went from 31 to 38% in 15 minutes.

        Last night at 8pm it was 25%

        Thank you for your attention to this matter.

        jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nyc
          wrote on last edited by
          #210

          @Horace Any chance you can share a gift link?

          Thank you for your attention to this matter.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ Offline
            jon-nycJ Offline
            jon-nyc
            wrote on last edited by
            #211

            Actually never mind. I thought it was a piece by Ferguson. It's not.

            Thank you for your attention to this matter.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

              alt text

              jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote on last edited by
              #212

              @jon-nyc said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

              alt text

              All sorts of retweets of this by administration officials. Including Rubio. Maybe something is happening soon.

              Thank you for your attention to this matter.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                Polymarket on US attack went from 31 to 38% in 15 minutes.

                Last night at 8pm it was 25%

                jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nyc
                wrote on last edited by
                #213

                @jon-nyc said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

                Polymarket on US attack went from 31 to 38% in 15 minutes.

                Last night at 8pm it was 25%

                Now it’s 53%. But volatile.

                Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #214

                  alt text

                  Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  🤗
                  • jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #215

                    Massie again.

                    Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                    LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ Offline
                      jon-nycJ Offline
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #216

                      It just hit 61%. From 31% about an hour ago.

                      Screenshot 2025-06-16 at 7.35.35 PM.png

                      Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #217

                        White House confirms Trump will return to Washington a day early after dinner tonight to "attend to matters in the middle east".

                        Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • MikM Away
                          MikM Away
                          Mik
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #218

                          US military involvement is maybe the worst idea ever.

                          "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

                          jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                          • jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nyc
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #219

                            IMG_5869.jpeg

                            Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                            LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                            • MikM Mik

                              US military involvement is maybe the worst idea ever.

                              jon-nycJ Offline
                              jon-nycJ Offline
                              jon-nyc
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #220

                              @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

                              US military involvement is maybe the worst idea ever.

                              I would have agreed with that for the vast majority of our history here. I often said that Israel should take it as an existential threat and not let it happen but it was only a peripheral interest of ours.

                              But I've since come to believe that the model they have in the Middle East - funding and developing proxy armies inside all the other countries - was something they were going to export to Europe, certainly, and in the US if they could pull it off.

                              I want us to crush their program completely. Knowing that the regime will likely fall.

                              There are things the US military is bad at and things they're good at. They're bad at bringing democracy to countries without a history of it, but they're damn good at blowing up nuclear sties in mountains. I want them to do this.

                              Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #221

                                Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • jon-nycJ Offline
                                  jon-nycJ Offline
                                  jon-nyc
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #222

                                  That account just posted 'damn, I really wanted to sleep tonight'. lol

                                  Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • jon-nycJ Offline
                                    jon-nycJ Offline
                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #223

                                    Polymarket at 67.5%

                                    Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • jon-nycJ Offline
                                      jon-nycJ Offline
                                      jon-nyc
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #224

                                      Mass exodus from Tehran.

                                      Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • jon-nycJ Offline
                                        jon-nycJ Offline
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #225

                                        Nice visual of poymarket odds.

                                        alt text

                                        Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • jon-nycJ Offline
                                          jon-nycJ Offline
                                          jon-nyc
                                          wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                                          #226

                                          (not endorsing his conclusion, just passing on the info that China issued advice to its citizens)

                                          Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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