The Iran Nuclear Program thread
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wrote 30 days ago last edited by
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wrote 30 days ago last edited by
I can’t imagine there are that many US citizens in Iran to begin with.
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@Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:
I read something from the Daily Mail where Pakistan said they would nuke Israel is Israel used to nukes on Iran. It's the Daily Mail, so a big old grain of salt is appropriate. I don't believe Israel would do that, but still not comforting.
Yeah I saw that too. Could be real. Either way I agree Israel probably doesn't have the need to do that... air winn3rz = precision bombing until something else breaks. Ideally, they need a find a way to enable an uprising and provide cover for it to grow and take over. Could return Iran back to the 70s when they were a modern society.
wrote 30 days ago last edited by Wim@89th I'm pretty sure most Iranians don't want to go back to the seventies: an era in which their country was US controlled. Most of them just want to get rid of a totalitarian islamist regime.
BTW: the pics are showing what one might call 'the elite'. This scenery wasn 't as general as many folks presumed it was. -
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One commentator I heard said that the Iranians, for the most part, have been using old stock missiles to allow Israel and US to use up their defensive missiles. This would enable Iran's next round of more powerful and effective missiles to hit Israel with fewer obstacles to be overcome. Sounds reasonable, but who knows?
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wrote 30 days ago last edited by jon-nyc
Polymarket stats:
US Military Action on Iran before July? 31%
Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? 27%
Khamenei out in 2025? 51%
... by June 30? 21%
Ceasefire before July? 25% -
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wrote 30 days ago last edited by jon-nyc
Polymarket on US attack went from 31 to 38% in 15 minutes.
Last night at 8pm it was 25%
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Actually never mind. I thought it was a piece by Ferguson. It's not.
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@jon-nyc said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:
All sorts of retweets of this by administration officials. Including Rubio. Maybe something is happening soon.
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@jon-nyc said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:
Polymarket on US attack went from 31 to 38% in 15 minutes.
Last night at 8pm it was 25%
Now it’s 53%. But volatile.
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wrote 30 days ago last edited by
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It just hit 61%. From 31% about an hour ago.
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White House confirms Trump will return to Washington a day early after dinner tonight to "attend to matters in the middle east".
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US military involvement is maybe the worst idea ever.
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@Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:
US military involvement is maybe the worst idea ever.
I would have agreed with that for the vast majority of our history here. I often said that Israel should take it as an existential threat and not let it happen but it was only a peripheral interest of ours.
But I've since come to believe that the model they have in the Middle East - funding and developing proxy armies inside all the other countries - was something they were going to export to Europe, certainly, and in the US if they could pull it off.
I want us to crush their program completely. Knowing that the regime will likely fall.
There are things the US military is bad at and things they're good at. They're bad at bringing democracy to countries without a history of it, but they're damn good at blowing up nuclear sties in mountains. I want them to do this.
