The Iran Nuclear Program thread
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wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 16:41 last edited by
They haven’t unleashed their largest warhead-carrying missiles yet - the Khorramshahr. I wonder if that’s what we’ll see today?
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wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 16:42 last edited by
They might not have an assembled nuke but they could put together a bunch of dirty bombs I suppose. But I suspect that would green light a nuclear response from Israel.
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wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 16:52 last edited by
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wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 17:03 last edited by
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wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 17:36 last edited by
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wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 17:51 last edited by
I can’t imagine there are that many US citizens in Iran to begin with.
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wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 17:58 last edited by
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@Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:
I read something from the Daily Mail where Pakistan said they would nuke Israel is Israel used to nukes on Iran. It's the Daily Mail, so a big old grain of salt is appropriate. I don't believe Israel would do that, but still not comforting.
Yeah I saw that too. Could be real. Either way I agree Israel probably doesn't have the need to do that... air winn3rz = precision bombing until something else breaks. Ideally, they need a find a way to enable an uprising and provide cover for it to grow and take over. Could return Iran back to the 70s when they were a modern society.
wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 18:10 last edited by Wim@89th I'm pretty sure most Iranians don't want to go back to the seventies: an era in which their country was US controlled. Most of them just want to get rid of a totalitarian islamist regime.
BTW: the pics are showing what one might call 'the elite'. This scenery wasn 't as general as many folks presumed it was. -
wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 20:34 last edited by
One commentator I heard said that the Iranians, for the most part, have been using old stock missiles to allow Israel and US to use up their defensive missiles. This would enable Iran's next round of more powerful and effective missiles to hit Israel with fewer obstacles to be overcome. Sounds reasonable, but who knows?
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wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 22:24 last edited by jon-nyc
Polymarket stats:
US Military Action on Iran before July? 31%
Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? 27%
Khamenei out in 2025? 51%
... by June 30? 21%
Ceasefire before July? 25% -
wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 22:40 last edited by
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wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 22:41 last edited by jon-nyc
Polymarket on US attack went from 31 to 38% in 15 minutes.
Last night at 8pm it was 25%
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wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 22:50 last edited by
Actually never mind. I thought it was a piece by Ferguson. It's not.
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wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 23:06 last edited by
@jon-nyc said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:
All sorts of retweets of this by administration officials. Including Rubio. Maybe something is happening soon.
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wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 23:06 last edited by
@jon-nyc said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:
Polymarket on US attack went from 31 to 38% in 15 minutes.
Last night at 8pm it was 25%
Now it’s 53%. But volatile.
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wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 23:26 last edited by
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wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 23:30 last edited by
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wrote on 16 Jun 2025, 23:36 last edited by
It just hit 61%. From 31% about an hour ago.
