2032 Asteroid
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2.3% chance of hitting earth in December 2032. Anywhere from Brazil across to Africa. 100m wide, would not end life (although some might want it as they watch Vance fight reelection vs AOC for the Presidency!) but would destroy a city or if it lands in the ocean, would cause a large tsunami. Similar to the 1908 Tunguska impact: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tunguska_event
Animation or orbital path: https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/1iodadd/oc_will_asteroid_hit_the_earth_in_2032_nasa_gave/
The odds might go down (or up?) once the asteroid makes another near pass in a few years, though.
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Interesting.
