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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread

Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread

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  • HoraceH Online
    HoraceH Online
    Horace
    wrote on last edited by
    #91

    2% dip in the US stock market futures.

    Education is extremely important.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nyc
      wrote on last edited by
      #92

      Friday's drop was ~1.7% from announcement to close.

      You were warned.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

        A Honda Civic just went from $24,250 base to $29K…

        jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by
        #93

        @LuFins-Dad said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

        A Honda Civic just went from $24,250 base to $29K…

        IMG_2657.jpeg

        You were warned.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

          Canadians boo US National Anthem....

          https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3348gk8my0o

          A few hours after President Donald Trump announced that he would impose steep tariffs on Canada, hockey fans in the capital Ottawa booed the Star-Spangled Banner during a National Hockey League game against a visiting US team.

          On Sunday, during a National Basketball Association game between the Toronto Raptors and the Los Angeles Clippers, it happened again, continuing throughout the song and almost drowning out the 15-year-old's singer's arena performance.

          The vocal displeasure from usually respectful fans is a clear sign of Canadians' deep dismay at Trump's move to hit its nearest ally with punitive taxes, which threaten to spark an unprecedented trade war on the North American continent.

          The 25% tariffs imposed by Trump on all Canadian imports into the US - with a lower 10% levy on energy - are set to take effect on Tuesday.

          And they come as President Trump doubles down on his push - no longer dismissed as a joke - for Canada to join America and become the 51st state.

          Hearts and minds...

          RenaudaR Offline
          RenaudaR Offline
          Renauda
          wrote on last edited by Renauda
          #94

          @Doctor-Phibes said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

          Canadians boo US National Anthem....

          https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3348gk8my0o

          Hearts and minds...

          Certainly our backsides.

          Elbows up!

          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nyc
            wrote on last edited by
            #95

            A diagram from Cato showing just one example of modern auto supply chains and why tariffs get amplified throughout the network.

            IMG_2699.jpeg

            You were warned.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • RenaudaR Renauda

              @Mik

              Thanks. We never use Shopify. In fact, I’ve never heard of it until this thread.

              MikM Away
              MikM Away
              Mik
              wrote on last edited by
              #96

              @Renauda said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

              @Mik

              Thanks. We never use Shopify. In fact, I’ve never heard of it until this thread.

              You wouldn’t, nor would I. As I understand it’s an easy platform to sell your merchandise or services online.

              “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

              1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nyc
                wrote on last edited by
                #97

                I thought that’s what OnlyFans was for.

                You were warned.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • RenaudaR Renauda

                  @jon-nyc said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                  @blondie said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                  It’s all so stupid, your American president. We’re a continent of trade partners, not enemies.

                  WSJ Editorial Board agrees.

                  IMG_2684.jpeg

                  The article:

                  President Trump will fire his first tariff salvo on Saturday against those notorious American adversaries . . . Mexico and Canada. They’ll get hit with a 25% border tax, while China, a real adversary, will endure 10%. This reminds us of the old Bernard Lewis joke that it’s risky to be America’s enemy but it can be fatal to be its friend.

                  Leaving China aside, Mr. Trump’s justification for this economic assault on the neighbors makes no sense. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt says they’ve “enabled illegal drugs to pour into America.” But drugs have flowed into the U.S. for decades, and will continue to do so as long as Americans keep using them. Neither country can stop it.

                  Drugs may be an excuse since Mr. Trump has made clear he likes tariffs for their own sake. “We don’t need the products that they have,” Mr. Trump said on Thursday. “We have all the oil you need. We have all the trees you need, meaning the lumber.”

                  Mr. Trump sometimes sounds as if the U.S. shouldn’t import anything at all, that America can be a perfectly closed economy making everything at home. This is called autarky, and it isn’t the world we live in, or one that we should want to live in, as Mr. Trump may soon find out.


                  Take the U.S. auto industry, which is really a North American industry because supply chains in the three countries are highly integrated. In 2024 Canada supplied almost 13% of U.S. imports of auto parts and Mexico nearly 42%. Industry experts say a vehicle made on the continent goes back and forth across borders a half dozen times or more, as companies source components and add value in the most cost-effective ways.

                  And everyone benefits. The office of the U.S. Trade Representative says that in 2023 the industry added more than $809 billion to the U.S. economy, or about 11.2% of total U.S. manufacturing output, supporting “9.7 million direct and indirect U.S. jobs.” In 2022 the U.S. exported $75.4 billion in vehicles and parts to Canada and Mexico. That number jumped 14% in 2023 to $86.2 billion, according to the American Automotive Policy Council.

                  American car makers would be much less competitive without this trade. Regional integration is now an industry-wide manufacturing strategy—also employed in Japan, Korea and Europe—aimed at using a variety of high-skilled and low-cost labor markets to source components, software and assembly.

                  The result has been that U.S. industrial capacity in autos has grown alongside an increase in imported motor vehicles, engines and parts. From 1995-2019, imports of autos, engines and parts rose 169% while U.S. industrial capacity in autos, engines and parts rose 71%.

                  As the Cato Institute’s Scott Lincicome puts it, the data show that “as imports go up, U.S. production goes up.” Thousands of good-paying auto jobs in Texas, Ohio, Illinois and Michigan owe their competitiveness to this ecosystem, relying heavily on suppliers in Mexico and Canada.

                  Tariffs will also cause mayhem in the cross-border trade in farm goods. In fiscal 2024, Mexican food exports made up about 23% of total U.S. agricultural imports while Canada supplied some 20%. Many top U.S. growers have moved to Mexico because limits on legal immigration have made it hard to find workers in the U.S. Mexico now supplies 90% of avocados sold in the U.S. Is Mr. Trump now an avocado nationalist?

                  Then there’s the prospect of retaliation, which Canada and Mexico have shown they know how to do for maximum political impact. In 2009 the Obama Administration and Congressional Democrats ended a pilot program that allowed Mexican long-haul truckers into the U.S. as stipulated in Nafta. Mexico responded with targeted retaliation on 90 U.S. goods to pressure industries in key Congressional districts.

                  These included California grapes and wine, Oregon Christmas trees and cherries, jams and jellies from Ohio and North Dakota soy. When Mr. Trump imposed steel and aluminum tariffs in 2018, Mexico got results using the same tactic, putting tariffs on steel, pork products, fresh cheese and bourbon.

                  Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has promised to respond to U.S. tariffs on a dollar-for-dollar basis. Canada could suffer a larger GDP hit since its economy is so much smaller, but American consumers will feel the bite of higher costs for some goods.


                  None of this is supposed to happen under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade agreement that Mr. Trump negotiated and signed in his first term. The U.S. willingness to ignore its treaty obligations, even with friends, won’t make other countries eager to do deals. Maybe Mr. Trump will claim victory and pull back if he wins some token concessions. But if a North American trade war persists, it will qualify as one of the dumbest in history.

                  taiwan_girlT Offline
                  taiwan_girlT Offline
                  taiwan_girl
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #98

                  @Renauda said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                  Mr. Trump sometimes sounds as if the U.S. shouldn’t import anything at all, that America can be a perfectly closed economy making everything at home. This is called autarky, and it isn’t the world we live in, or one that we should want to live in, as Mr. Trump may soon find out.

                  If this were 1700's, then maybe you can be like that. But in the 2000's, it is impossible. Even DPRK, which has its' self proclaimed "juche" (self reliance) does not follow it.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #99

                    Interesting.

                    You were warned.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • HoraceH Online
                      HoraceH Online
                      Horace
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #100

                      I suspect the Dems won't do that, if they believe Trump is publicly faceplanting with his tariffs.

                      Education is extremely important.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #101

                        I could see them doing it to force the vote. Then the GOP would own the outcome along with Trump.

                        But more importantly you could set up some really tough votes for some GOP congressmen with affected auto plants in their districts.

                        You were warned.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #102

                          You were warned.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • HoraceH Online
                            HoraceH Online
                            Horace
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #103

                            I do not think the tariffs would survive a senate vote.

                            Education is extremely important.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nyc
                              wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                              #104

                              Chinas maybe. Canada? That’s another story.

                              You were warned.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins Dad
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #105

                                I do suspect a universal tariff of 3-4% may be coming. I wonder if this is a big show to prep our allies that they can and will be tariffed, and maybe to get them to feel like 3% ain’t that bad.

                                The Brad

                                JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                                  I do suspect a universal tariff of 3-4% may be coming. I wonder if this is a big show to prep our allies that they can and will be tariffed, and maybe to get them to feel like 3% ain’t that bad.

                                  JollyJ Offline
                                  JollyJ Offline
                                  Jolly
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #106

                                  @LuFins-Dad said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                                  I do suspect a universal tariff of 3-4% may be coming. I wonder if this is a big show to prep our allies that they can and will be tariffed, and maybe to get them to feel like 3% ain’t that bad.

                                  It's an opening gambit of some kind.

                                  Typical Trump.

                                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                  RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
                                  • jon-nycJ Online
                                    jon-nycJ Online
                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #107

                                    IMG_2722.jpeg

                                    You were warned.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • JollyJ Jolly

                                      @LuFins-Dad said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                                      I do suspect a universal tariff of 3-4% may be coming. I wonder if this is a big show to prep our allies that they can and will be tariffed, and maybe to get them to feel like 3% ain’t that bad.

                                      It's an opening gambit of some kind.

                                      Typical Trump.

                                      RenaudaR Offline
                                      RenaudaR Offline
                                      Renauda
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #108

                                      @Jolly said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                                      @LuFins-Dad said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                                      I do suspect a universal tariff of 3-4% may be coming. I wonder if this is a big show to prep our allies that they can and will be tariffed, and maybe to get them to feel like 3% ain’t that bad.

                                      It's an opening gambit of some kind.

                                      Typical Trump.

                                      No, it’s playing the aggrieved victim.

                                      Typical Trump demagoguery .

                                      But you already knew that.

                                      Elbows up!

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • jon-nycJ Online
                                        jon-nycJ Online
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #109

                                        No he didn’t. Jolly’s a True Believer.

                                        You were warned.

                                        RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
                                        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                          No he didn’t. Jolly’s a True Believer.

                                          RenaudaR Offline
                                          RenaudaR Offline
                                          Renauda
                                          wrote on last edited by Renauda
                                          #110

                                          @jon-nyc

                                          You’re probably right although the true belief tends towards the irrational - ostensibly approaching a fanatical zeal.

                                          Elbows up!

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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