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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Trumpenomics

Trumpenomics

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  • jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nyc
    wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
    #494

    You’re assuming he’s long the US or equities in general.

    Only non-witches get due process.

    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
    1 Reply Last reply
    • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

      @Doctor-Phibes said in Trumpenomics:

      @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

      So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

      Well, if he disagrees with Trump he loses his job, so there's that.

      The guy worth $500M is willing to risk losing all or most of that for the sake of a job that pays $250K per year? Is that seriously your argument?

      kluursK Offline
      kluursK Offline
      kluurs
      wrote on last edited by kluurs
      #495

      @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

      @Doctor-Phibes said in Trumpenomics:

      @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

      The guy worth $500M is willing to risk losing all or most of that for the sake of a job that pays $250K per year? Is that seriously your argument?

      Well, another guy was willing to lose 100 Billion to work for free.

      Though Musk seems to be firing people who might interfere with his James Bond villain plans for world and space domination. So there’s that…

      1 Reply Last reply
      • A AndyD

        I wonder how folk here will cope with the forthcoming price increases, from coffee to pensions, with increasing unemployment and market uncertainty?

        We're hardly wealthy baby boomers, owning for example two 10 year old cars; however we can absorb price inceases having annuities guaranteed for life, and full state pensions in a few years.

        But what of our children who are relatively new to the job & housing markets, of our friends who are coming up to retirement, and people worldwide in places like Vietnam, Cambodia with manufactufing jobs etc.?

        Promised US domestic manufacturing jobs will take years to create if they ever materialise. I reckon there must be significant buyer regret among Trump(CF) voters, who didn't realise the difference between his promises and reality.

        What about the international rule of law built up after the chaos of WW2, now reduced to Might makes right.
        America appears little better than Russia. Veto the UN, disregard ICC, threaten weaker countries. No consequences. Two totalitarian states facing off?

        @Jolly "I'm just sitting back, enjoying the show"
        World ends Monday.
        Women and children to suffer most.
        I still like ol' Larry. And I still think you're an opportunistic pissant
        .

        The world is a far worse place because of Trump(CF), and yes, women and children will suffer more.

        It's a shitshow, so just what the hell are you enjoying about it?

        JollyJ Offline
        JollyJ Offline
        Jolly
        wrote on last edited by
        #496

        @AndyD said in Trumpenomics:

        I wonder how folk here will cope with the forthcoming price increases, from coffee to pensions, with increasing unemployment and market uncertainty?

        We're hardly wealthy baby boomers, owning for example two 10 year old cars; however we can absorb price inceases having annuities guaranteed for life, and full state pensions in a few years.

        But what of our children who are relatively new to the job & housing markets, of our friends who are coming up to retirement, and people worldwide in places like Vietnam, Cambodia with manufactufing jobs etc.?

        Promised US domestic manufacturing jobs will take years to create if they ever materialise. I reckon there must be significant buyer regret among Trump(CF) voters, who didn't realise the difference between his promises and reality.

        What about the international rule of law built up after the chaos of WW2, now reduced to Might makes right.
        America appears little better than Russia. Veto the UN, disregard ICC, threaten weaker countries. No consequences. Two totalitarian states facing off?

        @Jolly "I'm just sitting back, enjoying the show"
        World ends Monday.
        Women and children to suffer most.
        I still like ol' Larry. And I still think you're an opportunistic pissant
        .

        The world is a far worse place because of Trump(CF), and yes, women and children will suffer more.

        It's a shitshow, so just what the hell are you enjoying about it?

        No, the world is not worse because of Trump. The women and children quote is from a NYT gag, but you're probably not smart enough to know that.

        And you don't have to enjoy the show, you can lay back and think of England, if you wish.

        I'll give you some advice... Put not your faith in princes or principalities. Owe no man money. Never put all your financial eggs in one basket. Live on 75% of your take-home income. Try to create more than one revenue stream. Learn poor boy skills...how to cut a 5/12 rafter, how to patch a roof, wire an electrical outlet, change a set of disc brakes, grow a vegetable garden, how to lay a floor (wood, tile or other) and how to cook well on a limited budget. Treat relationships as relationships, and business as business.

        Know that God laughs at men's plans and your control over your life is illusion.

        Cinch up, take a dally and enjoy Life's ride...

        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

        RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
        • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

          So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

          RenaudaR Offline
          RenaudaR Offline
          Renauda
          wrote on last edited by Renauda
          #497

          @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

          So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

          It’s quite possible that one can apply Larry’s statement “educated beyond his intelligence” to the man.

          That, and Copperhead’s oft stated platitude, “money makes you stupid”.

          Elbows up!

          1 Reply Last reply
          • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

            @Doctor-Phibes said in Trumpenomics:

            @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

            So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

            Well, if he disagrees with Trump he loses his job, so there's that.

            The guy worth $500M is willing to risk losing all or most of that for the sake of a job that pays $250K per year? Is that seriously your argument?

            Doctor PhibesD Offline
            Doctor PhibesD Offline
            Doctor Phibes
            wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
            #498

            @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

            @Doctor-Phibes said in Trumpenomics:

            @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

            So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

            Well, if he disagrees with Trump he loses his job, so there's that.

            The guy worth $500M is willing to risk losing all or most of that for the sake of a job that pays $250K per year? Is that seriously your argument?

            FFS, he's not doing the job for the money.

            Do you honestly think all of Trump's cabinet agree with everything he's doing? If not, why aren't they speaking up? It's the job to agree with the boss.

            You're essentially saying 'Yeah, this guy's really smart, so everything's OK, right?'

            I was only joking

            1 Reply Last reply
            • Doctor PhibesD Offline
              Doctor PhibesD Offline
              Doctor Phibes
              wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
              #499

              And of course, this could work out OK. I can't really see how unless Trump changes course, but I'm sure as hell no expert.

              The real point is that Trump has no freaking idea what's going to happen. Anybody who thinks the government is safely in control of things is delusional. I said the same about Brexit - I'd rather have the current less-than-ideal situation than something completely unpredictable.

              And sure, Trump's a risk-taker. But he's taking huge risks with our life savings, so fuck no.

              I was only joking

              1 Reply Last reply
              • HoraceH Offline
                HoraceH Offline
                Horace
                wrote on last edited by
                #500

                Any story where permanent tariffs (until changed by a future administration) work out well, would be fanciful. But no such story is told. The best offerings are vague implications of Pleasantville, Middle America, with a beautiful new factory, and white picket fenced homes surrounding it, where the factory workers live with their 2.5 kids. But there's no serious story about how to get there. "Because tariffs" is not a serious story.

                Education is extremely important.

                Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                • HoraceH Horace

                  Any story where permanent tariffs (until changed by a future administration) work out well, would be fanciful. But no such story is told. The best offerings are vague implications of Pleasantville, Middle America, with a beautiful new factory, and white picket fenced homes surrounding it, where the factory workers live with their 2.5 kids. But there's no serious story about how to get there. "Because tariffs" is not a serious story.

                  Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor Phibes
                  wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
                  #501

                  @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

                  Any story where permanent tariffs (until changed by a future administration) work out well, would be fanciful. But no such story is told. The best offerings are vague implications of Pleasantville, Middle America, with a beautiful new factory, and white picket fenced homes surrounding it, where the factory workers live with their 2.5 kids. But there's no serious story about how to get there. "Because tariffs" is not a serious story.

                  All you have to do is replace the word 'tariff' with the word 'tax', and suddenly the entire policy looks quite ugly and ridiculous.

                  And the idea that other countries shouldn't or won't reciprocate 'if they know what's good for them' is ridiculous. He might have got away with bullying and ripping off his suppliers when he was in charge of his own business, but it's clearly not going to work here.

                  I was only joking

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • JollyJ Jolly

                    @AndyD said in Trumpenomics:

                    I wonder how folk here will cope with the forthcoming price increases, from coffee to pensions, with increasing unemployment and market uncertainty?

                    We're hardly wealthy baby boomers, owning for example two 10 year old cars; however we can absorb price inceases having annuities guaranteed for life, and full state pensions in a few years.

                    But what of our children who are relatively new to the job & housing markets, of our friends who are coming up to retirement, and people worldwide in places like Vietnam, Cambodia with manufactufing jobs etc.?

                    Promised US domestic manufacturing jobs will take years to create if they ever materialise. I reckon there must be significant buyer regret among Trump(CF) voters, who didn't realise the difference between his promises and reality.

                    What about the international rule of law built up after the chaos of WW2, now reduced to Might makes right.
                    America appears little better than Russia. Veto the UN, disregard ICC, threaten weaker countries. No consequences. Two totalitarian states facing off?

                    @Jolly "I'm just sitting back, enjoying the show"
                    World ends Monday.
                    Women and children to suffer most.
                    I still like ol' Larry. And I still think you're an opportunistic pissant
                    .

                    The world is a far worse place because of Trump(CF), and yes, women and children will suffer more.

                    It's a shitshow, so just what the hell are you enjoying about it?

                    No, the world is not worse because of Trump. The women and children quote is from a NYT gag, but you're probably not smart enough to know that.

                    And you don't have to enjoy the show, you can lay back and think of England, if you wish.

                    I'll give you some advice... Put not your faith in princes or principalities. Owe no man money. Never put all your financial eggs in one basket. Live on 75% of your take-home income. Try to create more than one revenue stream. Learn poor boy skills...how to cut a 5/12 rafter, how to patch a roof, wire an electrical outlet, change a set of disc brakes, grow a vegetable garden, how to lay a floor (wood, tile or other) and how to cook well on a limited budget. Treat relationships as relationships, and business as business.

                    Know that God laughs at men's plans and your control over your life is illusion.

                    Cinch up, take a dally and enjoy Life's ride...

                    RenaudaR Offline
                    RenaudaR Offline
                    Renauda
                    wrote on last edited by Renauda
                    #502

                    @Jolly

                    I'll give you some advice...

                    Yes and it’s called Beauregard’s Barnyard Gospel of Platitudes to Himself Alone.

                    Elbows up!

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    👍
                    • jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #503

                      This is now the worst three-day performance for the S&P 500 since October 1987.

                      Only non-witches get due process.

                      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #504

                        But….

                        Only non-witches get due process.

                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                        kluursK 1 Reply Last reply
                        • HoraceH Offline
                          HoraceH Offline
                          Horace
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #505

                          Yeah the markets went up just now.

                          Education is extremely important.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                            So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

                            X Offline
                            X Offline
                            xenon
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #506

                            @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                            So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

                            I thought those guys were the guys we were specifically not listening to with this policy.

                            I don't know if Bessent is true believer, but you don't get a job in this admin without being a lickspittle. And there's a lot of spittle to lick here.

                            Conspicuously missing here is any leadership by the President, aside from a tweet or two.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • kluursK Offline
                              kluursK Offline
                              kluurs
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #507

                              Nearly every hour I think of something where prices are going to increase – a lot – tulip bulbs, cut flowers, etc.
                              America doesn’t run a trade deficit because other countries “exploit us’, but because we exploit them, using the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Corporate debt, oil transactions, and so much else is done in dollars for the most part. Countries have a strong incentive to keep the value of the dollar stable. Tariffs disrupt the incentives and create new ones. Without a coherent state led plan for industrialization and import substitution, the result of tariffs is a sharp rise in price, a fall in the buying power of American wages, the destabilization of the American economy and the dollar which will result in a recession as American assets and wages fall in real value. The wealthiest will have even more control of the economy than at present – ala Russia.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                But….

                                kluursK Offline
                                kluursK Offline
                                kluurs
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #508

                                @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

                                But….

                                Someone's going to think that a dog is driving the car in front of us.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • HoraceH Offline
                                  HoraceH Offline
                                  Horace
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #509

                                  Hassett was on the interview circuit yesterday doubling down on how awesome and permanent the tariffs were going to be.

                                  Anyway, the markets gave up the flash gains now. Not sure why.

                                  Education is extremely important.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • HoraceH Offline
                                    HoraceH Offline
                                    Horace
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #510

                                    Reading some stock forums over the weekend, a lot of people saying how they're moving their investments to cash. When someone does so in a 401k, they typically have to wait 30 days to move the money back into the market. I hope they don't get burned by this insanity. Even if the indices recover, people will lose money if they reacted disadvantageously to the panic. But it's difficult to call anybody stupid for reacting to this, and trying to keep their money safe. That's what Trump has wrought.

                                    Education is extremely important.

                                    jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                    • jon-nycJ Online
                                      jon-nycJ Online
                                      jon-nyc
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #511

                                      Only non-witches get due process.

                                      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • HoraceH Offline
                                        HoraceH Offline
                                        Horace
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #512

                                        Wow, whoever faked that just made a lot of money. I wonder if that's illegal.

                                        Education is extremely important.

                                        jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                        • HoraceH Horace

                                          Reading some stock forums over the weekend, a lot of people saying how they're moving their investments to cash. When someone does so in a 401k, they typically have to wait 30 days to move the money back into the market. I hope they don't get burned by this insanity. Even if the indices recover, people will lose money if they reacted disadvantageously to the panic. But it's difficult to call anybody stupid for reacting to this, and trying to keep their money safe. That's what Trump has wrought.

                                          jon-nycJ Online
                                          jon-nycJ Online
                                          jon-nyc
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #513

                                          @Horace Typically it’s a time period before you can buy the same fund once you sell it. Maybe there’s a workaround for many by buying the Russell 1k rather than the S&P, or a managed stock fund.

                                          Only non-witches get due process.

                                          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
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