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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Trumpenomics

Trumpenomics

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  • A Offline
    A Offline
    AndyD
    wrote on last edited by AndyD
    #485

    I wonder how folk here will cope with the forthcoming price increases, from coffee to pensions, with increasing unemployment and market uncertainty?

    We're hardly wealthy baby boomers, owning for example two 10 year old cars; however we can absorb price inceases having annuities guaranteed for life, and full state pensions in a few years.

    But what of our children who are relatively new to the job & housing markets, of our friends who are coming up to retirement, and people worldwide in places like Vietnam, Cambodia with manufactufing jobs etc.?

    Promised US domestic manufacturing jobs will take years to create if they ever materialise. I reckon there must be significant buyer regret among Trump(CF) voters, who didn't realise the difference between his promises and reality.

    What about the international rule of law built up after the chaos of WW2, now reduced to Might makes right.
    America appears little better than Russia. Veto the UN, disregard ICC, threaten weaker countries. No consequences. Two totalitarian states facing off?

    @Jolly "I'm just sitting back, enjoying the show"
    World ends Monday.
    Women and children to suffer most.
    I still like ol' Larry. And I still think you're an opportunistic pissant
    .

    The world is a far worse place because of Trump(CF), and yes, women and children will suffer more.

    It's a shitshow, so just what the hell are you enjoying about it?

    JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
    • jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nyc
      wrote on last edited by
      #486

      Only non-witches get due process.

      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
      1 Reply Last reply
      • AxtremusA Offline
        AxtremusA Offline
        Axtremus
        wrote on last edited by Axtremus
        #487

        What happens to long-term supply contracts of imported goods with pre-negotiated prices?

        The buyer points at the contract and says "I am not paying a penny more than what's written in the contract." The seller still has to pay 10%~99% more for tariffs as a matter of cost. What's the usual mechanisms to deal with something like this? Is there insurance that hedge for "sudden cost increases caused by government policies"?

        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nyc
          wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
          #488

          I’ve read of a big player in the airplane parts business invoking force majeur to rewrite contracts.

          Only non-witches get due process.

          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nyc
            wrote on last edited by
            #489

            Bessent: Tariffs are good because trashing the economy makes oil cheaper

            Only non-witches get due process.

            • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
            1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

              jodiJ Offline
              jodiJ Offline
              jodi
              wrote on last edited by
              #490

              @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

              ‘At least Bitcoin is holding up. WTF is crypto anyway.” 😄😄😄

              1 Reply Last reply
              • LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins Dad
                wrote on last edited by
                #491

                So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

                The Brad

                Doctor PhibesD RenaudaR X 3 Replies Last reply
                • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                  So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

                  Doctor PhibesD Online
                  Doctor PhibesD Online
                  Doctor Phibes
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #492

                  @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                  So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

                  Well, if he disagrees with Trump he loses his job, so there's that.

                  I was only joking

                  LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                  • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                    @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                    So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

                    Well, if he disagrees with Trump he loses his job, so there's that.

                    LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins Dad
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #493

                    @Doctor-Phibes said in Trumpenomics:

                    @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                    So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

                    Well, if he disagrees with Trump he loses his job, so there's that.

                    The guy worth $500M is willing to risk losing all or most of that for the sake of a job that pays $250K per year? Is that seriously your argument?

                    The Brad

                    kluursK Doctor PhibesD 2 Replies Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                      #494

                      You’re assuming he’s long the US or equities in general.

                      Only non-witches get due process.

                      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                        @Doctor-Phibes said in Trumpenomics:

                        @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                        So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

                        Well, if he disagrees with Trump he loses his job, so there's that.

                        The guy worth $500M is willing to risk losing all or most of that for the sake of a job that pays $250K per year? Is that seriously your argument?

                        kluursK Offline
                        kluursK Offline
                        kluurs
                        wrote on last edited by kluurs
                        #495

                        @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                        @Doctor-Phibes said in Trumpenomics:

                        @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                        The guy worth $500M is willing to risk losing all or most of that for the sake of a job that pays $250K per year? Is that seriously your argument?

                        Well, another guy was willing to lose 100 Billion to work for free.

                        Though Musk seems to be firing people who might interfere with his James Bond villain plans for world and space domination. So there’s that…

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • A AndyD

                          I wonder how folk here will cope with the forthcoming price increases, from coffee to pensions, with increasing unemployment and market uncertainty?

                          We're hardly wealthy baby boomers, owning for example two 10 year old cars; however we can absorb price inceases having annuities guaranteed for life, and full state pensions in a few years.

                          But what of our children who are relatively new to the job & housing markets, of our friends who are coming up to retirement, and people worldwide in places like Vietnam, Cambodia with manufactufing jobs etc.?

                          Promised US domestic manufacturing jobs will take years to create if they ever materialise. I reckon there must be significant buyer regret among Trump(CF) voters, who didn't realise the difference between his promises and reality.

                          What about the international rule of law built up after the chaos of WW2, now reduced to Might makes right.
                          America appears little better than Russia. Veto the UN, disregard ICC, threaten weaker countries. No consequences. Two totalitarian states facing off?

                          @Jolly "I'm just sitting back, enjoying the show"
                          World ends Monday.
                          Women and children to suffer most.
                          I still like ol' Larry. And I still think you're an opportunistic pissant
                          .

                          The world is a far worse place because of Trump(CF), and yes, women and children will suffer more.

                          It's a shitshow, so just what the hell are you enjoying about it?

                          JollyJ Offline
                          JollyJ Offline
                          Jolly
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #496

                          @AndyD said in Trumpenomics:

                          I wonder how folk here will cope with the forthcoming price increases, from coffee to pensions, with increasing unemployment and market uncertainty?

                          We're hardly wealthy baby boomers, owning for example two 10 year old cars; however we can absorb price inceases having annuities guaranteed for life, and full state pensions in a few years.

                          But what of our children who are relatively new to the job & housing markets, of our friends who are coming up to retirement, and people worldwide in places like Vietnam, Cambodia with manufactufing jobs etc.?

                          Promised US domestic manufacturing jobs will take years to create if they ever materialise. I reckon there must be significant buyer regret among Trump(CF) voters, who didn't realise the difference between his promises and reality.

                          What about the international rule of law built up after the chaos of WW2, now reduced to Might makes right.
                          America appears little better than Russia. Veto the UN, disregard ICC, threaten weaker countries. No consequences. Two totalitarian states facing off?

                          @Jolly "I'm just sitting back, enjoying the show"
                          World ends Monday.
                          Women and children to suffer most.
                          I still like ol' Larry. And I still think you're an opportunistic pissant
                          .

                          The world is a far worse place because of Trump(CF), and yes, women and children will suffer more.

                          It's a shitshow, so just what the hell are you enjoying about it?

                          No, the world is not worse because of Trump. The women and children quote is from a NYT gag, but you're probably not smart enough to know that.

                          And you don't have to enjoy the show, you can lay back and think of England, if you wish.

                          I'll give you some advice... Put not your faith in princes or principalities. Owe no man money. Never put all your financial eggs in one basket. Live on 75% of your take-home income. Try to create more than one revenue stream. Learn poor boy skills...how to cut a 5/12 rafter, how to patch a roof, wire an electrical outlet, change a set of disc brakes, grow a vegetable garden, how to lay a floor (wood, tile or other) and how to cook well on a limited budget. Treat relationships as relationships, and business as business.

                          Know that God laughs at men's plans and your control over your life is illusion.

                          Cinch up, take a dally and enjoy Life's ride...

                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                          RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
                          • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                            So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

                            RenaudaR Offline
                            RenaudaR Offline
                            Renauda
                            wrote on last edited by Renauda
                            #497

                            @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                            So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

                            It’s quite possible that one can apply Larry’s statement “educated beyond his intelligence” to the man.

                            That, and Copperhead’s oft stated platitude, “money makes you stupid”.

                            Elbows up!

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                              @Doctor-Phibes said in Trumpenomics:

                              @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                              So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

                              Well, if he disagrees with Trump he loses his job, so there's that.

                              The guy worth $500M is willing to risk losing all or most of that for the sake of a job that pays $250K per year? Is that seriously your argument?

                              Doctor PhibesD Online
                              Doctor PhibesD Online
                              Doctor Phibes
                              wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
                              #498

                              @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                              @Doctor-Phibes said in Trumpenomics:

                              @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                              So here’s the question you have to ask. Is Bessent (a Yale grad that went on to run Soros’ London office and ultimately became a partner before starting his own highly successful firm focused on global trading and macroeconomics) an absolute idiot and lucked his way into the wealth and positions he was in? Or is there something more at play?

                              Well, if he disagrees with Trump he loses his job, so there's that.

                              The guy worth $500M is willing to risk losing all or most of that for the sake of a job that pays $250K per year? Is that seriously your argument?

                              FFS, he's not doing the job for the money.

                              Do you honestly think all of Trump's cabinet agree with everything he's doing? If not, why aren't they speaking up? It's the job to agree with the boss.

                              You're essentially saying 'Yeah, this guy's really smart, so everything's OK, right?'

                              I was only joking

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • Doctor PhibesD Online
                                Doctor PhibesD Online
                                Doctor Phibes
                                wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
                                #499

                                And of course, this could work out OK. I can't really see how unless Trump changes course, but I'm sure as hell no expert.

                                The real point is that Trump has no freaking idea what's going to happen. Anybody who thinks the government is safely in control of things is delusional. I said the same about Brexit - I'd rather have the current less-than-ideal situation than something completely unpredictable.

                                And sure, Trump's a risk-taker. But he's taking huge risks with our life savings, so fuck no.

                                I was only joking

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • HoraceH Offline
                                  HoraceH Offline
                                  Horace
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #500

                                  Any story where permanent tariffs (until changed by a future administration) work out well, would be fanciful. But no such story is told. The best offerings are vague implications of Pleasantville, Middle America, with a beautiful new factory, and white picket fenced homes surrounding it, where the factory workers live with their 2.5 kids. But there's no serious story about how to get there. "Because tariffs" is not a serious story.

                                  Education is extremely important.

                                  Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                                  • HoraceH Horace

                                    Any story where permanent tariffs (until changed by a future administration) work out well, would be fanciful. But no such story is told. The best offerings are vague implications of Pleasantville, Middle America, with a beautiful new factory, and white picket fenced homes surrounding it, where the factory workers live with their 2.5 kids. But there's no serious story about how to get there. "Because tariffs" is not a serious story.

                                    Doctor PhibesD Online
                                    Doctor PhibesD Online
                                    Doctor Phibes
                                    wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
                                    #501

                                    @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

                                    Any story where permanent tariffs (until changed by a future administration) work out well, would be fanciful. But no such story is told. The best offerings are vague implications of Pleasantville, Middle America, with a beautiful new factory, and white picket fenced homes surrounding it, where the factory workers live with their 2.5 kids. But there's no serious story about how to get there. "Because tariffs" is not a serious story.

                                    All you have to do is replace the word 'tariff' with the word 'tax', and suddenly the entire policy looks quite ugly and ridiculous.

                                    And the idea that other countries shouldn't or won't reciprocate 'if they know what's good for them' is ridiculous. He might have got away with bullying and ripping off his suppliers when he was in charge of his own business, but it's clearly not going to work here.

                                    I was only joking

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • JollyJ Jolly

                                      @AndyD said in Trumpenomics:

                                      I wonder how folk here will cope with the forthcoming price increases, from coffee to pensions, with increasing unemployment and market uncertainty?

                                      We're hardly wealthy baby boomers, owning for example two 10 year old cars; however we can absorb price inceases having annuities guaranteed for life, and full state pensions in a few years.

                                      But what of our children who are relatively new to the job & housing markets, of our friends who are coming up to retirement, and people worldwide in places like Vietnam, Cambodia with manufactufing jobs etc.?

                                      Promised US domestic manufacturing jobs will take years to create if they ever materialise. I reckon there must be significant buyer regret among Trump(CF) voters, who didn't realise the difference between his promises and reality.

                                      What about the international rule of law built up after the chaos of WW2, now reduced to Might makes right.
                                      America appears little better than Russia. Veto the UN, disregard ICC, threaten weaker countries. No consequences. Two totalitarian states facing off?

                                      @Jolly "I'm just sitting back, enjoying the show"
                                      World ends Monday.
                                      Women and children to suffer most.
                                      I still like ol' Larry. And I still think you're an opportunistic pissant
                                      .

                                      The world is a far worse place because of Trump(CF), and yes, women and children will suffer more.

                                      It's a shitshow, so just what the hell are you enjoying about it?

                                      No, the world is not worse because of Trump. The women and children quote is from a NYT gag, but you're probably not smart enough to know that.

                                      And you don't have to enjoy the show, you can lay back and think of England, if you wish.

                                      I'll give you some advice... Put not your faith in princes or principalities. Owe no man money. Never put all your financial eggs in one basket. Live on 75% of your take-home income. Try to create more than one revenue stream. Learn poor boy skills...how to cut a 5/12 rafter, how to patch a roof, wire an electrical outlet, change a set of disc brakes, grow a vegetable garden, how to lay a floor (wood, tile or other) and how to cook well on a limited budget. Treat relationships as relationships, and business as business.

                                      Know that God laughs at men's plans and your control over your life is illusion.

                                      Cinch up, take a dally and enjoy Life's ride...

                                      RenaudaR Offline
                                      RenaudaR Offline
                                      Renauda
                                      wrote on last edited by Renauda
                                      #502

                                      @Jolly

                                      I'll give you some advice...

                                      Yes and it’s called Beauregard’s Barnyard Gospel of Platitudes to Himself Alone.

                                      Elbows up!

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      👍
                                      • jon-nycJ Online
                                        jon-nycJ Online
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #503

                                        This is now the worst three-day performance for the S&P 500 since October 1987.

                                        Only non-witches get due process.

                                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • jon-nycJ Online
                                          jon-nycJ Online
                                          jon-nyc
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #504

                                          But….

                                          Only non-witches get due process.

                                          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                          kluursK 1 Reply Last reply
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