If Assad falls....

[bachophile]

Sinwar wanted to change the Middle East on oct 7, and he did, only in exactly the opposite way he had planned.

[George K]

So this new "boss," supposedly has renounced Al-Queda.

THere's a not-too-small part of me that is skeptical.

[Mik]

A battle plan is only good until the battle starts.

[Mik]

@George-K said in If Assad falls....:

So this new "boss," supposedly has renounced Al-Queda.

THere's a not-too-small part of me that is skeptical.

I'd do that too until I consolidated power. Worked for the Taliban.

[jon-nyc]

I think he also retweeted one of his commander’s tweets about killing all Yazidi men and turning their women into sex slaves.

[jon-nyc]

The timing of this is just right for Trump to be able to screw the Kurds again.

[Renauda]

@Mik said in If Assad falls....:

@George-K said in If Assad falls....:

So this new "boss," supposedly has renounced Al-Queda.

THere's a not-too-small part of me that is skeptical.

I'd do that too until I consolidated power. Worked for the Taliban.

If he can consolidate power. A big if. From what I have garnered the past few days is that there are a lot of bosses and factions among the rebel rabble. Many are quite out there in their militancy and fanaticism. He will have to be sufficiently aggressive and charismatic to remain in the forefront.

[Mik]

Afghanistan II. Swell.

[Renauda]

@Mik

Probably more like Iraq or, at best, Lebanon.

[taiwan_girl]

[jon-nyc]

Doesn’t he have an English wife? Not that he can go there.

But she must be overjoyed.

[George K]

@jon-nyc said in If Assad falls....:

Doesn’t he have an English wife?

Born and raised in London to Syrian parents.

[taiwan_girl]

Some interesting pictures.

https://www.reuters.com/pictures/scenes-along-path-syrian-rebels-lightning-advance-2024-12-07/

[Mik]

Still, harboring Assad will not help them retain their naval base.

[xenon]

@George-K said in If Assad falls....:

So this new "boss," supposedly has renounced Al-Queda.

THere's a not-too-small part of me that is skeptical.

Two things can be true. They don’t get along with them as political group, but the venn diagram of their beliefs can be pretty much (completely?) the same.

[Doctor Phibes]

@jon-nyc said in If Assad falls....:

Doesn’t he have an English wife? Not that he can go there.

But she must be overjoyed.

She's also currently being treated for leukemia, so she's having a great year.

[George K]

@Doctor-Phibes said in If Assad falls....:

@jon-nyc said in If Assad falls....:

Doesn’t he have an English wife? Not that he can go there.

But she must be overjoyed.

She's also currently being treated for leukemia, so she's having a great year.

Recovered from breat cancer in 2018.

Acute myeloid leukemia,

Multiple factors influence prognosis in AML, including the presence of specific mutations, and a person with AML's age. In the United States between 2011 and 2016, the median survival of a person with AML was 8.5 months, with the 5 year survival being 24%

[Doctor Phibes]

@George-K said in If Assad falls....:

@Doctor-Phibes said in If Assad falls....:

@jon-nyc said in If Assad falls....:

Doesn’t he have an English wife? Not that he can go there.

But she must be overjoyed.

She's also currently being treated for leukemia, so she's having a great year.

Recovered from breat cancer in 2018.

Acute myeloid leukemia,

Multiple factors influence prognosis in AML, including the presence of specific mutations, and a person with AML's age. In the United States between 2011 and 2016, the median survival of a person with AML was 8.5 months, with the 5 year survival being 24%

Hers is a bit of an odd story, to say the least. She's apparently quite western in outlook, very well-educated, good-looking, and apparently very likeable and charming. And yet there she was, married to that butcher.

[Mik]

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/08/opinion/friedman-syria-iran-future.html

[jon-nyc]

That’s pretty good.