If Assad falls....
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Abu Mohammed al-Golani, the militant leader whose stunning insurgency toppled Syria’s President Bashar Assad, has spent years working to remake his public image, renouncing longtime ties to al-Qaida and depicting himself as a champion of pluralism and tolerance. As he entered Damascus behind his victorious fighters Sunday, he even dropped his nom de guerre and referred to himself with his real name, Ahmad al-Sharaa.
The extent of that transformation from jihadi extremist to would-be state builder is now put to the test.
Insurgents control Damascus, Assad has fled into hiding, and for the first time after 50 years of his family’s iron hand, it is an open question how Syria will be governed.
Syria is home to multiple ethnic and religious communities, often pitted against each other by Assad’s state and years of war. Many of them fear the possibility that Sunni Islamist extremists will take over. The country is also fragmented among disparate armed factions, and foreign powers from Russia and Iran to the United States, Turkey and Israel all have their hands in the mix.
Hours after Damascus’ capture, the 42-year-old al-Sharaa made his first appearance in the city’s landmark Umayyad Mosque, declaring Assad’s fall “a victory for the Islamic nation.” A senior rebel commander, Anas Salkhadi, appeared on state TV to declare, “Our message to all the sects of Syria, is that we tell them that Syria is for everyone,”
Al-Sharaa, who has been labeled a terrorist by the United States, and his insurgent force, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, or HTS – many of whose fighters are jihadis -- now stand to be a major player.
For years, al-Sharaa worked to consolidate power, while bottled up in the province of Idlib in Syria’s northwest corner as Assad’s Iranian- and Russian-backed rule over much of the country appeared solid.
He maneuvered among extremist organizations while eliminating competitors and former allies. He sought to polish the image of his de-facto “salvation government” that has been running Idlib to win over international governments and reassure Syria’s religious and ethnic minorities. And he built ties with various tribes and other groups.
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@jon-nyc said in If Assad falls....:
After today, the only Iranian proxies left standing are the Houthis and the Ivy League.
Lol
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“I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill
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Aha! I KNEW we were up to our necks in this. Good move and kudos to the Biden admin.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/us-pounds-isis-camps-in-syria-after-assad-flees/ar-AA1vuk5m
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@Mik said in If Assad falls....:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/khamenei-loses-everything/ar-AA1vunNr
Interesting article.
To play "what if" - if we hadn't supported Ukraine as much as we did, would President Putin been able to direct more weapons/aid to Syria, which could have kept Assad in power, which could have helped Hezbollah, ..................
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Sinwar wanted to change the Middle East on oct 7, and he did, only in exactly the opposite way he had planned.
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"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08
The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
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“I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill
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@Mik said in If Assad falls....:
@George-K said in If Assad falls....:
So this new "boss," supposedly has renounced Al-Queda.
THere's a not-too-small part of me that is skeptical.
I'd do that too until I consolidated power. Worked for the Taliban.
If he can consolidate power. A big if. From what I have garnered the past few days is that there are a lot of bosses and factions among the rebel rabble. Many are quite out there in their militancy and fanaticism. He will have to be sufficiently aggressive and charismatic to remain in the forefront.
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“I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill
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@jon-nyc said in If Assad falls....:
The Kremlin said on Monday Russia has granted political asylum to overthrown Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, a decision it said was taken by President Vladimir Putin.
Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov declined to comment on Assad's specific whereabouts and said Putin was not planning to meet with him.
Not surprising at all. The amount of countries he could have go to is quite small.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/syria-assad-aftermath-monday-1.7404999
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