Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds
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Not really, it’s not like he isn’t a known entity.
He’s just wisely, and apparently successfully, keeping this a referendum on Trump.
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@89th said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
@Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.
Most of my republican friends are all seeing Trump losing as a good thing for the GOP long term. So to answer your question, I think the GOP candidate in 2024 will be much better positioned with a Biden administration ending than another 4 years of defending Trump's antics.
Well, according to the die-hard Trump supporters here, Trump is winning every bit as convincingly as John McCain and Mitt Romney did.
I notice the traditionally very common phrase 'beaten like a red-headed stepchild' hasn't been used this time around, which I guess could be as a sign of respect for the present incumbent's slightly unusual colouring.
If I'm honest, I still have this suspicion that Trump's going to win it, and it's certainly not because of wishful thinking.
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@Copper said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
I understand the TDS and the insanity.
But other than that I can't imagine anyone voting for Mr. Biden. There is just no rational reason.
I can't imagine why anybody would waste their life playing golf. There is just no rational reason. Just carry the fucking stupid little ball over to the green and put it in the hole and go and drink at a regular pub rather than a massively over-priced bar filled with people with no dress sense and be done with it.
Perspective's a funny thing.
Proud supporter of Plan 2525. Everything you think, do and say will be in the pill you took today.
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You started it.
And I don't like Mr. Biden.
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@Doctor-Phibes said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
There is just no rational reason.
If you're too old to go windsurfing or do some 'cross races, I guess there's golf.
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A good walk spoiled.
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These aren't insults, incidentally. This is banter.
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@taiwan_girl said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
@Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
@LuFins-Dad said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
@Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.
What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?
The notion that truth and consistency don't matter. The "government by twitter" policy. The notion that allies are redundant and can be treated like shit. The "I like you if and only if you say nice things about me" policy. The blatant contempt for the pillars and basic rules of constitutional democracies. The blatant contempt for science when it conflicts with his worldview. And, while we are at it, the blatant contempt for true conservatism in the sense of Scruton et al. How's that for a start?
I agree with most of what Klaus said, but would add:
the moving to isolation of the US (may have been party policy in the far past, but not so much in the recent past)
the moving away from free tradeIt has never been about free trade.
It has always been about fair trade.
Always remember, Operation Valkyrie was an act of sedition.
Warning: I post things that interest me. Read and comment at your own discretion. -
@Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
It has always been about fair trade.
For example, why did President Trump decide not to go ahead with the Trans Pacific Partnership trade deal?
In my small opinion, that was good for both the US and other countries.
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@Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
@taiwan_girl said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
@Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
@LuFins-Dad said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
@Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.
What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?
The notion that truth and consistency don't matter. The "government by twitter" policy. The notion that allies are redundant and can be treated like shit. The "I like you if and only if you say nice things about me" policy. The blatant contempt for the pillars and basic rules of constitutional democracies. The blatant contempt for science when it conflicts with his worldview. And, while we are at it, the blatant contempt for true conservatism in the sense of Scruton et al. How's that for a start?
I agree with most of what Klaus said, but would add:
the moving to isolation of the US (may have been party policy in the far past, but not so much in the recent past)
the moving away from free tradeIt has never been about free trade.
It has always been about fair trade.
The whole point of free trade is that even with asymmetries across countries, everyone is still better off (on net) with free trade.
Fair trade is a whole other concept, with no real definition.
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You can't have free trade without fair trade.
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Let's try something like dumping steel. Is that fair?
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@Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
Let's try something like dumping steel. Is that fair?
That's not a definition. According to free trade principles, Americans would be better off if someone "dumps" product here - because a foreign entity is making it way cheaper than we could domestically.
If someone decides to "dump" a commodity on the world market, it doesn't matter if one country stops them. It'll bring down the global price anyways.
It's like trying to plug a water leak, the water flows elsewhere.
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Steel is a strategic product for a country like the U.S. Dumping steel and trying to undermine the domestic steel business, would be less than fair trade.
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@Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
Steel is a strategic product for a country like the U.S. Dumping steel and trying to undermine the domestic steel business, would be less than fair trade.
Now you're talking about a national security issue - not free trade. We wouldn't care if the domestic hammock industry died out if someone made them at a quarter of the cost elsewhere. Is that fair - even if there's no chicanery involved? When's the last time you bought an American TV?
If we need steel making capacity for emergency purposes, perhaps the U.S. government takes over a few idle steel plants and staffs them in the case of an emergency. Or there could be other solutions.. strategic stockpile - but's that's not related to the principles of free trade.
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It's still a free trade/fair trade issue. Since the country dumping the steel is undermining an essential business, they are causing harm. They are doing that by fixing an artificial price.
If something is priced artificially, how does that meet the definition of free trade?
Always remember, Operation Valkyrie was an act of sedition.
Warning: I post things that interest me. Read and comment at your own discretion. -
@Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:
It's still a free trade/fair trade issue. Since the country dumping the steel is undermining an essential business, they are causing harm. They are doing that by fixing an artificial price.
If something is priced artificially, how does that meet the definition of free trade?
This is a predatory pricing issue. You have these domestically as well - but we don’t call free markets “free and fair markets”.
If someone said “you can’t have free markets without fair markets” there’s no clear definition for that. Free markets is clear, fair markets isn’t.
And to my earlier point - predatory pricing is easier to deal with domestically (though very hard to identify), than through trade. You can affect the global price for a commodity without having to trade it with everyone in the world.
