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  3. Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds

Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds

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  • KlausK Klaus

    I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

    89th8 Offline
    89th8 Offline
    89th
    wrote on last edited by
    #37

    @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

    I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

    Most of my republican friends are all seeing Trump losing as a good thing for the GOP long term. So to answer your question, I think the GOP candidate in 2024 will be much better positioned with a Biden administration ending than another 4 years of defending Trump's antics.

    Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
    • X Offline
      X Offline
      xenon
      wrote on last edited by
      #38

      If the polls are to be believed - and they're getting pretty stark - Trump is essentially losing to a cardboard cutout of a politician.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by
        #39

        Not really, it’s not like he isn’t a known entity.

        He’s just wisely, and apparently successfully, keeping this a referendum on Trump.

        Only non-witches get due process.

        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
        1 Reply Last reply
        • 89th8 89th

          @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

          I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

          Most of my republican friends are all seeing Trump losing as a good thing for the GOP long term. So to answer your question, I think the GOP candidate in 2024 will be much better positioned with a Biden administration ending than another 4 years of defending Trump's antics.

          Doctor PhibesD Online
          Doctor PhibesD Online
          Doctor Phibes
          wrote on last edited by
          #40

          @89th said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

          @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

          I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

          Most of my republican friends are all seeing Trump losing as a good thing for the GOP long term. So to answer your question, I think the GOP candidate in 2024 will be much better positioned with a Biden administration ending than another 4 years of defending Trump's antics.

          Well, according to the die-hard Trump supporters here, Trump is winning every bit as convincingly as John McCain and Mitt Romney did.

          I notice the traditionally very common phrase 'beaten like a red-headed stepchild' hasn't been used this time around, which I guess could be as a sign of respect for the present incumbent's slightly unusual colouring.

          If I'm honest, I still have this suspicion that Trump's going to win it, and it's certainly not because of wishful thinking.

          I was only joking

          1 Reply Last reply
          • CopperC Offline
            CopperC Offline
            Copper
            wrote on last edited by
            #41

            I understand the TDS and the insanity.

            But other than that I can't imagine anyone voting for Mr. Biden. There is just no rational reason.

            For that reason Mr. Trump might have some hope.

            But I know the hate is so irrational and strong he is probably done.

            Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
            • CopperC Copper

              I understand the TDS and the insanity.

              But other than that I can't imagine anyone voting for Mr. Biden. There is just no rational reason.

              For that reason Mr. Trump might have some hope.

              But I know the hate is so irrational and strong he is probably done.

              Doctor PhibesD Online
              Doctor PhibesD Online
              Doctor Phibes
              wrote on last edited by
              #42

              @Copper said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

              I understand the TDS and the insanity.

              But other than that I can't imagine anyone voting for Mr. Biden. There is just no rational reason.

              I can't imagine why anybody would waste their life playing golf. There is just no rational reason. Just carry the fucking stupid little ball over to the green and put it in the hole and go and drink at a regular pub rather than a massively over-priced bar filled with people with no dress sense and be done with it.

              Perspective's a funny thing.

              I was only joking

              Aqua LetiferA 1 Reply Last reply
              • CopperC Offline
                CopperC Offline
                Copper
                wrote on last edited by
                #43

                I get the insults too, the insults must be included whenever someone likes Mr. Biden

                1 Reply Last reply
                • Doctor PhibesD Online
                  Doctor PhibesD Online
                  Doctor Phibes
                  wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
                  #44

                  You started it.

                  And I don't like Mr. Biden.

                  I was only joking

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                    @Copper said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                    I understand the TDS and the insanity.

                    But other than that I can't imagine anyone voting for Mr. Biden. There is just no rational reason.

                    I can't imagine why anybody would waste their life playing golf. There is just no rational reason. Just carry the fucking stupid little ball over to the green and put it in the hole and go and drink at a regular pub rather than a massively over-priced bar filled with people with no dress sense and be done with it.

                    Perspective's a funny thing.

                    Aqua LetiferA Offline
                    Aqua LetiferA Offline
                    Aqua Letifer
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #45

                    @Doctor-Phibes said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                    There is just no rational reason.

                    If you're too old to go windsurfing or do some 'cross races, I guess there's golf.

                    Please love yourself.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • Doctor PhibesD Online
                      Doctor PhibesD Online
                      Doctor Phibes
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #46

                      A good walk spoiled.

                      I was only joking

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • Doctor PhibesD Online
                        Doctor PhibesD Online
                        Doctor Phibes
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #47

                        These aren't insults, incidentally. This is banter.

                        I was only joking

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                          @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                          @LuFins-Dad said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                          @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                          I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

                          What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?

                          The notion that truth and consistency don't matter. The "government by twitter" policy. The notion that allies are redundant and can be treated like shit. The "I like you if and only if you say nice things about me" policy. The blatant contempt for the pillars and basic rules of constitutional democracies. The blatant contempt for science when it conflicts with his worldview. And, while we are at it, the blatant contempt for true conservatism in the sense of Scruton et al. How's that for a start?

                          I agree with most of what Klaus said, but would add:

                          the moving to isolation of the US (may have been party policy in the far past, but not so much in the recent past)
                          the moving away from free trade

                          JollyJ Offline
                          JollyJ Offline
                          Jolly
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #48

                          @taiwan_girl said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                          @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                          @LuFins-Dad said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                          @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                          I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

                          What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?

                          The notion that truth and consistency don't matter. The "government by twitter" policy. The notion that allies are redundant and can be treated like shit. The "I like you if and only if you say nice things about me" policy. The blatant contempt for the pillars and basic rules of constitutional democracies. The blatant contempt for science when it conflicts with his worldview. And, while we are at it, the blatant contempt for true conservatism in the sense of Scruton et al. How's that for a start?

                          I agree with most of what Klaus said, but would add:

                          the moving to isolation of the US (may have been party policy in the far past, but not so much in the recent past)
                          the moving away from free trade

                          It has never been about free trade.

                          It has always been about fair trade.

                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                          taiwan_girlT X 2 Replies Last reply
                          • JollyJ Jolly

                            @taiwan_girl said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                            @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                            @LuFins-Dad said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                            @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                            I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

                            What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?

                            The notion that truth and consistency don't matter. The "government by twitter" policy. The notion that allies are redundant and can be treated like shit. The "I like you if and only if you say nice things about me" policy. The blatant contempt for the pillars and basic rules of constitutional democracies. The blatant contempt for science when it conflicts with his worldview. And, while we are at it, the blatant contempt for true conservatism in the sense of Scruton et al. How's that for a start?

                            I agree with most of what Klaus said, but would add:

                            the moving to isolation of the US (may have been party policy in the far past, but not so much in the recent past)
                            the moving away from free trade

                            It has never been about free trade.

                            It has always been about fair trade.

                            taiwan_girlT Offline
                            taiwan_girlT Offline
                            taiwan_girl
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #49

                            @Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                            It has always been about fair trade.

                            For example, why did President Trump decide not to go ahead with the Trans Pacific Partnership trade deal?

                            In my small opinion, that was good for both the US and other countries.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • JollyJ Jolly

                              @taiwan_girl said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                              @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                              @LuFins-Dad said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                              @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                              I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

                              What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?

                              The notion that truth and consistency don't matter. The "government by twitter" policy. The notion that allies are redundant and can be treated like shit. The "I like you if and only if you say nice things about me" policy. The blatant contempt for the pillars and basic rules of constitutional democracies. The blatant contempt for science when it conflicts with his worldview. And, while we are at it, the blatant contempt for true conservatism in the sense of Scruton et al. How's that for a start?

                              I agree with most of what Klaus said, but would add:

                              the moving to isolation of the US (may have been party policy in the far past, but not so much in the recent past)
                              the moving away from free trade

                              It has never been about free trade.

                              It has always been about fair trade.

                              X Offline
                              X Offline
                              xenon
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #50

                              @Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                              @taiwan_girl said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                              @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                              @LuFins-Dad said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                              @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                              I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

                              What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?

                              The notion that truth and consistency don't matter. The "government by twitter" policy. The notion that allies are redundant and can be treated like shit. The "I like you if and only if you say nice things about me" policy. The blatant contempt for the pillars and basic rules of constitutional democracies. The blatant contempt for science when it conflicts with his worldview. And, while we are at it, the blatant contempt for true conservatism in the sense of Scruton et al. How's that for a start?

                              I agree with most of what Klaus said, but would add:

                              the moving to isolation of the US (may have been party policy in the far past, but not so much in the recent past)
                              the moving away from free trade

                              It has never been about free trade.

                              It has always been about fair trade.

                              The whole point of free trade is that even with asymmetries across countries, everyone is still better off (on net) with free trade.

                              Fair trade is a whole other concept, with no real definition.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • JollyJ Offline
                                JollyJ Offline
                                Jolly
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #51

                                You can't have free trade without fair trade.

                                “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                X 1 Reply Last reply
                                • JollyJ Jolly

                                  You can't have free trade without fair trade.

                                  X Offline
                                  X Offline
                                  xenon
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #52

                                  @Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                                  You can't have free trade without fair trade.

                                  What does that mean? What’s the definition of fair trade?

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • JollyJ Offline
                                    JollyJ Offline
                                    Jolly
                                    wrote on last edited by Jolly
                                    #53

                                    Let's try something like dumping steel. Is that fair?

                                    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                    X 1 Reply Last reply
                                    • JollyJ Jolly

                                      Let's try something like dumping steel. Is that fair?

                                      X Offline
                                      X Offline
                                      xenon
                                      wrote on last edited by xenon
                                      #54

                                      @Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                                      Let's try something like dumping steel. Is that fair?

                                      That's not a definition. According to free trade principles, Americans would be better off if someone "dumps" product here - because a foreign entity is making it way cheaper than we could domestically.

                                      If someone decides to "dump" a commodity on the world market, it doesn't matter if one country stops them. It'll bring down the global price anyways.

                                      It's like trying to plug a water leak, the water flows elsewhere.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • JollyJ Offline
                                        JollyJ Offline
                                        Jolly
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #55

                                        Steel is a strategic product for a country like the U.S. Dumping steel and trying to undermine the domestic steel business, would be less than fair trade.

                                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                        X 1 Reply Last reply
                                        • JollyJ Jolly

                                          Steel is a strategic product for a country like the U.S. Dumping steel and trying to undermine the domestic steel business, would be less than fair trade.

                                          X Offline
                                          X Offline
                                          xenon
                                          wrote on last edited by xenon
                                          #56

                                          @Jolly said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                                          Steel is a strategic product for a country like the U.S. Dumping steel and trying to undermine the domestic steel business, would be less than fair trade.

                                          Now you're talking about a national security issue - not free trade. We wouldn't care if the domestic hammock industry died out if someone made them at a quarter of the cost elsewhere. Is that fair - even if there's no chicanery involved? When's the last time you bought an American TV?

                                          If we need steel making capacity for emergency purposes, perhaps the U.S. government takes over a few idle steel plants and staffs them in the case of an emergency. Or there could be other solutions.. strategic stockpile - but's that's not related to the principles of free trade.

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