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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Superforecasters

Superforecasters

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  • taiwan_girlT Offline
    taiwan_girlT Offline
    taiwan_girl
    wrote on last edited by
    #5

    Presidents cant make laws, so it is always kind of funny to hear president campaigners say, "If elected, I will do this........."

    George KG 1 Reply Last reply
    • jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nyc
      wrote on last edited by
      #6

      Elon had to learn about scotus to become a citizen, didn’t he?

      "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
      -Cormac McCarthy

      1 Reply Last reply
      • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

        Presidents cant make laws, so it is always kind of funny to hear president campaigners say, "If elected, I will do this........."

        George KG Offline
        George KG Offline
        George K
        wrote on last edited by
        #7

        @taiwan_girl said in Superforecasters:

        Presidents cant make laws

        Tell that to Trump, Biden, Clinton, Obama....

        "Pen and a phone," after all.

        Congress needs to grow a spine.

        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nyc
          wrote on last edited by
          #8

          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
          -Cormac McCarthy

          LuFins DadL taiwan_girlT 2 Replies Last reply
          • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins Dad
            wrote on last edited by
            #9

            @jon-nyc said in Superforecasters:

            1. As you noted yourself, the unrealized capital gains tax will never fly.

            2. Kamala is on the record as proposing a mandatory gun buyback on those ill defined assault rifles, proposing censorship on “misinformation (quite a lot of which has proven to be accurate)

            3. and has already been part of an administration that has increased and created several government agencies (not that I have any hope Trump will be any better)

            The Brad

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            • HoraceH Offline
              HoraceH Offline
              Horace
              wrote on last edited by
              #10

              I wonder what Matt's theory of mind is for Musk, given all these glitches in his matrix. Russian operative? Indoctrinated Magat? Purely self-interested in lower taxes and busting unions?

              Education is extremely important.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nyc
                wrote on last edited by
                #11

                Wow even Paul Graham.

                "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                -Cormac McCarthy

                1 Reply Last reply
                • HoraceH Offline
                  HoraceH Offline
                  Horace
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #12

                  Or the opposite side, "If Kamala is going to fix everything, why doesn't she do it now?". I believe that was a talking point from Trump in the debate. Glad to see the rhetoric resonates.

                  Education is extremely important.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                    taiwan_girlT Offline
                    taiwan_girlT Offline
                    taiwan_girl
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #13

                    @jon-nyc said in Superforecasters:

                    IMG_1869.jpg

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • HoraceH Offline
                      HoraceH Offline
                      Horace
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #14

                      By some of Jon's logic in other contexts (see his opinion about whether Trump contributes to wokeness), one might conclude that one should vote for pro-gun candidates if one wants to control gun ownership. I mean, one could conclude that, if one was an uncareful thinker with a motivated conclusion.

                      Education is extremely important.

                      CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
                      • HoraceH Horace

                        By some of Jon's logic in other contexts (see his opinion about whether Trump contributes to wokeness), one might conclude that one should vote for pro-gun candidates if one wants to control gun ownership. I mean, one could conclude that, if one was an uncareful thinker with a motivated conclusion.

                        CopperC Offline
                        CopperC Offline
                        Copper
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #15

                        @Horace said in Superforecasters:

                        one should vote for pro-gun candidates if one wants to control gun ownership

                        Since guns are not allowed on commercial flights, you have to keep an extra gun in every city you visit.

                        If you could take the gun on the flight you wouldn't need all those extras. And total gun ownership would come way down.

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