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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Superforecasters

Superforecasters

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  • jon-nycJ Offline
    jon-nycJ Offline
    jon-nyc
    wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
    #3

    Maybe he meant to say ‘If Hilary gets crowned absolute sovereign….’ rather than ‘If Harris/Walz get elected…’

    Common mistake. I can see how Elon would miss that.

    "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
    -Cormac McCarthy

    HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

      Maybe he meant to say ‘If Hilary gets crowned absolute sovereign….’ rather than ‘If Harris/Walz get elected…’

      Common mistake. I can see how Elon would miss that.

      HoraceH Offline
      HoraceH Offline
      Horace
      wrote on last edited by
      #4

      @jon-nyc said in Superforecasters:

      Maybe he meant to say ‘If Hilary gets crowned absolute sovereign….’ rather than ‘If Harris/Walz get elected…’

      Common mistake. I can see how Elon would miss that.

      Harris would never answer a direct question about whether she would be for or against such legislation. We're left to our own guesses and predictions about her stance on that any many other issues. So Elon made a guess.

      Education is extremely important.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • taiwan_girlT Offline
        taiwan_girlT Offline
        taiwan_girl
        wrote on last edited by
        #5

        Presidents cant make laws, so it is always kind of funny to hear president campaigners say, "If elected, I will do this........."

        George KG 1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nyc
          wrote on last edited by
          #6

          Elon had to learn about scotus to become a citizen, didn’t he?

          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
          -Cormac McCarthy

          1 Reply Last reply
          • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

            Presidents cant make laws, so it is always kind of funny to hear president campaigners say, "If elected, I will do this........."

            George KG Offline
            George KG Offline
            George K
            wrote on last edited by
            #7

            @taiwan_girl said in Superforecasters:

            Presidents cant make laws

            Tell that to Trump, Biden, Clinton, Obama....

            "Pen and a phone," after all.

            Congress needs to grow a spine.

            "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

            The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote on last edited by
              #8

              "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
              -Cormac McCarthy

              LuFins DadL taiwan_girlT 2 Replies Last reply
              • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins Dad
                wrote on last edited by
                #9

                @jon-nyc said in Superforecasters:

                1. As you noted yourself, the unrealized capital gains tax will never fly.

                2. Kamala is on the record as proposing a mandatory gun buyback on those ill defined assault rifles, proposing censorship on “misinformation (quite a lot of which has proven to be accurate)

                3. and has already been part of an administration that has increased and created several government agencies (not that I have any hope Trump will be any better)

                The Brad

                1 Reply Last reply
                • HoraceH Offline
                  HoraceH Offline
                  Horace
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #10

                  I wonder what Matt's theory of mind is for Musk, given all these glitches in his matrix. Russian operative? Indoctrinated Magat? Purely self-interested in lower taxes and busting unions?

                  Education is extremely important.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #11

                    Wow even Paul Graham.

                    "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                    -Cormac McCarthy

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • HoraceH Offline
                      HoraceH Offline
                      Horace
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #12

                      Or the opposite side, "If Kamala is going to fix everything, why doesn't she do it now?". I believe that was a talking point from Trump in the debate. Glad to see the rhetoric resonates.

                      Education is extremely important.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                        taiwan_girlT Offline
                        taiwan_girlT Offline
                        taiwan_girl
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #13

                        @jon-nyc said in Superforecasters:

                        IMG_1869.jpg

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • HoraceH Offline
                          HoraceH Offline
                          Horace
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #14

                          By some of Jon's logic in other contexts (see his opinion about whether Trump contributes to wokeness), one might conclude that one should vote for pro-gun candidates if one wants to control gun ownership. I mean, one could conclude that, if one was an uncareful thinker with a motivated conclusion.

                          Education is extremely important.

                          CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
                          • HoraceH Horace

                            By some of Jon's logic in other contexts (see his opinion about whether Trump contributes to wokeness), one might conclude that one should vote for pro-gun candidates if one wants to control gun ownership. I mean, one could conclude that, if one was an uncareful thinker with a motivated conclusion.

                            CopperC Offline
                            CopperC Offline
                            Copper
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #15

                            @Horace said in Superforecasters:

                            one should vote for pro-gun candidates if one wants to control gun ownership

                            Since guns are not allowed on commercial flights, you have to keep an extra gun in every city you visit.

                            If you could take the gun on the flight you wouldn't need all those extras. And total gun ownership would come way down.

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