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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Invasion of Taiwan?

Invasion of Taiwan?

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  • X Offline
    X Offline
    xenon
    wrote on 24 May 2024, 16:44 last edited by
    #12

    It’s an interesting way to commit economic suicide.

    Maybe I’m naive, but the decoupling would kick into hyperdrive.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • D Online
      D Online
      Doctor Phibes
      wrote on 24 May 2024, 16:59 last edited by
      #13

      It seems to me that China can't survive without global trade, and that both the US and EU would cease doing business with them. That would be a massive hit.

      I was only joking

      X 1 Reply Last reply 24 May 2024, 17:27
      • T Offline
        T Offline
        taiwan_girl
        wrote on 24 May 2024, 17:05 last edited by
        #14

        @xenon @Doctor-Phibes Agree. In an invasion, I think that there would soon be a internal (inside China) uprising against the invasion.

        J 1 Reply Last reply 24 May 2024, 19:18
        • D Doctor Phibes
          24 May 2024, 16:59

          It seems to me that China can't survive without global trade, and that both the US and EU would cease doing business with them. That would be a massive hit.

          X Offline
          X Offline
          xenon
          wrote on 24 May 2024, 17:27 last edited by
          #15

          @Doctor-Phibes said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

          It seems to me that China can't survive without global trade, and that both the US and EU would cease doing business with them. That would be a massive hit.

          I honestly don't think we could afford to completely stop doing business with them in the short run... but it would trend in that direction. It'd be a calamity on all sides... and for what?

          1 Reply Last reply
          • L Offline
            L Offline
            LuFins Dad
            wrote on 24 May 2024, 18:09 last edited by
            #16

            I agree with @taiwan_girl and @Doctor-Phibes I think they will test the resolve of Taiwan and the rest of the world, but not fully commit.

            The Brad

            1 Reply Last reply
            • J Jolly
              24 May 2024, 16:36

              @taiwan_girl said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

              I think the Chinese "underestimate" the difficulty of invading and maybe more important, holding Taiwan. Yes, for sure from a military standpoint, they could do a lot of damage.

              1. But, like in a video game, defending your homeland is worth XX% boost in power and defense capabilities. I know that Vietnam, Afgahistan, etc. are apples vs oranges when comparing to Taiwan, but I think that China would experience the same thing.

              2. Kind of like Russia, I think that popular opinion in the country would decrease quickly once their son is coming home injured or dead. With most families now having only one son, the loss of this child basically stops the family bloodline.

                Lots of people in Taiwan have ties to mainland China, but the reverse is not true. Fighting for something that is not a passion decreases the effectiveness of the fighting. Yes, the propaganda department in mainland China is trying to rally people for this, but for most people, I dont believe that it is a big issue

              3. Taiwan is not an easy country to fight in. Like Korea, it is very much covered with mountains. The western 1/3 is pretty flat, but the rest is very mountains. "Guerilla" war would continue.

              4. China is having economic problems. A war with Taiwan would "temporarily" take attention from these problems, but the fallout from an invasion would only increase the economic problems. Companies are already looking for alternative places for manufacturing, and this would only increase that happening. While I do not think that the US would get directly involved, I think there would be a significant amount of support.

              The Chinese don't give a fig about war atrocities or world opinion once the invasion starts. They will pacify Taiwan by whatever means necessary, including mass executions, hostages, starvation, etc.

              These guys are going to be in it to win it, and simply will do what it takes.

              C Offline
              C Offline
              Copper
              wrote on 24 May 2024, 18:58 last edited by
              #17

              @Jolly said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

              These guys are going to be in it to win it, and simply will do what it takes.

              So when they are done, there is nothing left to protest about.

              I'm assuming this is just a real estate deal, and they don't care about the people.

              J 1 Reply Last reply 24 May 2024, 19:16
              • C Copper
                24 May 2024, 18:58

                @Jolly said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

                These guys are going to be in it to win it, and simply will do what it takes.

                So when they are done, there is nothing left to protest about.

                I'm assuming this is just a real estate deal, and they don't care about the people.

                J Offline
                J Offline
                Jolly
                wrote on 24 May 2024, 19:16 last edited by
                #18

                @Copper said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

                @Jolly said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

                These guys are going to be in it to win it, and simply will do what it takes.

                So when they are done, there is nothing left to protest about.

                I'm assuming this is just a real estate deal, and they don't care about the people.

                That's the way I look at it.

                “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                1 Reply Last reply
                • T taiwan_girl
                  24 May 2024, 17:05

                  @xenon @Doctor-Phibes Agree. In an invasion, I think that there would soon be a internal (inside China) uprising against the invasion.

                  J Offline
                  J Offline
                  Jolly
                  wrote on 24 May 2024, 19:18 last edited by
                  #19

                  @taiwan_girl said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

                  @xenon @Doctor-Phibes Agree. In an invasion, I think that there would soon be a internal (inside China) uprising against the invasion.

                  The dead don't protest.

                  It would have to be a massive uprising to succeed.

                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                  George KG 1 Reply Last reply 24 May 2024, 19:47
                  • J Jolly
                    24 May 2024, 19:18

                    @taiwan_girl said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

                    @xenon @Doctor-Phibes Agree. In an invasion, I think that there would soon be a internal (inside China) uprising against the invasion.

                    The dead don't protest.

                    It would have to be a massive uprising to succeed.

                    George KG Offline
                    George KG Offline
                    George K
                    wrote on 24 May 2024, 19:47 last edited by
                    #20

                    @Jolly said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

                    It would have to be a massive uprising to succeed.

                    That hasn't worked out too well in the past, has it?

                    image.jpeg

                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                    J 1 Reply Last reply 24 May 2024, 20:18
                    • C Offline
                      C Offline
                      Copper
                      wrote on 24 May 2024, 20:16 last edited by Copper
                      #21

                      Source says China will invade Taiwan in early June.

                      Because they want it to be over before Mr. Trump arrives.

                      D 1 Reply Last reply 24 May 2024, 20:27
                      • George KG George K
                        24 May 2024, 19:47

                        @Jolly said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

                        It would have to be a massive uprising to succeed.

                        That hasn't worked out too well in the past, has it?

                        image.jpeg

                        J Offline
                        J Offline
                        Jolly
                        wrote on 24 May 2024, 20:18 last edited by
                        #22

                        @George-K said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

                        @Jolly said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

                        It would have to be a massive uprising to succeed.

                        That hasn't worked out too well in the past, has it?

                        image.jpeg

                        Dunno. Many accounts say tank man was executed. A few reports say he was able to escape to Taiwan ( I kinda doubt it).

                        Most Chinese know nothing or very little about him. Or about the protests.

                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • C Copper
                          24 May 2024, 20:16

                          Source says China will invade Taiwan in early June.

                          Because they want it to be over before Mr. Trump arrives.

                          D Online
                          D Online
                          Doctor Phibes
                          wrote on 24 May 2024, 20:27 last edited by
                          #23

                          @Copper said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

                          Source says China will invade Taiwan in early June.

                          Because they want it to be over before Mr. Trump arrives.

                          This confirms my theory that almost every thread here supposedly about a foreign country is actually about American politics.

                          Because nothing else matters.

                          I was only joking

                          AxtremusA C 2 Replies Last reply 24 May 2024, 22:30
                          • RenaudaR Offline
                            RenaudaR Offline
                            Renauda
                            wrote on 24 May 2024, 22:19 last edited by
                            #24

                            @Doctor-Phibes

                            Could it be otherwise?

                            No, not likely. But you knew that..

                            Elbows up!

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • D Doctor Phibes
                              24 May 2024, 20:27

                              @Copper said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

                              Source says China will invade Taiwan in early June.

                              Because they want it to be over before Mr. Trump arrives.

                              This confirms my theory that almost every thread here supposedly about a foreign country is actually about American politics.

                              Because nothing else matters.

                              AxtremusA Offline
                              AxtremusA Offline
                              Axtremus
                              wrote on 24 May 2024, 22:30 last edited by
                              #25

                              @Doctor-Phibes said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

                              This confirms my theory that almost every thread here supposedly about a foreign country is actually about American politics.

                              Because nothing else matters.

                              It’s the American Way.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • D Doctor Phibes
                                24 May 2024, 20:27

                                @Copper said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

                                Source says China will invade Taiwan in early June.

                                Because they want it to be over before Mr. Trump arrives.

                                This confirms my theory that almost every thread here supposedly about a foreign country is actually about American politics.

                                Because nothing else matters.

                                C Offline
                                C Offline
                                Copper
                                wrote on 24 May 2024, 22:50 last edited by
                                #26

                                @Doctor-Phibes said in Invasion of Taiwan?:

                                Because nothing else matters.

                                What else is even close to mattering?

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • T Offline
                                  T Offline
                                  taiwan_girl
                                  wrote on 16 Jun 2024, 10:17 last edited by
                                  #27

                                  https://www.scmp.com/news/world/united-states-canada/article/3266092/us-plans-turn-taiwan-strait-unmanned-hellscape-if-china-invades-top-admiral

                                  If mainland China invades Taiwan, it may face a large, lethal drone force meant to make its military “miserable”.

                                  At least that’s the plan, according to the top US admiral in the Pacific, who said the “Hellscape” strategy is designed to distract China and buy the United States time to respond.

                                  “I want to turn the Taiwan Strait into an unmanned hellscape using a number of classified capabilities,” Admiral Samuel Paparo, the commander of US Indo-Pacific Command, told The Washington Post at the International Institute for Strategic Studies’ Shangri-La Dialogue Summit.

                                  In doing so, he said: “I can make their lives utterly miserable for a month, which buys me the time for the rest of everything.”

                                  The plan involves launching thousands of unmanned systems, from surface vessels and submarines to aerial drones, to fight Chinese invading forces as soon as they begin to cross the Taiwan Strait, effectively acting as a kind of first line of defence.

                                  Below is a picture of a drone boat that Taiwan has developed.
                                  alt text

                                  alt text

                                  ...20-ton robot vessel that's 55-feet-long, 12-feet-wide, and with a draft of about 3 feet. "The vessel's top speed exceeds 30 knots (55.56 km/h), and it can cover a range of over 300 miles (555.6 km) with a fuel capacity of 1,300 liters,"

                                  https://www.ltn.com.tw/

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • AxtremusA Offline
                                    AxtremusA Offline
                                    Axtremus
                                    wrote on 18 Jul 2024, 23:47 last edited by
                                    #28

                                    https://apnews.com/article/trump-taiwan-chips-invasion-china-910e7a94b19248fc75e5d1ab6b0a34d8

                                    Former President Donald Trump demanded the self-governed island of Taiwan pay for U.S. protection, dodged the question of whether he would defend the island from Beijing’s military action and accused the island of taking the computer chip industry away from the United States.

                                    “Taiwan should pay us for defense,” the Republican presidential candidate said in an interview with Bloomberg Businessweek. ...

                                    T 1 Reply Last reply 22 Jul 2024, 02:53
                                    • J Offline
                                      J Offline
                                      Jolly
                                      wrote on 19 Jul 2024, 00:18 last edited by
                                      #29

                                      I think Germany will get the screws put to it, also.

                                      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • AxtremusA Axtremus
                                        18 Jul 2024, 23:47

                                        https://apnews.com/article/trump-taiwan-chips-invasion-china-910e7a94b19248fc75e5d1ab6b0a34d8

                                        Former President Donald Trump demanded the self-governed island of Taiwan pay for U.S. protection, dodged the question of whether he would defend the island from Beijing’s military action and accused the island of taking the computer chip industry away from the United States.

                                        “Taiwan should pay us for defense,” the Republican presidential candidate said in an interview with Bloomberg Businessweek. ...

                                        T Offline
                                        T Offline
                                        taiwan_girl
                                        wrote on 22 Jul 2024, 02:53 last edited by
                                        #30

                                        @Axtremus During the first President Trump term, people in Taiwan were pretty happy with him.

                                        These latest words (along with what he has been saying about foreign policy over the past few years) is causing some "anxiety".

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • J Offline
                                          J Offline
                                          Jolly
                                          wrote on 22 Jul 2024, 02:59 last edited by
                                          #31

                                          Don't worry. As I said today, if I was China, I'd roll over Taiwan in the next three weeks.

                                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

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