Official Election Predictions!

[Jolly]

@89th said in Official Election Predictions!:

Alright, before July is over, let's submit our formal election predictions in regards to the following:

1. GOP nominee
2. GOP VP nominee
3. Dem nominee
4. Dem VP nominee
5. Who is t3h w1nn4r!?
6. Additional commentary

1. Trump
2. Pence
3. Biden
4. Right now, I'm leaning Bass.
5. Trump
6. Number 5 is contingent on the economy. And Trump reigning his Twitter account in a bit. I think Trump under-polls and I think Biden will sink once scrutinized. I also don't think Harris will be the VP nominee. I will say I'm leaning Bass, but if The Magic Negro has his way, watch for a strong push for Susan Rice.

[Axtremus]

1. Trump
2. Pence (anyone else who can lend Trump more credibility would not want to be tainted by Trump)
3. Biden
4. No prediction, just that it will be a "reasonable choice"
5. Biden/"reasonable choice"
6. Margins will be sufficiently large early on that the results for the Presidential election will be called the night of Election Day.

A. The Democrats will keep control of the House of Representatives
B. The Senate may split 50-50, effectively giving Biden's "reasonable choice" VP control of the Senate

[jon-nyc]

@Axtremus said in Official Election Predictions!:

B. The Senate may split 50-50, effectively giving Biden's "reasonable choice" VP control of the Senate

If the senate is split 50-50 Joe Manchin will control it.

[Loki]

@jon-nyc said in Official Election Predictions!:

@Axtremus said in Official Election Predictions!:

B. The Senate may split 50-50, effectively giving Biden's "reasonable choice" VP control of the Senate

If the senate is split 50-50 Joe Manchin will control it.

Hilarious but true.

[89th]

@Jolly said in Official Election Predictions!:

5. Trump
6. Number 5 is contingent on the economy. And Trump reigning his Twitter account in a bit. I think Trump under-polls and I think Biden will sink once scrutinized.

True. In fact, despite COVID and the economy, Trump was the odds to win up until June 1st when the protests/riots flared up, at which point it flipped and Biden became the odds favorite. This implies Biden's surge might be built on sandy soil that could erode as the trendy protests wash out.

I agree Trump under-polls, although mail-in voting might hurt his "behind the polling curtain" strength he won on in 2016. And yes, Biden will not help himself during the debates.

[jon-nyc]

We’ll see with the debates. Trump can spew incoherent word salad with the best of them.

[Catseye3]

1. Trump
2. Two possibilities:
   a. Pence (most likely)
   b. Whoever Trump decides he loves at the moment of decision. He may go for a whacked-out Hail Mary pick. But probably Pence.
3. Biden
4. ??? If he doesn't run again in 2024, she takes on heft as a contender for the office. Otherwise, the word is his choice won't matter that much.
5. Not sure. I don't rely too heavily on polls. My spidey says Biden.

[George K]

@jon-nyc said in Official Election Predictions!:

We’ll see with the debates. Trump can spew incoherent word salad with the best of them.

It's going to be a salad-a-thon with those two, you gotta admit.

[jon-nyc]

Safe bet.

[jon-nyc]

For the record though, Biden was sharp at the last debate in SC.

[Jolly]

@jon-nyc said in Official Election Predictions!:

For the record though, Biden was sharp at the last debate in SC.

And not very good at several others.

[taiwan_girl]

GOP nominee - President Trump
GOP VP nominee - VP Pence
Dem nominee - Vice President Biden
Dem VP nominee - Susan Rice
Who is t3h w1nn4r!? - Vice President Biden
Additional commentary -
Vice President Biden should minimize campaigning. The best campaigner for Vice President Biden is President Trump.
I dont think that the economy will recover enough by end October to help President Trump win. It will be very easy for the Democrats to say - "Unemployment at beginning of President Trump term = XX. Unemployment now = XX" "GDP Growth avg over President Trump term = XX"

[Larry]

@89th said in Official Election Predictions!:

1. Trump (wouldn't be surprised if he drops out, but I think he counts on Biden's stammering to help him)
2. Haley (Trump will dump Pence)
3. Biden
4. Harris
5. Biden/Harris
6. Mail-in ballots and polling place delays [due to limited locations, staffing, and social distancing] will lead to a number of legal battles and newspaper headlines, but ultimately we'll know the winner by Thanksgiving.

You think Trump might drop out???

BWWWWWAAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!

[Mik]

@George-K said in Official Election Predictions!:

@jon-nyc said in Official Election Predictions!:

We’ll see with the debates. Trump can spew incoherent word salad with the best of them.

It's going to be a salad-a-thon with those two, you gotta admit.

A total horrorshow.

[Larry]

Link to video

[Larry]

Link to video

[89th]

@Larry said in Official Election Predictions!:

You think Trump might drop out???

If I had to put money on it, I would say no. But my gut says there's about a 15-20% chance he walks away on his own terms. Again......he HATES losing.

[Copper]

If Mr. Biden is as mentally challenged as he appears to be, it won't remain hidden forever.

I suspect many voters believe obvious dementia is a problem.

Of course many seem to enjoy TDS.

[Larry]

@89th said in Official Election Predictions!:

@Larry said in Official Election Predictions!:

You think Trump might drop out???

If I had to put money on it, I would say no. But my gut says there's about a 15-20% chance he walks away on his own terms. Again......he HATES losing.

Don't worry. He's not going to lose.

[89th]

Yeah, he won't lose. If he quits!