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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?

What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?

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  • George KG George K

    Unrolled thread:

    https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1683089952777592833.html

    tl;dr version:

    In sum, if the US had not used the atomic bomb on Japan:

    • Japan likely divided between US-Soviet control
    • Atomic bombs used in later wars
    • Other nations still develop the bomb

    Whether that makes for a better or worse world than the one we're in is difficult to answer.

    CopperC Offline
    CopperC Offline
    Copper
    wrote on last edited by
    #2

    @George-K said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

    if the US had not used the atomic bomb on Japan:

    WWII would not yet be over.

    The Japanese would take to the hills and never surrender.

    JFK would have been killed in the Pacific, so we would never have started the moon program.

    We wouldn't have the computers developed for NASA.

    No PCs
    No Cell phones
    No EVs
    No climate change
    No DEI

    1 Reply Last reply
    • MikM Away
      MikM Away
      Mik
      wrote on last edited by
      #3

      The road not taken.

      I think it is good that the world saw what it could do early on.

      “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

      George KG 1 Reply Last reply
      • MikM Mik

        The road not taken.

        I think it is good that the world saw what it could do early on.

        George KG Offline
        George KG Offline
        George K
        wrote on last edited by
        #4

        @Mik said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

        I think it is good that the world saw what it could do early on.

        I remember reading a comment saying, "The United States should have warned Japan about this."

        The best reply:

        We did.
        Twice.
        The first warning was in writing, the second was called "Hiroshima."

        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • AxtremusA Offline
          AxtremusA Offline
          Axtremus
          wrote on last edited by
          #5

          The other "what if" is "what if the US dropped the atomic bombs in Germany instead of Japan."

          1 Reply Last reply
          • MikM Away
            MikM Away
            Mik
            wrote on last edited by
            #6

            By the time it was developed there was nothing left in Germany to drop it on.

            “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

            AxtremusA CopperC 2 Replies Last reply
            • MikM Mik

              By the time it was developed there was nothing left in Germany to drop it on.

              AxtremusA Offline
              AxtremusA Offline
              Axtremus
              wrote on last edited by
              #7

              @Mik said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

              By the time it was developed there was nothing left in Germany to drop it on.

              How so? What metrics do you use to come up with the judgement that says Japan still had assets worth bombing but Germany did not?

              MikM 1 Reply Last reply
              • HoraceH Offline
                HoraceH Offline
                Horace
                wrote on last edited by
                #8

                Lol

                Hey I’m no history buff, but the dates of Germany’s surrender and the bombing of Japan are googlable.

                Education is extremely important.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • kluursK Offline
                  kluursK Offline
                  kluurs
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #9

                  As a child I remember seeing a copy of a WWII era Fortune magazine where they spoke of how we would win the war with Japan by 1948.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • JollyJ Offline
                    JollyJ Offline
                    Jolly
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #10

                    Since Japan started WW2, I guess it's only fitting they were the recipient of the most powerful weapon used during the war.

                    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                    George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                    • AxtremusA Axtremus

                      @Mik said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

                      By the time it was developed there was nothing left in Germany to drop it on.

                      How so? What metrics do you use to come up with the judgement that says Japan still had assets worth bombing but Germany did not?

                      MikM Away
                      MikM Away
                      Mik
                      wrote on last edited by Mik
                      #11

                      @Axtremus said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

                      @Mik said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

                      By the time it was developed there was nothing left in Germany to drop it on.

                      How so? What metrics do you use to come up with the judgement that says Japan still had assets worth bombing but Germany did not?

                      For starters the first atomic bomb was not ready before July 45, three months after Germany surrendered. The Allies all had troops in Germany, so we'd have been dropping it near our own troops. Japan would have been a bloody nightmare to invade, with an uncertain conclusion.

                      “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                      taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
                      • JollyJ Jolly

                        Since Japan started WW2, I guess it's only fitting they were the recipient of the most powerful weapon used during the war.

                        George KG Offline
                        George KG Offline
                        George K
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #12

                        @Jolly said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

                        Since Japan started WW2

                        Some will say that Hitler's invasion of Poland was the official start of WWII. Two days after that invasion, France and Britain declared war.

                        One could say that Japan's invasion of Manchuria in 1931 was a precursor, however.

                        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • MikM Away
                          MikM Away
                          Mik
                          wrote on last edited by Mik
                          #13

                          I think he meant Pearl Harbor and the start of US military involvement, but I get your point.

                          “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • JollyJ Offline
                            JollyJ Offline
                            Jolly
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #14

                            No, he meant Manchuria. 😊

                            After WW1, Japan experienced a population explosion and an industrial surge. Led primarily by the military in a nominal democracy that also had an emporor (that's complicated), the resource poor country decided to take those resources from the Chinese. The Japanese Empire expansion began.

                            “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                            Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                            George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                            • JollyJ Jolly

                              No, he meant Manchuria. 😊

                              After WW1, Japan experienced a population explosion and an industrial surge. Led primarily by the military in a nominal democracy that also had an emporor (that's complicated), the resource poor country decided to take those resources from the Chinese. The Japanese Empire expansion began.

                              George KG Offline
                              George KG Offline
                              George K
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #15

                              @Jolly said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

                              the resource poor country decided to take those resources from the Chinese. The Japanese Empire expansion began.

                              True, however, it was really a two-nation regional conflict, no?

                              In Europe, once Poland was invaded, within 72 hours, there were at least four adversaries.

                              "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                              The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                              JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                              • George KG George K

                                @Jolly said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

                                the resource poor country decided to take those resources from the Chinese. The Japanese Empire expansion began.

                                True, however, it was really a two-nation regional conflict, no?

                                In Europe, once Poland was invaded, within 72 hours, there were at least four adversaries.

                                JollyJ Offline
                                JollyJ Offline
                                Jolly
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #16

                                @George-K said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

                                @Jolly said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

                                the resource poor country decided to take those resources from the Chinese. The Japanese Empire expansion began.

                                True, however, it was really a two-nation regional conflict, no?

                                In Europe, once Poland was invaded, within 72 hours, there were at least four adversaries.

                                Roosevelt didn't care for the Japanese or their motives. By 1937, the New Deal was playing out and Roosevelt, as many presidents do, became more involved in foreign policy. The screws started to turn on the Japanese. Restrictions of trade, particularly oil and steel, talk of a naval blockade, breaking off negotiations with the Japanese...All were part of the effort.

                                We knew what we were doing. As Stimson wrote in his diary, The question was how we should maneuver them [the Japanese] into firing the first shot without allowing too much danger to ourselves.

                                “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • MikM Away
                                  MikM Away
                                  Mik
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #17

                                  Sounds something like Russia-Ukraine. I’ve long suspected we wanted them to invade.

                                  “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • MikM Mik

                                    By the time it was developed there was nothing left in Germany to drop it on.

                                    CopperC Offline
                                    CopperC Offline
                                    Copper
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #18

                                    @Mik said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

                                    By the time it was developed there was nothing left in Germany to drop it on.

                                    Except, of course, the Russians.

                                    MikM JollyJ 2 Replies Last reply
                                    • CopperC Copper

                                      @Mik said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

                                      By the time it was developed there was nothing left in Germany to drop it on.

                                      Except, of course, the Russians.

                                      MikM Away
                                      MikM Away
                                      Mik
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #19

                                      @Copper Well, there is them.

                                      “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • CopperC Copper

                                        @Mik said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

                                        By the time it was developed there was nothing left in Germany to drop it on.

                                        Except, of course, the Russians.

                                        JollyJ Offline
                                        JollyJ Offline
                                        Jolly
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #20

                                        @Copper said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

                                        @Mik said in What if the US had developed, but not used the atomic bombs?:

                                        By the time it was developed there was nothing left in Germany to drop it on.

                                        Except, of course, the Russians.

                                        Channeling Patton, are we? 😃

                                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • JollyJ Offline
                                          JollyJ Offline
                                          Jolly
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #21

                                          For some interesting history, do a little reading on Churchill 's naughty document...

                                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

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