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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Inflation

Inflation

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  • 89th8 89th

    @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

    Goldman Sachs report says that the chance of recession is down to 15%.

    https://thehill.com/business/4187314-soft-landing-summer-goldman-sachs-cuts-recession-odds-to-15-percent/

    Should President Biden get credit for this? 555

    (I think you all know my answer)

    Honestly we need a recession. Or something that'll bring prices backdown. It's hard to imagine meals at McDonalds will never go back down... I still pull up thinking there is a dollar menu. The McDouble that was $1 a few years ago is now like $3.79.

    JollyJ Offline
    JollyJ Offline
    Jolly
    wrote on last edited by
    #43

    @89th said in Inflation:

    @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

    Goldman Sachs report says that the chance of recession is down to 15%.

    https://thehill.com/business/4187314-soft-landing-summer-goldman-sachs-cuts-recession-odds-to-15-percent/

    Should President Biden get credit for this? 555

    (I think you all know my answer)

    Honestly we need a recession. Or something that'll bring prices backdown. It's hard to imagine meals at McDonalds will never go back down... I still pull up thinking there is a dollar menu. The McDouble that was $1 a few years ago is now like $3.79.

    Beef prices are fixing to jump.

    Just thought I'd share that tidbit...

    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

    1 Reply Last reply
    • George KG George K

      @89th said in Inflation:

      Honestly we need a recession. Or something that'll bring prices backdow

      Nothing brings prices down. The best you can hope for is a slower rise.

      Doctor PhibesD Online
      Doctor PhibesD Online
      Doctor Phibes
      wrote on last edited by
      #44

      @George-K said in Inflation:

      @89th said in Inflation:

      Honestly we need a recession. Or something that'll bring prices backdow

      Nothing brings prices down. The best you can hope for is a slower rise.

      We don't actually want prices to come down. I'm not 100% sure why, but that's what clever people say. And by clever people, I mean of course economists. Clever, but not quite clever enough to do a proper science degree.

      I was only joking

      1 Reply Last reply
      • taiwan_girlT Offline
        taiwan_girlT Offline
        taiwan_girl
        wrote on last edited by
        #45

        Overall US Inflation decreases to 3.1%

        IMG_0228.JPG

        LuFins DadL CopperC 2 Replies Last reply
        • JollyJ Offline
          JollyJ Offline
          Jolly
          wrote on last edited by
          #46

          Go sell that to the American public.

          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

          George KG 1 Reply Last reply
          • JollyJ Jolly

            Go sell that to the American public.

            George KG Offline
            George KG Offline
            George K
            wrote on last edited by
            #47

            @Jolly said in Inflation:

            Go sell that to the American public.

            A home-buyer or renter.

            "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

            The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • JollyJ Offline
              JollyJ Offline
              Jolly
              wrote on last edited by
              #48

              Or new car/truck buyer.

              “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

              Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

              1 Reply Last reply
              • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                Overall US Inflation decreases to 3.1%

                IMG_0228.JPG

                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins Dad
                wrote on last edited by
                #49

                @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                Overall US Inflation decreases to 3.1%

                IMG_0228.JPG

                So things are still getting more expensive. Good to know.

                The Brad

                Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                  Overall US Inflation decreases to 3.1%

                  IMG_0228.JPG

                  CopperC Offline
                  CopperC Offline
                  Copper
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #50

                  @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                  Overall US Inflation decreases to 3.1%

                  Prices are still going up.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • JollyJ Offline
                    JollyJ Offline
                    Jolly
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #51

                    BTW, gonna see a jump in beef prices...

                    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                    MikM 1 Reply Last reply
                    • taiwan_girlT Offline
                      taiwan_girlT Offline
                      taiwan_girl
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #52

                      A basic but good map of current inflation around the world.

                      https://flo.uri.sh/visualisation/13458161/embed

                      Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                      • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                        @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                        Overall US Inflation decreases to 3.1%

                        IMG_0228.JPG

                        So things are still getting more expensive. Good to know.

                        Doctor PhibesD Online
                        Doctor PhibesD Online
                        Doctor Phibes
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #53

                        @LuFins-Dad said in Inflation:

                        So things are still getting more expensive. Good to know.

                        He's got it down lower than Reagan managed

                        I was only joking

                        George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                        • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                          A basic but good map of current inflation around the world.

                          https://flo.uri.sh/visualisation/13458161/embed

                          Doctor PhibesD Online
                          Doctor PhibesD Online
                          Doctor Phibes
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #54

                          @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                          A basic but good map of current inflation around the world.

                          https://flo.uri.sh/visualisation/13458161/embed

                          Apparently North America ends at the 49th parallel.

                          I was only joking

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • JollyJ Jolly

                            BTW, gonna see a jump in beef prices...

                            MikM Offline
                            MikM Offline
                            Mik
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #55

                            @Jolly said in Inflation:

                            BTW, gonna see a jump in beef prices...

                            Already have. Pretty standard cuts and ground beef are up 50 to 100%.

                            “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • Doctor PhibesD Online
                              Doctor PhibesD Online
                              Doctor Phibes
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #56

                              So US inflation is at 3% and that's really bad, and China's is negative, and that's really bad too.

                              What would be considered a good level?

                              I was only joking

                              LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                              • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                                So US inflation is at 3% and that's really bad, and China's is negative, and that's really bad too.

                                What would be considered a good level?

                                LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins Dad
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #57

                                @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                                So US inflation is at 3% and that's really bad, and China's is negative, and that's really bad too.

                                What would be considered a good level?

                                After 2 years of high inflation? We will need to see several years at 1-1.5%.

                                The Brad

                                Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                                • JollyJ Offline
                                  JollyJ Offline
                                  Jolly
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #58

                                  Case-in-point...At the beginning of Biden's term, the house note for a $400k home will now buy a $295k home...And homes are a bit more expensive than three years ago.

                                  That's inflation that people can relate to...

                                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                                    @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                                    So US inflation is at 3% and that's really bad, and China's is negative, and that's really bad too.

                                    What would be considered a good level?

                                    After 2 years of high inflation? We will need to see several years at 1-1.5%.

                                    Doctor PhibesD Online
                                    Doctor PhibesD Online
                                    Doctor Phibes
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #59

                                    @LuFins-Dad said in Inflation:

                                    @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                                    So US inflation is at 3% and that's really bad, and China's is negative, and that's really bad too.

                                    What would be considered a good level?

                                    After 2 years of high inflation? We will need to see several years at 1-1.5%.

                                    At one time 3% would have been considered really low. It’s really more important that we don’t have big fluctuations in my fairly untutored opinion, and that wages keep pace?

                                    I was only joking

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                                      @LuFins-Dad said in Inflation:

                                      So things are still getting more expensive. Good to know.

                                      He's got it down lower than Reagan managed

                                      George KG Offline
                                      George KG Offline
                                      George K
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #60

                                      @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                                      @LuFins-Dad said in Inflation:

                                      So things are still getting more expensive. Good to know.

                                      He's got it down lower than Reagan managed

                                      Absolute number? Yeah. Inflation has fallen from a high of 7.04% to 3.66%. About half.

                                      Decrease in rate? Under Reagan it fell from from 8.92% to 3.83%.

                                      https://www.macrotrends.net/2497/historical-inflation-rate-by-year

                                      Screenshot 2023-12-12 at 4.08.27 PM.png

                                      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • JollyJ Offline
                                        JollyJ Offline
                                        Jolly
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #61

                                        And BTW, Ben Shapiro said on his last podcast that the employment numbers are a bit misleading. Job growth has occurred in three sectors - healthcare, government and hospitality. Hospitality is seasonal, of course. Other than that, most sectors have been flat or declining for eight months.

                                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • 89th8 Offline
                                          89th8 Offline
                                          89th
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #62

                                          All I know is my wife said a few minutes ago to me that there is a good deal where a 12-pack of Diet Pepsi is 2 for $10 whereas normally it is $7-8 now. I told her I still think it's going to be $2.50-$3.99 whenever I go to the store. Then again, I still think there is a dollar menu at McD's.

                                          jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
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