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  3. Inflation

Inflation

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  • George KG Offline
    George KG Offline
    George K
    wrote on last edited by
    #2

    image.jpeg

    image.jpeg

    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • taiwan_girlT Offline
      taiwan_girlT Offline
      taiwan_girl
      wrote on last edited by
      #3

      Economy in the US is going in the right direction. Inflation is going down, no recession so far, stock market almost at record highs, hundreds of thousands of manufacturing jobs added in last 12 months, etc.

      Now, of course, I do not give too much credit to President Biden. But there are others here (wink wink @Horace ) who are probably preparing their "Biden for President - 2024" lawn signs at the great job he has done.

      555

      George KG 1 Reply Last reply
      • Doctor PhibesD Online
        Doctor PhibesD Online
        Doctor Phibes
        wrote on last edited by
        #4

        The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

        I was only joking

        taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
        • CopperC Offline
          CopperC Offline
          Copper
          wrote on last edited by
          #5

          There is a great deal of virtue to be had by blaming both sides.

          But that virtue pales by comparison to the courage of the man who chooses a side.

          Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
          • CopperC Copper

            There is a great deal of virtue to be had by blaming both sides.

            But that virtue pales by comparison to the courage of the man who chooses a side.

            Doctor PhibesD Online
            Doctor PhibesD Online
            Doctor Phibes
            wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
            #6

            @Copper said in Inflation:

            There is a great deal of virtue to be had by blaming both sides.

            But that virtue pales by comparison to the courage of the man who chooses a side.

            I wasn’t blaming anybody. Inflation happened because of Covid not because of either Donald Trump or Joe Biden.

            You think choosing a side is brave? Since almost everybody does it, I would humbly suggest that that is bollocks

            I was only joking

            1 Reply Last reply
            • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

              The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

              taiwan_girlT Offline
              taiwan_girlT Offline
              taiwan_girl
              wrote on last edited by
              #7

              @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

              The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

              Exactly my point as I have beat the dead horse in previous postings. LOL

              Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
              • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

                Exactly my point as I have beat the dead horse in previous postings. LOL

                Doctor PhibesD Online
                Doctor PhibesD Online
                Doctor Phibes
                wrote on last edited by
                #8

                @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

                Exactly my point as I have beat the dead horse in previous postings. LOL

                Choosing sides is more important. Find somebody to blame, and move on.

                I was only joking

                HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                  @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                  @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                  The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

                  Exactly my point as I have beat the dead horse in previous postings. LOL

                  Choosing sides is more important. Find somebody to blame, and move on.

                  HoraceH Online
                  HoraceH Online
                  Horace
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #9

                  @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                  @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                  @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                  The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

                  Exactly my point as I have beat the dead horse in previous postings. LOL

                  Choosing sides is more important. Find somebody to blame, and move on.

                  We can all only aspire to be in the "both sides are bad" tribe. Such a high bar of careful thought required for that camp.

                  Education is extremely important.

                  Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                  • HoraceH Horace

                    @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                    @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                    @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                    The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

                    Exactly my point as I have beat the dead horse in previous postings. LOL

                    Choosing sides is more important. Find somebody to blame, and move on.

                    We can all only aspire to be in the "both sides are bad" tribe. Such a high bar of careful thought required for that camp.

                    Doctor PhibesD Online
                    Doctor PhibesD Online
                    Doctor Phibes
                    wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
                    #10

                    @Horace said in Inflation:

                    @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                    @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                    @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                    The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

                    Exactly my point as I have beat the dead horse in previous postings. LOL

                    Choosing sides is more important. Find somebody to blame, and move on.

                    We can all only aspire to be in the "both sides are bad" tribe. Such a high bar of careful thought required for that camp.

                    Oh FFS. All I said was neither President is to blame for inflation. And while I might not be as smart as you think you are, blaming one side for everything is just fucking stupid.

                    I was only joking

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                      Economy in the US is going in the right direction. Inflation is going down, no recession so far, stock market almost at record highs, hundreds of thousands of manufacturing jobs added in last 12 months, etc.

                      Now, of course, I do not give too much credit to President Biden. But there are others here (wink wink @Horace ) who are probably preparing their "Biden for President - 2024" lawn signs at the great job he has done.

                      555

                      George KG Offline
                      George KG Offline
                      George K
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #11

                      @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                      Inflation is going down,

                      No, the rate of inflation has decreased. It's not "going down." Prices are still higher.

                      no recession so far,

                      So far. Yes.

                      stock market almost at record highs,

                      As of today, the S&P 500 is still down about 9% from its peak.

                      Screenshot 2023-07-13 at 12.26.23 PM.png

                      hundreds of thousands of manufacturing jobs added in last 12 months, etc.

                      I don't know the numbers offhand, but isn't that a reflection of things returning to where they were pre-pandemic? Are those new jobs, or are they simply a return of the workforce to jobs that were already there?

                      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                      Doctor PhibesD JollyJ 2 Replies Last reply
                      • George KG George K

                        @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                        Inflation is going down,

                        No, the rate of inflation has decreased. It's not "going down." Prices are still higher.

                        no recession so far,

                        So far. Yes.

                        stock market almost at record highs,

                        As of today, the S&P 500 is still down about 9% from its peak.

                        Screenshot 2023-07-13 at 12.26.23 PM.png

                        hundreds of thousands of manufacturing jobs added in last 12 months, etc.

                        I don't know the numbers offhand, but isn't that a reflection of things returning to where they were pre-pandemic? Are those new jobs, or are they simply a return of the workforce to jobs that were already there?

                        Doctor PhibesD Online
                        Doctor PhibesD Online
                        Doctor Phibes
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #12

                        @George-K said in Inflation:

                        @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                        Inflation is going down,

                        No, the rate of inflation has decreased. It's not "going down." Prices are still higher.

                        Have we ever had negative inflation?

                        Would we want it? Almost certainly not.

                        I was only joking

                        JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                        • 89th8 Online
                          89th8 Online
                          89th
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #13

                          I'm surprised Biden has embraced the term Bidenomics.

                          Guess everyone wants to be Reagan.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                            @George-K said in Inflation:

                            @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                            Inflation is going down,

                            No, the rate of inflation has decreased. It's not "going down." Prices are still higher.

                            Have we ever had negative inflation?

                            Would we want it? Almost certainly not.

                            JollyJ Offline
                            JollyJ Offline
                            Jolly
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #14

                            @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                            @George-K said in Inflation:

                            @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                            Inflation is going down,

                            No, the rate of inflation has decreased. It's not "going down." Prices are still higher.

                            Have we ever had negative inflation?

                            Would we want it? Almost certainly not.

                            Yes.

                            “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                            Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • George KG George K

                              @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                              Inflation is going down,

                              No, the rate of inflation has decreased. It's not "going down." Prices are still higher.

                              no recession so far,

                              So far. Yes.

                              stock market almost at record highs,

                              As of today, the S&P 500 is still down about 9% from its peak.

                              Screenshot 2023-07-13 at 12.26.23 PM.png

                              hundreds of thousands of manufacturing jobs added in last 12 months, etc.

                              I don't know the numbers offhand, but isn't that a reflection of things returning to where they were pre-pandemic? Are those new jobs, or are they simply a return of the workforce to jobs that were already there?

                              JollyJ Offline
                              JollyJ Offline
                              Jolly
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #15

                              @George-K said in Inflation:

                              @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                              Inflation is going down,

                              No, the rate of inflation has decreased. It's not "going down." Prices are still higher.

                              no recession so far,

                              So far. Yes.

                              stock market almost at record highs,

                              As of today, the S&P 500 is still down about 9% from its peak.

                              Screenshot 2023-07-13 at 12.26.23 PM.png

                              hundreds of thousands of manufacturing jobs added in last 12 months, etc.

                              I don't know the numbers offhand, but isn't that a reflection of things returning to where they were pre-pandemic? Are those new jobs, or are they simply a return of the workforce to jobs that were already there?

                              I think there were more jobs, pre-pandemic. And I read the other day there are 100,000,000 Americans in the working age group that are not working or are underemployed.

                              “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                              Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • taiwan_girlT Offline
                                taiwan_girlT Offline
                                taiwan_girl
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #16

                                @George-K , you are correct, there is currently no deflation. Not sure if deflation is good, but 0% inflation maybe would be. LOL

                                But definitely, inflation is trending downward and I expect it to flatten in the coming months at 2% or less.

                                ![alt text](0f555e33-5094-4fd5-bccf-09d05df2d96e-image.png image url)https://graphics.axios.com/hermesv2/batches/2023-07-12-1211-annual-change-in/2023-07-12-1211-annual-change-in-chicago/fallbacks/2023-07-12-1211-annual-change-in-chicago-fallback.png

                                (Fun fact, i read somewhere that up until about 150-200 years ago, there was (almost) no inflation. For example, things in 1600 cost the same amount as in 1200. This is based on UK where they have some records of the cost of things over time.)

                                Below is the manufacturing jobs graph. Looks like it is return to where it was pre pandemic. But, at least it is going in the correct direction.
                                alt text

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • George KG Offline
                                  George KG Offline
                                  George K
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #17

                                  The government has, traditionally been "OK" with an inflation rate of 2-3%, iirc. However, that "OK" is predicated upon a concurrent rise in income.

                                  That has not happened. I recall seeing a statistic that, in actual income, the average family is bringing home about $6K a year less.

                                  Now, take that $500 a month decrease in real income, and combine it with a mortgage rate that has climbed from 3% to 7%, and a lot of folks are going to be very unhappy.

                                  "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                  The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                  taiwan_girlT JollyJ 2 Replies Last reply
                                  • George KG George K

                                    The government has, traditionally been "OK" with an inflation rate of 2-3%, iirc. However, that "OK" is predicated upon a concurrent rise in income.

                                    That has not happened. I recall seeing a statistic that, in actual income, the average family is bringing home about $6K a year less.

                                    Now, take that $500 a month decrease in real income, and combine it with a mortgage rate that has climbed from 3% to 7%, and a lot of folks are going to be very unhappy.

                                    taiwan_girlT Offline
                                    taiwan_girlT Offline
                                    taiwan_girl
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #18

                                    @George-K you always make me think!!!!

                                    Unfortunately I was unable to find data that includes today.

                                    Here is one graph that shows average income over the past 50 years

                                    alt text

                                    Could not get the picture to work, so a link to average hour salary

                                    Hourly salary adjusted for inflation since 1979

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • George KG Offline
                                      George KG Offline
                                      George K
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #19

                                      Screenshot 2023-07-13 at 8.37.52 PM.png

                                      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • MikM Away
                                        MikM Away
                                        Mik
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #20

                                        We need inflation to a degree. We'll never pay off the debt otherwise.

                                        “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • George KG George K

                                          The government has, traditionally been "OK" with an inflation rate of 2-3%, iirc. However, that "OK" is predicated upon a concurrent rise in income.

                                          That has not happened. I recall seeing a statistic that, in actual income, the average family is bringing home about $6K a year less.

                                          Now, take that $500 a month decrease in real income, and combine it with a mortgage rate that has climbed from 3% to 7%, and a lot of folks are going to be very unhappy.

                                          JollyJ Offline
                                          JollyJ Offline
                                          Jolly
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #21

                                          @George-K said in Inflation:

                                          The government has, traditionally been "OK" with an inflation rate of 2-3%, iirc. However, that "OK" is predicated upon a concurrent rise in income.

                                          That has not happened. I recall seeing a statistic that, in actual income, the average family is bringing home about $6K a year less.

                                          Now, take that $500 a month decrease in real income, and combine it with a mortgage rate that has climbed from 3% to 7%, and a lot of folks are going to be very unhappy.

                                          Bidenomics.

                                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                          George KG 1 Reply Last reply
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