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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. An alternative to the IHME model?

An alternative to the IHME model?

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  • G Offline
    G Offline
    George K
    wrote on 13 Jul 2020, 00:12 last edited by
    #1

    https://covid19-projections.com

    In particular, look at the C19Pro Score for cases.

    Bad states (worst to best)

    California
    Texas
    Louisiana
    Florida
    Kentucky
    Georgia

    C19Pro Score for deaths:

    Texas
    California
    Florida
    Arizona
    Mississippi

    They're predicting a 63% chance of US deaths exceeding 200K by Nov 1.

    Also lots of data on the rest of the world.

    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

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    • L Offline
      L Offline
      Loki
      wrote on 13 Jul 2020, 00:19 last edited by
      #2

      Texas, Cali and Arizona have particular issues with their bordering Mexico.

      Florida, wonder if that relates to age and condition?

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      • T Offline
        T Offline
        taiwan_girl
        wrote on 13 Jul 2020, 01:37 last edited by
        #3

        Interesting data. Kind of "fun" to look at the different numbers. Would be nice if you were able to look at the "rankings" of the different states and countries by the various columns.

        For example, additional deaths as % of total. I just did an "eyeball" and it looks like the most 5 successful states going to the future are

        New York
        Conn
        New Jersey
        Mass
        Illinois

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        13 Jul 2020, 00:12


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