An alternative to the IHME model?
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https://covid19-projections.com
In particular, look at the C19Pro Score for cases.
Bad states (worst to best)
California
Texas
Louisiana
Florida
Kentucky
GeorgiaC19Pro Score for deaths:
Texas
California
Florida
Arizona
MississippiThey're predicting a 63% chance of US deaths exceeding 200K by Nov 1.
Also lots of data on the rest of the world.
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Interesting data. Kind of "fun" to look at the different numbers. Would be nice if you were able to look at the "rankings" of the different states and countries by the various columns.
For example, additional deaths as % of total. I just did an "eyeball" and it looks like the most 5 successful states going to the future are
New York
Conn
New Jersey
Mass
Illinois