A funny thing happened on the way to the midterms
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Trump isn’t helping. He is probably costing Republicans winnable seats by centering primary races on him and his stop the steal nonsense, rather than stuff voters care about.
AZ is an example, even potentially OH
@jon-nyc said in A funny thing happened on the way to the midterms:
Trump isn’t helping.
What I don't understand is why his supporters can't see this. There are non-Trumpian conservatives saying it, but his fanbase just don't seem able to accept it.
He's been a liability since 1/8/21.
Expecting him to bow out gracefully isn't really an option, obviously. Somebody needs to grow a pair.
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Who knows if this generalizes, but it was interesting enough to repost.
From a piece about Dobbs’ effect on women voters.
One of the first big signs that things had changed came from Kansas. After voters there defeated a constitutional amendment that would have removed abortion protections in the state in a landslide, I sought to understand how activists could have accomplished such an astounding upset. While it takes several weeks for state election officials to produce full reports on who voted in any given election, there was an immediate clue. I looked at new voter registrants in the state since the June 24 Dobbs decision. As shocking as the election result was to me, what I found was more striking than any single election statistic I can recall discovering throughout my career. Sixty-nine percent of those new registrants were women. In the six months before Dobbs, women outnumbered men by a three-point margin among new voter registrations. After Dobbs, that gender gap skyrocketed to 40 points. Women were engaged politically in a way that lacked any known precedent.
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@Jolly said in A funny thing happened on the way to the midterms:
It's the economy, stupid.
Americans are finally feeling better about the economy :
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/09/10/economy-inflation-gas-prices/ -
That's gas prices.
I wonder how good they would feel about it, if we suddenly had to engage in a military action of any consequence, what with the strategic reserve being depleted by The Resident and our stockpiles of many weapons being quite low (without hope of immediate replenishment)?
The Resident's Administration is currently like a duck. They try to appear peaceful and calm on top of the recession water, while paddling furiously underneath that water, knowing a recession is already here or is coming. They are doing whatever they can to try to get through the midterms without any bad economic news upsetting the applecart.
But I would advise you to disconnect from the virtual reality chair, crawl out of the Cheeto Bunker and go talk to real people. Middle-class people with mortgages, kids in college and some that are looking at new cars.
All is not well.
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That's gas prices.
I wonder how good they would feel about it, if we suddenly had to engage in a military action of any consequence, what with the strategic reserve being depleted by The Resident and our stockpiles of many weapons being quite low (without hope of immediate replenishment)?
The Resident's Administration is currently like a duck. They try to appear peaceful and calm on top of the recession water, while paddling furiously underneath that water, knowing a recession is already here or is coming. They are doing whatever they can to try to get through the midterms without any bad economic news upsetting the applecart.
But I would advise you to disconnect from the virtual reality chair, crawl out of the Cheeto Bunker and go talk to real people. Middle-class people with mortgages, kids in college and some that are looking at new cars.
All is not well.
@Jolly said in A funny thing happened on the way to the midterms:
They are doing whatever they can to try to get through the midterms without any bad economic news upsetting the applecart.
Yup. And then hope that in the next two years, things will (continue to) improve.
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https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/sep/12/republicans-soften-staunch-anti-abortion-stance
More reporting on the GOP candidates backing off from extreme anti-abortion policies ahead of the midterm election.
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As wise people on here have said, it is easy to campaign and tough to govern.
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Interesting… Momentum has shifted sharply in Nevada and GA, and while Fetterman is leading in PA still, RCP is projecting PA going R now.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map-rcp-projection.html
The polls since the Student Loan issue came to the front have shifted sharply. I know the public opinion polls state that the majority support the plan, but that has not been my experience… Even a lot of Democrats I know are bitching about it…
