Looking for the "Why?"
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Interesting. #1 and #2 are what I have hear the most as the reasions.
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Until Gettysburg, the contest was in doubt.
As was pointed out in the piece, what would have happened if Lincoln had lost in '64?
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I think the south was simply out-manned and out-gunned.
I have read that there were several times where if things had worked out just a little differently the outcome could have been changed. But, of course, that is speculation. You hear the same said about WWII.
But an overwhelming number of assets is always helpful.
Mr. Lincoln certainly thought, more than once, that the Feds could lose.
In the end the North had more Irish than the South, that was the difference.
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The war was highly unpopular in several areas. New York even had riots when draft was instituted. Part of the South's strategy was hoping the North would decide the fight simply wasn't worth it.