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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter

Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter

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  • AxtremusA Offline
    AxtremusA Offline
    Axtremus
    wrote on last edited by
    #108

    As for Musk buying 100% of Twitter and taking Twitter private …

    1. Will the Board sell? @klaus aside, will the shareholders sell? The Twitter-verse has always been more than “making money,” just not sure how much more.
    2. Will it run into regulatory roadblocks? It won’t be the fist time the government step in to stop some mega merger or mega buyout.
    3. If the buyout attempt fails, will Musk try to build his own or just move on to the next project?
    1 Reply Last reply
    • KlausK Klaus

      Why doesn't the stock price go up to $54.20? Is that a signal of the uncertainty that people will sell to Elon?

      How many shareholders would need to sell to make the deal go through?

      AxtremusA Offline
      AxtremusA Offline
      Axtremus
      wrote on last edited by
      #109

      @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

      Why doesn't the stock price go up to $54.20? Is that a signal of the uncertainty that people will sell to Elon?

      How many shareholders would need to sell to make the deal go through?

      Probably wait ‘til the US markets open before you take the last reported ticker price seriously?

      1 Reply Last reply
      • George KG Offline
        George KG Offline
        George K
        wrote on last edited by
        #110

        In the filing:

        Screen Shot 2022-04-14 at 7.15.11 AM.png

        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • AxtremusA Offline
          AxtremusA Offline
          Axtremus
          wrote on last edited by
          #111

          Taking Musk’s statements at face value, the offer to buy Twitter will come up to $43 Billion. Subtracting the 9%-ish that Musk already owns, Musk still needs to cough up $40 Billion in cash. That’s something like one fifth of Musk’s estimated net worth, most of which are tied up in equities of other companies. Will Musk be willing to actually pay the massive capital gains hit to sell whatever equities in other companies to come up with the $40 Billion to take Twitter public? If he is, what are the effects on the companies whose stocks Musk will sell to raise the cash for his Twitter takeover?

          KlausK 1 Reply Last reply
          • AxtremusA Axtremus

            Taking Musk’s statements at face value, the offer to buy Twitter will come up to $43 Billion. Subtracting the 9%-ish that Musk already owns, Musk still needs to cough up $40 Billion in cash. That’s something like one fifth of Musk’s estimated net worth, most of which are tied up in equities of other companies. Will Musk be willing to actually pay the massive capital gains hit to sell whatever equities in other companies to come up with the $40 Billion to take Twitter public? If he is, what are the effects on the companies whose stocks Musk will sell to raise the cash for his Twitter takeover?

            KlausK Offline
            KlausK Offline
            Klaus
            wrote on last edited by
            #112

            @Axtremus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

            Taking Musk’s statements at face value, the offer to buy Twitter will come up to $43 Billion. Subtracting the 9%-ish that Musk already owns, Musk still needs to cough up $40 Billion in cash. That’s something like one fifth of Musk’s estimated net worth, most of which are tied up in equities of other companies. Will Musk be willing to actually pay the massive capital gains hit to sell whatever equities in other companies to come up with the $40 Billion to take Twitter public? If he is, what are the effects on the companies whose stocks Musk will sell to raise the cash for his Twitter takeover?

            Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

            AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
            • KlausK Klaus

              @Axtremus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

              Taking Musk’s statements at face value, the offer to buy Twitter will come up to $43 Billion. Subtracting the 9%-ish that Musk already owns, Musk still needs to cough up $40 Billion in cash. That’s something like one fifth of Musk’s estimated net worth, most of which are tied up in equities of other companies. Will Musk be willing to actually pay the massive capital gains hit to sell whatever equities in other companies to come up with the $40 Billion to take Twitter public? If he is, what are the effects on the companies whose stocks Musk will sell to raise the cash for his Twitter takeover?

              Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

              AxtremusA Offline
              AxtremusA Offline
              Axtremus
              wrote on last edited by
              #113

              @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

              Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

              The loan will need to be paid back, with interest. The money still needs to come from somewhere. With old school buyout, you’d try to convince the bank that the company you’re buying will generate enough cash to pay back the loan. Twitter is not even profitable right now.

              KlausK LuFins DadL 2 Replies Last reply
              • AxtremusA Axtremus

                @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

                The loan will need to be paid back, with interest. The money still needs to come from somewhere. With old school buyout, you’d try to convince the bank that the company you’re buying will generate enough cash to pay back the loan. Twitter is not even profitable right now.

                KlausK Offline
                KlausK Offline
                Klaus
                wrote on last edited by
                #114

                @Axtremus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

                The loan will need to be paid back, with interest. The money still needs to come from somewhere. With old school buyout, you’d try to convince the bank that the company you’re buying will generate enough cash to pay back the loan. Twitter is not even profitable right now.

                He could use a part of his stocks in Tesla and SpaceX as collateral, no?

                AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
                • KlausK Offline
                  KlausK Offline
                  Klaus
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #115

                  bc4ac6d5-c9a4-45dc-87d2-3da5560f96fc-image.png

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • AxtremusA Axtremus

                    @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                    Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

                    The loan will need to be paid back, with interest. The money still needs to come from somewhere. With old school buyout, you’d try to convince the bank that the company you’re buying will generate enough cash to pay back the loan. Twitter is not even profitable right now.

                    LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins Dad
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #116

                    @Axtremus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                    @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                    Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

                    The loan will need to be paid back, with interest. The money still needs to come from somewhere. With old school buyout, you’d try to convince the bank that the company you’re buying will generate enough cash to pay back the loan. Twitter is not even profitable right now.

                    It’s not profitable because the God King doesn’t own it yet.

                    The Brad

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • George KG Offline
                      George KG Offline
                      George K
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #117

                      If it costs Musk 10% of his net worth, it would probably not change his life - at all. That's not the case for most of the planet.

                      What are the actual mechanics of this happening? Who has to approve the sale - board of directors or a vote of all shareholders?

                      If it's approved, I assume shareholders will be paid out at the price agreed upon, right?

                      So, if Twitter is not profitable, as @Axtremus says, how much money per year does it lose? Will that bother Musk, or will he just twirl his mustache and say, "I laugh at these losses! Watch what I do next!"?

                      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • KlausK Offline
                        KlausK Offline
                        Klaus
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #118

                        I assume you can take a company private if you control 51% of the shares?

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • George KG Offline
                          George KG Offline
                          George K
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #119

                          @Klaus I'd think so.

                          Would that qualify as a "hostile takeover?"

                          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                          jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                          • LuFins DadL Offline
                            LuFins DadL Offline
                            LuFins Dad
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #120

                            How do you post gifs?

                            https://tenor.com/view/popcorns-crackhead-eating-popcorn-food-junk-gif-14546221

                            The Brad

                            George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                            • KlausK Klaus

                              @Axtremus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                              @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                              Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

                              The loan will need to be paid back, with interest. The money still needs to come from somewhere. With old school buyout, you’d try to convince the bank that the company you’re buying will generate enough cash to pay back the loan. Twitter is not even profitable right now.

                              He could use a part of his stocks in Tesla and SpaceX as collateral, no?

                              AxtremusA Offline
                              AxtremusA Offline
                              Axtremus
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #121

                              @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                              @Axtremus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                              @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                              Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

                              The loan will need to be paid back, with interest. The money still needs to come from somewhere. With old school buyout, you’d try to convince the bank that the company you’re buying will generate enough cash to pay back the loan. Twitter is not even profitable right now.

                              He could use a part of his stocks in Tesla and SpaceX as collateral, no?

                              Gets even more complicated once the other companies are brought into this deal. Yes, the stocks may be made collaterals, but you’d still need cash flow to service the loan. That shifts the argument to cash flow. SpaceX is still in the “hemorrhage money for R&D” phase. Tesla has positive cash flow but does not issue cash dividend. Musk still needs to go through a bunch of mechanisms to take money out of Tesla’s cash flow to service his (hypothetical) Twitter loan.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • George KG George K

                                @Klaus I'd think so.

                                Would that qualify as a "hostile takeover?"

                                jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #122

                                @George-K said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                                @Klaus I'd think so.

                                Would that qualify as a "hostile takeover?"

                                Hostile refers to the relationship with current management. We’ll have to see how they react.

                                Only non-witches get due process.

                                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                                  How do you post gifs?

                                  https://tenor.com/view/popcorns-crackhead-eating-popcorn-food-junk-gif-14546221

                                  George KG Offline
                                  George KG Offline
                                  George K
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #123

                                  @LuFins-Dad said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                                  How do you post gifs?

                                  https://tenor.com/view/popcorns-crackhead-eating-popcorn-food-junk-gif-14546221

                                  Click here and paste URL:

                                  Screen Shot 2022-04-14 at 8.06.39 AM.png

                                  "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                  The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • George KG Offline
                                    George KG Offline
                                    George K
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #124

                                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • George KG Offline
                                      George KG Offline
                                      George K
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #125

                                      What's to stop Musk from buying another 45% of the company? That would give him control, no?

                                      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • JollyJ Offline
                                        JollyJ Offline
                                        Jolly
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #126

                                        Tucker had a suggestion in his monologue last night... People who believe in free speech should buy Twitter stock and then let Elon have their proxies.

                                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                        AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
                                        • JollyJ Jolly

                                          Tucker had a suggestion in his monologue last night... People who believe in free speech should buy Twitter stock and then let Elon have their proxies.

                                          AxtremusA Offline
                                          AxtremusA Offline
                                          Axtremus
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #127

                                          @Jolly said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                                          Tucker had a suggestion in his monologue last night... People who believe in free speech should buy Twitter stock and then let Elon have their proxies.

                                          How much of Twitter's stock has Tucker bought?

                                          JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
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