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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter

Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter

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  • K Offline
    K Offline
    Klaus
    wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 12:05 last edited by
    #107

    Why doesn't the stock price go up to $54.20? Is that a signal of the uncertainty that people will sell to Elon?

    How many shareholders would need to sell to make the deal go through?

    A 1 Reply Last reply 14 Apr 2022, 12:13
    • A Away
      A Away
      Axtremus
      wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 12:12 last edited by
      #108

      As for Musk buying 100% of Twitter and taking Twitter private …

      1. Will the Board sell? @klaus aside, will the shareholders sell? The Twitter-verse has always been more than “making money,” just not sure how much more.
      2. Will it run into regulatory roadblocks? It won’t be the fist time the government step in to stop some mega merger or mega buyout.
      3. If the buyout attempt fails, will Musk try to build his own or just move on to the next project?
      1 Reply Last reply
      • K Klaus
        14 Apr 2022, 12:05

        Why doesn't the stock price go up to $54.20? Is that a signal of the uncertainty that people will sell to Elon?

        How many shareholders would need to sell to make the deal go through?

        A Away
        A Away
        Axtremus
        wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 12:13 last edited by
        #109

        @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

        Why doesn't the stock price go up to $54.20? Is that a signal of the uncertainty that people will sell to Elon?

        How many shareholders would need to sell to make the deal go through?

        Probably wait ‘til the US markets open before you take the last reported ticker price seriously?

        1 Reply Last reply
        • G Offline
          G Offline
          George K
          wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 12:15 last edited by
          #110

          In the filing:

          Screen Shot 2022-04-14 at 7.15.11 AM.png

          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • A Away
            A Away
            Axtremus
            wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 12:26 last edited by
            #111

            Taking Musk’s statements at face value, the offer to buy Twitter will come up to $43 Billion. Subtracting the 9%-ish that Musk already owns, Musk still needs to cough up $40 Billion in cash. That’s something like one fifth of Musk’s estimated net worth, most of which are tied up in equities of other companies. Will Musk be willing to actually pay the massive capital gains hit to sell whatever equities in other companies to come up with the $40 Billion to take Twitter public? If he is, what are the effects on the companies whose stocks Musk will sell to raise the cash for his Twitter takeover?

            K 1 Reply Last reply 14 Apr 2022, 12:36
            • A Axtremus
              14 Apr 2022, 12:26

              Taking Musk’s statements at face value, the offer to buy Twitter will come up to $43 Billion. Subtracting the 9%-ish that Musk already owns, Musk still needs to cough up $40 Billion in cash. That’s something like one fifth of Musk’s estimated net worth, most of which are tied up in equities of other companies. Will Musk be willing to actually pay the massive capital gains hit to sell whatever equities in other companies to come up with the $40 Billion to take Twitter public? If he is, what are the effects on the companies whose stocks Musk will sell to raise the cash for his Twitter takeover?

              K Offline
              K Offline
              Klaus
              wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 12:36 last edited by
              #112

              @Axtremus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

              Taking Musk’s statements at face value, the offer to buy Twitter will come up to $43 Billion. Subtracting the 9%-ish that Musk already owns, Musk still needs to cough up $40 Billion in cash. That’s something like one fifth of Musk’s estimated net worth, most of which are tied up in equities of other companies. Will Musk be willing to actually pay the massive capital gains hit to sell whatever equities in other companies to come up with the $40 Billion to take Twitter public? If he is, what are the effects on the companies whose stocks Musk will sell to raise the cash for his Twitter takeover?

              Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

              A 1 Reply Last reply 14 Apr 2022, 12:46
              • K Klaus
                14 Apr 2022, 12:36

                @Axtremus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                Taking Musk’s statements at face value, the offer to buy Twitter will come up to $43 Billion. Subtracting the 9%-ish that Musk already owns, Musk still needs to cough up $40 Billion in cash. That’s something like one fifth of Musk’s estimated net worth, most of which are tied up in equities of other companies. Will Musk be willing to actually pay the massive capital gains hit to sell whatever equities in other companies to come up with the $40 Billion to take Twitter public? If he is, what are the effects on the companies whose stocks Musk will sell to raise the cash for his Twitter takeover?

                Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

                A Away
                A Away
                Axtremus
                wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 12:46 last edited by
                #113

                @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

                The loan will need to be paid back, with interest. The money still needs to come from somewhere. With old school buyout, you’d try to convince the bank that the company you’re buying will generate enough cash to pay back the loan. Twitter is not even profitable right now.

                K L 2 Replies Last reply 14 Apr 2022, 12:50
                • A Axtremus
                  14 Apr 2022, 12:46

                  @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                  Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

                  The loan will need to be paid back, with interest. The money still needs to come from somewhere. With old school buyout, you’d try to convince the bank that the company you’re buying will generate enough cash to pay back the loan. Twitter is not even profitable right now.

                  K Offline
                  K Offline
                  Klaus
                  wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 12:50 last edited by
                  #114

                  @Axtremus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                  @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                  Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

                  The loan will need to be paid back, with interest. The money still needs to come from somewhere. With old school buyout, you’d try to convince the bank that the company you’re buying will generate enough cash to pay back the loan. Twitter is not even profitable right now.

                  He could use a part of his stocks in Tesla and SpaceX as collateral, no?

                  A 1 Reply Last reply 14 Apr 2022, 13:03
                  • K Offline
                    K Offline
                    Klaus
                    wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 12:52 last edited by
                    #115

                    bc4ac6d5-c9a4-45dc-87d2-3da5560f96fc-image.png

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • A Axtremus
                      14 Apr 2022, 12:46

                      @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                      Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

                      The loan will need to be paid back, with interest. The money still needs to come from somewhere. With old school buyout, you’d try to convince the bank that the company you’re buying will generate enough cash to pay back the loan. Twitter is not even profitable right now.

                      L Offline
                      L Offline
                      LuFins Dad
                      wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 12:56 last edited by
                      #116

                      @Axtremus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                      @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                      Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

                      The loan will need to be paid back, with interest. The money still needs to come from somewhere. With old school buyout, you’d try to convince the bank that the company you’re buying will generate enough cash to pay back the loan. Twitter is not even profitable right now.

                      It’s not profitable because the God King doesn’t own it yet.

                      The Brad

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • G Offline
                        G Offline
                        George K
                        wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 12:57 last edited by
                        #117

                        If it costs Musk 10% of his net worth, it would probably not change his life - at all. That's not the case for most of the planet.

                        What are the actual mechanics of this happening? Who has to approve the sale - board of directors or a vote of all shareholders?

                        If it's approved, I assume shareholders will be paid out at the price agreed upon, right?

                        So, if Twitter is not profitable, as @Axtremus says, how much money per year does it lose? Will that bother Musk, or will he just twirl his mustache and say, "I laugh at these losses! Watch what I do next!"?

                        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • K Offline
                          K Offline
                          Klaus
                          wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 12:58 last edited by
                          #118

                          I assume you can take a company private if you control 51% of the shares?

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • G Offline
                            G Offline
                            George K
                            wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 12:59 last edited by
                            #119

                            @Klaus I'd think so.

                            Would that qualify as a "hostile takeover?"

                            "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                            The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                            J 1 Reply Last reply 14 Apr 2022, 13:05
                            • L Offline
                              L Offline
                              LuFins Dad
                              wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 13:03 last edited by
                              #120

                              How do you post gifs?

                              https://tenor.com/view/popcorns-crackhead-eating-popcorn-food-junk-gif-14546221

                              The Brad

                              G 1 Reply Last reply 14 Apr 2022, 13:08
                              • K Klaus
                                14 Apr 2022, 12:50

                                @Axtremus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                                @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                                Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

                                The loan will need to be paid back, with interest. The money still needs to come from somewhere. With old school buyout, you’d try to convince the bank that the company you’re buying will generate enough cash to pay back the loan. Twitter is not even profitable right now.

                                He could use a part of his stocks in Tesla and SpaceX as collateral, no?

                                A Away
                                A Away
                                Axtremus
                                wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 13:03 last edited by
                                #121

                                @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                                @Axtremus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                                @Klaus said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                                Wouldn't banks happily give him a loan?

                                The loan will need to be paid back, with interest. The money still needs to come from somewhere. With old school buyout, you’d try to convince the bank that the company you’re buying will generate enough cash to pay back the loan. Twitter is not even profitable right now.

                                He could use a part of his stocks in Tesla and SpaceX as collateral, no?

                                Gets even more complicated once the other companies are brought into this deal. Yes, the stocks may be made collaterals, but you’d still need cash flow to service the loan. That shifts the argument to cash flow. SpaceX is still in the “hemorrhage money for R&D” phase. Tesla has positive cash flow but does not issue cash dividend. Musk still needs to go through a bunch of mechanisms to take money out of Tesla’s cash flow to service his (hypothetical) Twitter loan.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • G George K
                                  14 Apr 2022, 12:59

                                  @Klaus I'd think so.

                                  Would that qualify as a "hostile takeover?"

                                  J Online
                                  J Online
                                  jon-nyc
                                  wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 13:05 last edited by
                                  #122

                                  @George-K said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                                  @Klaus I'd think so.

                                  Would that qualify as a "hostile takeover?"

                                  Hostile refers to the relationship with current management. We’ll have to see how they react.

                                  You were warned.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • L LuFins Dad
                                    14 Apr 2022, 13:03

                                    How do you post gifs?

                                    https://tenor.com/view/popcorns-crackhead-eating-popcorn-food-junk-gif-14546221

                                    G Offline
                                    G Offline
                                    George K
                                    wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 13:08 last edited by
                                    #123

                                    @LuFins-Dad said in Elon Musk buys a big chunk of Twitter:

                                    How do you post gifs?

                                    https://tenor.com/view/popcorns-crackhead-eating-popcorn-food-junk-gif-14546221

                                    Click here and paste URL:

                                    Screen Shot 2022-04-14 at 8.06.39 AM.png

                                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • G Offline
                                      G Offline
                                      George K
                                      wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 13:08 last edited by
                                      #124

                                      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • G Offline
                                        G Offline
                                        George K
                                        wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 13:39 last edited by
                                        #125

                                        What's to stop Musk from buying another 45% of the company? That would give him control, no?

                                        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • J Offline
                                          J Offline
                                          Jolly
                                          wrote on 14 Apr 2022, 14:00 last edited by
                                          #126

                                          Tucker had a suggestion in his monologue last night... People who believe in free speech should buy Twitter stock and then let Elon have their proxies.

                                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                          A 1 Reply Last reply 14 Apr 2022, 14:07
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