The Ukraine war thread

[George K]

[George K]

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1665377461566160898.html

Mikhail Khodaryonok was one of the few Russian state media voices who warned about the difficulties of invading Ukraine before February 2022

Here's what he has to say now /1

Khodaryonok admits that Russia lacks the resources to defend Belgorod, and highlights how Belgorod officials have attacked the Russian Defence Ministry on this

Khodaryonok calls for additional fortifications in Grayvoron and Shebekino /2

Khodaryonok wants air power and artillery to be taken to defend the Russia-Ukraine border. This is how serious the threat is

He says they need to be either taken from frontline areas like Kherson, Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia or from the reserves of the Russian military /3

Khodaryonok warns that Ukraine will carry out Shebekino-style incursions in other regions of Russia to stretch their forces across a 1,500km

These operations will be followed by a serious Ukrainian counter-offensive /4

Khodaryonok's commentary spurred extreme reactions on Russian state TV

Alexander Shpakovsky called for an end to the SVO and the start of the Great Patriotic War where all Russians need to participate

The sense of alarm is real after the Belgorod attack /END

[Wim]

This looks serious:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/05/ukrainian-troops-launch-attacks-along-donetsk-frontline

[Renauda]

Something definitely percolating there. Not only with armed forces but PsyOps as well:

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/06/05/radio-waves-air-fake-putin-state-of-war-address-a81403

[bachophile]

[Jon]

@bachophile

Damn.

[George K]

@Jon said in The Ukraine war thread:

@bachophile

Damn.

Each side is accusing the other, of course. However, from what I've read, this limits Ukraine's ability to cross the river and execute their counter-offensive.

[Mik]

It doesn't make much sense for anyone but Russia to be behind it.

https://www.irishtimes.com/world/europe/2023/06/06/why-is-the-nova-kakhovka-dam-so-important/

[Mik]

[Mik]

Link to video

[Mik]

More predictions of doom for Putin, civil war in Russia, end of the federation. Who knows. The collapse of the federation might be the worst thing that could happen.

[Renauda]

I clearly remember a time not all that long ago when there was a similar fear that the USSR would collapse. I was even sent to DC to attend a conference discussing the various scenarios and consequences of a collapse. Plenty of gloom and doom in those presentations.

[George K]

[George K]

[Mik]

They might want to rethink the dam thing. It's not working out real well.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/russian-troops-flee-first-line-of-defense-near-kherson-all-wet/ar-AA1ceQiK?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=8b7e28fee78f47ed8c8ef5bba937fc41&ei=20

[Jolly]

@George-K said in The Ukraine war thread:

Good jet.

[Axtremus]

https://www.cnn.com/videos/world/2023/06/08/wagner-leader-yevgeny-prigozhin-predicts-firing-squads-russia-ukraine-ebof-vpx.cnn

Wagner chief makes some predictions about the Ukraine war ...

I don't get why this Wagner chief keeps making public statements about the Ukraine war. What is there for him to gain from making these public statements?

[George K]

@Axtremus said in The Ukraine war thread:

https://www.cnn.com/videos/world/2023/06/08/wagner-leader-yevgeny-prigozhin-predicts-firing-squads-russia-ukraine-ebof-vpx.cnn

In order to watch a 54 second news report, I had to watch a 30 second advertisement. Thanks, CNN.

[Mik]

Prigozhin seems to be setting up to lead a civil war or coup.

[Renauda]

Analysis of dam destruction:

https://www.dw.com/en/russians-likely-underestimated-flood-impact-military-expert/video-65848035