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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The Rebound

The Rebound

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  • J jon-nyc
    27 May 2020, 01:35

    We won’t see a V recovery.

    Even if there’s a treatment breakthrough.

    M Offline
    M Offline
    Mik
    wrote on 27 May 2020, 01:48 last edited by
    #13

    @jon-nyc said in The Rebound:

    We won’t see a V recovery.

    Even if there’s a treatment breakthrough.

    I don't think we can avoid it if jobs start back up. The unemployment drop was so very precipitous, it will go up pretty sharply but not as high as it was. Overall GDP will not recover nearly as fast.

    “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

    J 1 Reply Last reply 27 May 2020, 02:04
    • X Offline
      X Offline
      xenon
      wrote on 27 May 2020, 01:51 last edited by
      #14

      I dunno... a little silhouette maybe. Of a man.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • M Offline
        M Offline
        Mik
        wrote on 27 May 2020, 01:59 last edited by
        #15

        Scaramouch Scaramouche will you do the fake news-O

        “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

        1 Reply Last reply
        • M Mik
          27 May 2020, 01:48

          @jon-nyc said in The Rebound:

          We won’t see a V recovery.

          Even if there’s a treatment breakthrough.

          I don't think we can avoid it if jobs start back up. The unemployment drop was so very precipitous, it will go up pretty sharply but not as high as it was. Overall GDP will not recover nearly as fast.

          J Online
          J Online
          jon-nyc
          wrote on 27 May 2020, 02:04 last edited by
          #16

          @Mik said in The Rebound:

          @jon-nyc said in The Rebound:

          We won’t see a V recovery.

          Even if there’s a treatment breakthrough.

          I don't think we can avoid it if jobs start back up. The unemployment drop was so very precipitous, it will go up pretty sharply but not as high as it was. Overall GDP will not recover nearly as fast.

          I don’t see how consumer confidence returns until the virus is beaten.

          Only non-witches get due process.

          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
          1 Reply Last reply
          • 8 89th
            27 May 2020, 01:48

            Like the 89th key amirite

            H Offline
            H Offline
            Horace
            wrote on 27 May 2020, 02:21 last edited by
            #17

            @89th said in The Rebound:

            Like the 89th key amirite

            lol

            Education is extremely important.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • A Offline
              A Offline
              Axtremus
              wrote on 27 May 2020, 02:24 last edited by
              #18

              If we rush the re-opening too much, the risk for a "2nd wave" goes up, then the economic recovery will not be V-shaped.

              C 1 Reply Last reply 27 May 2020, 02:43
              • X Offline
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                xenon
                wrote on 27 May 2020, 02:28 last edited by
                #19

                Then it’ll make a backwards “N”, then a “W”, and 2020 growth will be “0”

                New World Order confirmed.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • A Axtremus
                  27 May 2020, 02:24

                  If we rush the re-opening too much, the risk for a "2nd wave" goes up, then the economic recovery will not be V-shaped.

                  C Offline
                  C Offline
                  Copper
                  wrote on 27 May 2020, 02:43 last edited by
                  #20

                  @Axtremus said in The Rebound:

                  If we rush the re-opening too much, the risk for a "2nd wave" goes up, then the economic recovery will not be V-shaped.

                  What does too much mean?
                  What does risk goes up mean, up to what?
                  How will the recovery be shaped?
                  The recovery for the whole world or just select locations?

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • H Offline
                    H Offline
                    Horace
                    wrote on 27 May 2020, 02:49 last edited by
                    #21

                    I'm beginning to get the idea that most covid hawk arguments are non quantified and non quantifiable noises made to indicate that the noise maker thinks the other side just hasn't thought things through well enough.

                    Education is extremely important.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • R Offline
                      R Offline
                      Rainman
                      wrote on 27 May 2020, 02:52 last edited by
                      #22

                      Could we pin this topic, so we can look back on it to see who was right? I'm having a good laugh as I read all this.

                      My prediction: it will go away faster than anyone thought possible, the vaccine will be developed earlier than anyone thought possible, and the economic recovery will be rapid and astounding, as people are chafing at the bit to get back to work and pursue the American dream. Those that were laid off will have enthusiasm for working again, and will start buying again like crazy. And, they will try to buy USA stuff, not Chinese.

                      Along the way, no fingers will be broken, although there will be many tired fingers, given all the finger pointing over the next year.

                      H 1 Reply Last reply 27 May 2020, 02:56
                      • J Online
                        J Online
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on 27 May 2020, 02:52 last edited by
                        #23

                        Nobody on this board has spent more time quantifying arguments than me.

                        Only non-witches get due process.

                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • H Offline
                          H Offline
                          Horace
                          wrote on 27 May 2020, 02:54 last edited by Horace
                          #24

                          Well I said most. You have done an admirable job in your deep dive into the numbers.

                          Education is extremely important.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • R Rainman
                            27 May 2020, 02:52

                            Could we pin this topic, so we can look back on it to see who was right? I'm having a good laugh as I read all this.

                            My prediction: it will go away faster than anyone thought possible, the vaccine will be developed earlier than anyone thought possible, and the economic recovery will be rapid and astounding, as people are chafing at the bit to get back to work and pursue the American dream. Those that were laid off will have enthusiasm for working again, and will start buying again like crazy. And, they will try to buy USA stuff, not Chinese.

                            Along the way, no fingers will be broken, although there will be many tired fingers, given all the finger pointing over the next year.

                            H Offline
                            H Offline
                            Horace
                            wrote on 27 May 2020, 02:56 last edited by
                            #25

                            @Rainman said in The Rebound:

                            Along the way, no fingers will be broken, although there will be many tired fingers, given all the finger pointing over the next year.

                            And all the frenzied typing of "I told you so"s.

                            Education is extremely important.

                            M 1 Reply Last reply 27 May 2020, 14:58
                            • A Offline
                              A Offline
                              Axtremus
                              wrote on 27 May 2020, 04:38 last edited by
                              #26

                              That’s from the weekend of May 23. Maybe it will be fine.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • J Online
                                J Online
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on 27 May 2020, 09:42 last edited by
                                #27

                                At least it’s outside, but still, they looked pretty damn close. It didn’t look like a camera trick.

                                Only non-witches get due process.

                                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • H Horace
                                  27 May 2020, 02:56

                                  @Rainman said in The Rebound:

                                  Along the way, no fingers will be broken, although there will be many tired fingers, given all the finger pointing over the next year.

                                  And all the frenzied typing of "I told you so"s.

                                  M Offline
                                  M Offline
                                  Mik
                                  wrote on 27 May 2020, 14:58 last edited by
                                  #28

                                  @Horace said in The Rebound:

                                  @Rainman said in The Rebound:

                                  Along the way, no fingers will be broken, although there will be many tired fingers, given all the finger pointing over the next year.

                                  And all the frenzied typing of "I told you so"s.

                                  The thing that will truly rocket up is hindsight

                                  “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

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