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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The Rebound

The Rebound

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
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  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    We won’t see a V recovery.

    Even if there’s a treatment breakthrough.

    MikM Offline
    MikM Offline
    Mik
    wrote on last edited by
    #13

    @jon-nyc said in The Rebound:

    We won’t see a V recovery.

    Even if there’s a treatment breakthrough.

    I don't think we can avoid it if jobs start back up. The unemployment drop was so very precipitous, it will go up pretty sharply but not as high as it was. Overall GDP will not recover nearly as fast.

    “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

    jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
    • X Offline
      X Offline
      xenon
      wrote on last edited by
      #14

      I dunno... a little silhouette maybe. Of a man.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • MikM Offline
        MikM Offline
        Mik
        wrote on last edited by
        #15

        Scaramouch Scaramouche will you do the fake news-O

        “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

        1 Reply Last reply
        • MikM Mik

          @jon-nyc said in The Rebound:

          We won’t see a V recovery.

          Even if there’s a treatment breakthrough.

          I don't think we can avoid it if jobs start back up. The unemployment drop was so very precipitous, it will go up pretty sharply but not as high as it was. Overall GDP will not recover nearly as fast.

          jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nyc
          wrote on last edited by
          #16

          @Mik said in The Rebound:

          @jon-nyc said in The Rebound:

          We won’t see a V recovery.

          Even if there’s a treatment breakthrough.

          I don't think we can avoid it if jobs start back up. The unemployment drop was so very precipitous, it will go up pretty sharply but not as high as it was. Overall GDP will not recover nearly as fast.

          I don’t see how consumer confidence returns until the virus is beaten.

          Only non-witches get due process.

          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
          1 Reply Last reply
          • 89th8 89th

            Like the 89th key amirite

            HoraceH Offline
            HoraceH Offline
            Horace
            wrote on last edited by
            #17

            @89th said in The Rebound:

            Like the 89th key amirite

            lol

            Education is extremely important.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • AxtremusA Offline
              AxtremusA Offline
              Axtremus
              wrote on last edited by
              #18

              If we rush the re-opening too much, the risk for a "2nd wave" goes up, then the economic recovery will not be V-shaped.

              CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
              • X Offline
                X Offline
                xenon
                wrote on last edited by
                #19

                Then it’ll make a backwards “N”, then a “W”, and 2020 growth will be “0”

                New World Order confirmed.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • AxtremusA Axtremus

                  If we rush the re-opening too much, the risk for a "2nd wave" goes up, then the economic recovery will not be V-shaped.

                  CopperC Offline
                  CopperC Offline
                  Copper
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #20

                  @Axtremus said in The Rebound:

                  If we rush the re-opening too much, the risk for a "2nd wave" goes up, then the economic recovery will not be V-shaped.

                  What does too much mean?
                  What does risk goes up mean, up to what?
                  How will the recovery be shaped?
                  The recovery for the whole world or just select locations?

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • HoraceH Offline
                    HoraceH Offline
                    Horace
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #21

                    I'm beginning to get the idea that most covid hawk arguments are non quantified and non quantifiable noises made to indicate that the noise maker thinks the other side just hasn't thought things through well enough.

                    Education is extremely important.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • RainmanR Offline
                      RainmanR Offline
                      Rainman
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #22

                      Could we pin this topic, so we can look back on it to see who was right? I'm having a good laugh as I read all this.

                      My prediction: it will go away faster than anyone thought possible, the vaccine will be developed earlier than anyone thought possible, and the economic recovery will be rapid and astounding, as people are chafing at the bit to get back to work and pursue the American dream. Those that were laid off will have enthusiasm for working again, and will start buying again like crazy. And, they will try to buy USA stuff, not Chinese.

                      Along the way, no fingers will be broken, although there will be many tired fingers, given all the finger pointing over the next year.

                      HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #23

                        Nobody on this board has spent more time quantifying arguments than me.

                        Only non-witches get due process.

                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • HoraceH Offline
                          HoraceH Offline
                          Horace
                          wrote on last edited by Horace
                          #24

                          Well I said most. You have done an admirable job in your deep dive into the numbers.

                          Education is extremely important.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • RainmanR Rainman

                            Could we pin this topic, so we can look back on it to see who was right? I'm having a good laugh as I read all this.

                            My prediction: it will go away faster than anyone thought possible, the vaccine will be developed earlier than anyone thought possible, and the economic recovery will be rapid and astounding, as people are chafing at the bit to get back to work and pursue the American dream. Those that were laid off will have enthusiasm for working again, and will start buying again like crazy. And, they will try to buy USA stuff, not Chinese.

                            Along the way, no fingers will be broken, although there will be many tired fingers, given all the finger pointing over the next year.

                            HoraceH Offline
                            HoraceH Offline
                            Horace
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #25

                            @Rainman said in The Rebound:

                            Along the way, no fingers will be broken, although there will be many tired fingers, given all the finger pointing over the next year.

                            And all the frenzied typing of "I told you so"s.

                            Education is extremely important.

                            MikM 1 Reply Last reply
                            • AxtremusA Offline
                              AxtremusA Offline
                              Axtremus
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #26

                              That’s from the weekend of May 23. Maybe it will be fine.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #27

                                At least it’s outside, but still, they looked pretty damn close. It didn’t look like a camera trick.

                                Only non-witches get due process.

                                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • HoraceH Horace

                                  @Rainman said in The Rebound:

                                  Along the way, no fingers will be broken, although there will be many tired fingers, given all the finger pointing over the next year.

                                  And all the frenzied typing of "I told you so"s.

                                  MikM Offline
                                  MikM Offline
                                  Mik
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #28

                                  @Horace said in The Rebound:

                                  @Rainman said in The Rebound:

                                  Along the way, no fingers will be broken, although there will be many tired fingers, given all the finger pointing over the next year.

                                  And all the frenzied typing of "I told you so"s.

                                  The thing that will truly rocket up is hindsight

                                  “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

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