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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Pandemic of the vaccinated?

Pandemic of the vaccinated?

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  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    If everyone is vaccinated then 100% of the cases will be breakthrough cases. This is not a measure of vaccine efficacy like the anti-vaxxers want you to believe.

    George KG Offline
    George KG Offline
    George K
    wrote on last edited by
    #3

    @jon-nyc said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

    If everyone is vaccinated then 100% of the cases will be breakthrough cases

    Of course. However the total number of cases is really large. Look at Iceland and Florida - those numbers are not percentage, but absolute number of cases (per million).

    The other thing, and the more important thing, is the number of hospitalizations/deaths/severe illnesses.

    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • KlausK Offline
      KlausK Offline
      Klaus
      wrote on last edited by
      #4

      Is it so hard to compute P(infected | vaccinated) vs P(infected | unvaccinated)?

      1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
        #5

        It’s not at all, but narratives need to be served.

        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
        -Cormac McCarthy

        George KG 1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

          It’s not at all, but narratives need to be served.

          George KG Offline
          George KG Offline
          George K
          wrote on last edited by
          #6

          @jon-nyc said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

          narratives need to be served

          Indeed. There are narratives to suit whomever.

          After all, the narrative we were told back in the spring/summer was that vaccination will prevent you from getting infected, because "science."

          And now, the "science" has changed, and so has the narrative.

          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

          KlausK RenaudaR 2 Replies Last reply
          • MikM Offline
            MikM Offline
            Mik
            wrote on last edited by
            #7

            "It's probably more improv than science"

            https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/more-people-are-getting-unapproved-fourth-doses-of-the-covid-19-vaccine/ar-AASnzWw?ocid=msedgntp

            “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

            1 Reply Last reply
            • JollyJ Offline
              JollyJ Offline
              Jolly
              wrote on last edited by
              #8

              This is why we need to fire the unvaxxed and not allow them on public or private transportation.

              They can spread COVID.

              “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

              Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

              1 Reply Last reply
              • George KG George K

                @jon-nyc said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                narratives need to be served

                Indeed. There are narratives to suit whomever.

                After all, the narrative we were told back in the spring/summer was that vaccination will prevent you from getting infected, because "science."

                And now, the "science" has changed, and so has the narrative.

                KlausK Offline
                KlausK Offline
                Klaus
                wrote on last edited by
                #9

                @george-k said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                @jon-nyc said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                narratives need to be served

                Indeed. There are narratives to suit whomever.

                After all, the narrative we were told back in the spring/summer was that vaccination will prevent you from getting infected, because "science."

                And now, the "science" has changed, and so has the narrative.

                Yeah, I'm also getting sick of "the science says" arguments, especially when they are wrong.

                Just like in climate change, both scientists and the media should be much more careful in how they present the state of the science and say "we don't know, really" much more often. Also, it's a good time to remember Hume's insight that science is about the "is" and not about the "ought" - the latter is the domain of politics and when scientists talk about "ought" they become politicians.

                George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                • KlausK Klaus

                  @george-k said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                  @jon-nyc said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                  narratives need to be served

                  Indeed. There are narratives to suit whomever.

                  After all, the narrative we were told back in the spring/summer was that vaccination will prevent you from getting infected, because "science."

                  And now, the "science" has changed, and so has the narrative.

                  Yeah, I'm also getting sick of "the science says" arguments, especially when they are wrong.

                  Just like in climate change, both scientists and the media should be much more careful in how they present the state of the science and say "we don't know, really" much more often. Also, it's a good time to remember Hume's insight that science is about the "is" and not about the "ought" - the latter is the domain of politics and when scientists talk about "ought" they become politicians.

                  George KG Offline
                  George KG Offline
                  George K
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #10

                  @klaus and how many political figures and talking heads told us, on television and social media (Yeah, Rachel Maddow, you!) that vaccination will stop the spread and "you can't get it" if you're vaccinated.

                  And that kind of misinformation still is all over social media.

                  And, as I've said many times before, I'm no anti-vaxxer to be sure (triple-dosed here), but c'mon. Stop with the hyperbole.

                  @Klaus , it's been many decades since I read Hume. That's a great statement from him.

                  "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                  The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • bachophileB Offline
                    bachophileB Offline
                    bachophile
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #11

                    I don’t think the science changed. The virus did.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • JollyJ Offline
                      JollyJ Offline
                      Jolly
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #12

                      I think a lot of what was portrayed as science was conjecture. Right, Dr. Fauxi?

                      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • CopperC Offline
                        CopperC Offline
                        Copper
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #13

                        Science without virtue is not science.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • George KG George K

                          @jon-nyc said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                          narratives need to be served

                          Indeed. There are narratives to suit whomever.

                          After all, the narrative we were told back in the spring/summer was that vaccination will prevent you from getting infected, because "science."

                          And now, the "science" has changed, and so has the narrative.

                          RenaudaR Offline
                          RenaudaR Offline
                          Renauda
                          wrote on last edited by Renauda
                          #14

                          @george-k said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                          @jon-nyc said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                          narratives need to be served

                          Indeed. There are narratives to suit whomever.

                          After all, the narrative we were told back in the spring/summer was that vaccination will prevent you from getting infected, because "science."

                          And now, the "science" has changed, and so has the narrative.

                          That may have been the message in the US, but not up here, at least at the national level. The message from Ottawa and the various national media outlets, was that the vaccine would lessen the likelihood of hospitalization and severe outcomes in the event of infection. It stressed there were no guarantees the vaccine(s) would prevent infections although it would probably help prevent spread in the community. Still it was vital to have as many people as possible vaccinated.

                          At the provincial levels it was entirely other narratives. Some were cavalier. For example the moronic toads governing this province went as far as to proclaim the pandemic over and done as 1 July - only to have Delta bite their sorry political asses off in September. Other provinces were more cautious in their narratives.

                          Elbows up!

                          CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
                          • MikM Offline
                            MikM Offline
                            Mik
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #15

                            Yep. What I have always heard is it won't necessarily prevent infection but reduces the chance of severe disease.

                            “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                            taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
                            • RenaudaR Renauda

                              @george-k said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                              @jon-nyc said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                              narratives need to be served

                              Indeed. There are narratives to suit whomever.

                              After all, the narrative we were told back in the spring/summer was that vaccination will prevent you from getting infected, because "science."

                              And now, the "science" has changed, and so has the narrative.

                              That may have been the message in the US, but not up here, at least at the national level. The message from Ottawa and the various national media outlets, was that the vaccine would lessen the likelihood of hospitalization and severe outcomes in the event of infection. It stressed there were no guarantees the vaccine(s) would prevent infections although it would probably help prevent spread in the community. Still it was vital to have as many people as possible vaccinated.

                              At the provincial levels it was entirely other narratives. Some were cavalier. For example the moronic toads governing this province went as far as to proclaim the pandemic over and done as 1 July - only to have Delta bite their sorry political asses off in September. Other provinces were more cautious in their narratives.

                              CopperC Offline
                              CopperC Offline
                              Copper
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #16

                              @renauda said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                              It stressed there were no guarantees the vaccine(s) would prevent infections although it would probably help prevent spread in the community.

                              That there were no guarantees was stressed

                              And simultaneously the guarantees were stressed

                              Either fact could be confirmed by saying "Mr. Trump".

                              RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
                              • CopperC Copper

                                @renauda said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                                It stressed there were no guarantees the vaccine(s) would prevent infections although it would probably help prevent spread in the community.

                                That there were no guarantees was stressed

                                And simultaneously the guarantees were stressed

                                Either fact could be confirmed by saying "Mr. Trump".

                                RenaudaR Offline
                                RenaudaR Offline
                                Renauda
                                wrote on last edited by Renauda
                                #17

                                @copper

                                All that can be confirmed is that Mr. Copper makes no sense in his post.

                                Elbows up!

                                CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
                                • RenaudaR Renauda

                                  @copper

                                  All that can be confirmed is that Mr. Copper makes no sense in his post.

                                  CopperC Offline
                                  CopperC Offline
                                  Copper
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #18

                                  @renauda said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                                  @copper

                                  All that can be confirmed is that Mr. Copper makes no sense in his post.

                                  Yes, it is crazy, isn't it?

                                  Some people say one thing, and other people say something completely different.

                                  RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
                                  • CopperC Copper

                                    @renauda said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                                    @copper

                                    All that can be confirmed is that Mr. Copper makes no sense in his post.

                                    Yes, it is crazy, isn't it?

                                    Some people say one thing, and other people say something completely different.

                                    RenaudaR Offline
                                    RenaudaR Offline
                                    Renauda
                                    wrote on last edited by Renauda
                                    #19

                                    @copper

                                    I do not know what Trump has to do with the messaging around C19 vaccines in Canada or outside the USA. If you care to make that connection for me, there may be a chance I will be able to make sense of your post.

                                    In the meantime however, I will not hold my breath for a coherent explanation. I doubt such exists.

                                    Elbows up!

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • LuFins DadL Offline
                                      LuFins DadL Offline
                                      LuFins Dad
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #20

                                      @jon-nyc said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                                      If everyone is vaccinated then 100% of the cases will be breakthrough cases. This is not a measure of vaccine efficacy like the anti-vaxxers want you to believe.

                                      That would be an effective argument if there weren’t 1) a significantly large cohort of unvaxxed (there is) and 2) the overall number of cases were reducing (they aren’t).

                                      Initially there was a push on the vaccines preventing spread in official pressers then they shifted to effectiveness against severe COVID. However, the entire push for vaccine mandates has been about preventing spread and that unvaxxed individuals are a danger to their Aunt Agnes and everyone around them.

                                      The Brad

                                      Aqua LetiferA 1 Reply Last reply
                                      • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                                        @jon-nyc said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                                        If everyone is vaccinated then 100% of the cases will be breakthrough cases. This is not a measure of vaccine efficacy like the anti-vaxxers want you to believe.

                                        That would be an effective argument if there weren’t 1) a significantly large cohort of unvaxxed (there is) and 2) the overall number of cases were reducing (they aren’t).

                                        Initially there was a push on the vaccines preventing spread in official pressers then they shifted to effectiveness against severe COVID. However, the entire push for vaccine mandates has been about preventing spread and that unvaxxed individuals are a danger to their Aunt Agnes and everyone around them.

                                        Aqua LetiferA Offline
                                        Aqua LetiferA Offline
                                        Aqua Letifer
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #21

                                        @lufins-dad said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                                        @jon-nyc said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                                        If everyone is vaccinated then 100% of the cases will be breakthrough cases. This is not a measure of vaccine efficacy like the anti-vaxxers want you to believe.

                                        That would be an effective argument if there weren’t 1) a significantly large cohort of unvaxxed (there is) and 2) the overall number of cases were reducing (they aren’t).

                                        Initially there was a push on the vaccines preventing spread in official pressers then they shifted to effectiveness against severe COVID.

                                        They "changed their minds" about this because variants initially were not very effective in causing breakthrough cases. Then they were, and very much so.

                                        The pandemic keeps changing. That's why the recommended practices do.

                                        And then there are the policy assholes who now have to develop rules for not only the biggest change in our day-to-day in living history, but one that didn't exist two years ago.

                                        There are going to be many policy screw-ups. Very few of these people are rubbing their hands together, laughing to themselves in their basements. Most of them are just incompetent.

                                        Please love yourself.

                                        LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                                        • Aqua LetiferA Aqua Letifer

                                          @lufins-dad said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                                          @jon-nyc said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                                          If everyone is vaccinated then 100% of the cases will be breakthrough cases. This is not a measure of vaccine efficacy like the anti-vaxxers want you to believe.

                                          That would be an effective argument if there weren’t 1) a significantly large cohort of unvaxxed (there is) and 2) the overall number of cases were reducing (they aren’t).

                                          Initially there was a push on the vaccines preventing spread in official pressers then they shifted to effectiveness against severe COVID.

                                          They "changed their minds" about this because variants initially were not very effective in causing breakthrough cases. Then they were, and very much so.

                                          The pandemic keeps changing. That's why the recommended practices do.

                                          And then there are the policy assholes who now have to develop rules for not only the biggest change in our day-to-day in living history, but one that didn't exist two years ago.

                                          There are going to be many policy screw-ups. Very few of these people are rubbing their hands together, laughing to themselves in their basements. Most of them are just incompetent.

                                          LuFins DadL Offline
                                          LuFins DadL Offline
                                          LuFins Dad
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #22

                                          @aqua-letifer said in Pandemic of the vaccinated?:

                                          Very few of these people are rubbing their hands together, laughing to themselves in their basements. Most of them are just incompetent.

                                          Yes? I've never said that these people are maniacal geniuses with evil plots. I think most of them are well-intentioned incompetents. That doesn't make their decisions any less damaging.

                                          The Brad

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