Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?
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Any chance the mandate could have an effect on the outcome of the California recall? Last week it was looking pretty good for Newsom to keep the Governorship, but could the mandate galvanize the opposition? Could it cause business owners and employees that were ambivalent about the recall to suddenly realize they need a governor that will fight the mandate and not promote it? It will be interesting to see.
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@loki said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:
Actually the polls have move from unlikely to improbable to impossible. Just check out the beating houses if you think that is just the MSM talking.
The average is at 56% keep, the last polls were conducted before the 9th, and are primarily being weighted by the huge poll (6550 LV) by UC Berkeley poll, which is poorly regarded, but added weight due to the numbers.
Besides, after the last 5 years, do you honestly still set much stock in polls?
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@lufins-dad said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:
@loki said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:
Actually the polls have move from unlikely to improbable to impossible. Just check out the beating houses if you think that is just the MSM talking.
The average is at 56% keep, the last polls were conducted before the 9th, and are primarily being weighted by the huge poll (6550 LV) by UC Berkeley poll, which is poorly regarded, but added weight due to the numbers.
Besides, after the last 5 years, do you honestly still set much stock in polls?
He is deader than a door nail. I seriously don’t know where you get your info.
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@loki said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:
@lufins-dad said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:
@loki said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:
Actually the polls have move from unlikely to improbable to impossible. Just check out the beating houses if you think that is just the MSM talking.
The average is at 56% keep, the last polls were conducted before the 9th, and are primarily being weighted by the huge poll (6550 LV) by UC Berkeley poll, which is poorly regarded, but added weight due to the numbers.
Besides, after the last 5 years, do you honestly still set much stock in polls?
He is deader than a door nail. I seriously don’t know where you get your info.
Saved for posterity. Not saying the recall will be successful but I am saying Newsom will have less than the 60% support claimed by polls.
I get my info from the same place you get yours. 538. I just bothered to read their reviews of the different pollsters.
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@lufins-dad said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:
@loki said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:
@lufins-dad said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:
@loki said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:
Actually the polls have move from unlikely to improbable to impossible. Just check out the beating houses if you think that is just the MSM talking.
The average is at 56% keep, the last polls were conducted before the 9th, and are primarily being weighted by the huge poll (6550 LV) by UC Berkeley poll, which is poorly regarded, but added weight due to the numbers.
Besides, after the last 5 years, do you honestly still set much stock in polls?
He is deader than a door nail. I seriously don’t know where you get your info.
Saved for posterity. Not saying the recall will be successful but I am saying Newsom will have less than the 60% support claimed by polls.
I get my info from the same place you get yours. 538. I just bothered to read their reviews of the different pollsters.
I wouldn’t be surprised if the spread was fifteen points.
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There is no spread between Newsom and the replacement candidates. If 50.1% votes him out, he’s out.
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Unless you mean 65% vote against recall. Sure, LOL.
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Given Newsom’s approval popularity is over 50% I am now calling at least 15 point spread against the recall. That’s my prediction.
We will have to wait a few days after Tuesday for the official result. I have no idea if the mail in or day of votes count first but I hope it’s the mail in so we don’t have to suffer it was rigged…
