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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?

Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?

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  • JollyJ Offline
    JollyJ Offline
    Jolly
    wrote on last edited by
    #2

    Money is the mother's milk of politics and California has no limit on donations for recalls.

    Money has been thrown at Newsom like a bar girl on Saturday night, just after the fleet docked.

    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

    1 Reply Last reply
    • MikM Offline
      MikM Offline
      Mik
      wrote on last edited by
      #3

      Good lord, i would hope the opposition is galvinized enough already.

      "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

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      • L Offline
        L Offline
        Loki
        wrote on last edited by
        #4

        Actually the polls have move from unlikely to improbable to impossible. Just check out the beating houses if you think that is just the MSM talking.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • LuFins DadL Offline
          LuFins DadL Offline
          LuFins Dad
          wrote on last edited by
          #5

          @loki said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:

          Actually the polls have move from unlikely to improbable to impossible. Just check out the beating houses if you think that is just the MSM talking.

          The average is at 56% keep, the last polls were conducted before the 9th, and are primarily being weighted by the huge poll (6550 LV) by UC Berkeley poll, which is poorly regarded, but added weight due to the numbers.

          Besides, after the last 5 years, do you honestly still set much stock in polls?

          The Brad

          L 1 Reply Last reply
          • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

            @loki said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:

            Actually the polls have move from unlikely to improbable to impossible. Just check out the beating houses if you think that is just the MSM talking.

            The average is at 56% keep, the last polls were conducted before the 9th, and are primarily being weighted by the huge poll (6550 LV) by UC Berkeley poll, which is poorly regarded, but added weight due to the numbers.

            Besides, after the last 5 years, do you honestly still set much stock in polls?

            L Offline
            L Offline
            Loki
            wrote on last edited by
            #6

            @lufins-dad said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:

            @loki said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:

            Actually the polls have move from unlikely to improbable to impossible. Just check out the beating houses if you think that is just the MSM talking.

            The average is at 56% keep, the last polls were conducted before the 9th, and are primarily being weighted by the huge poll (6550 LV) by UC Berkeley poll, which is poorly regarded, but added weight due to the numbers.

            Besides, after the last 5 years, do you honestly still set much stock in polls?

            He is deader than a door nail. I seriously don’t know where you get your info.

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            • LuFins DadL Offline
              LuFins DadL Offline
              LuFins Dad
              wrote on last edited by
              #7

              @loki said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:

              @lufins-dad said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:

              @loki said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:

              Actually the polls have move from unlikely to improbable to impossible. Just check out the beating houses if you think that is just the MSM talking.

              The average is at 56% keep, the last polls were conducted before the 9th, and are primarily being weighted by the huge poll (6550 LV) by UC Berkeley poll, which is poorly regarded, but added weight due to the numbers.

              Besides, after the last 5 years, do you honestly still set much stock in polls?

              He is deader than a door nail. I seriously don’t know where you get your info.

              Saved for posterity. Not saying the recall will be successful but I am saying Newsom will have less than the 60% support claimed by polls.

              I get my info from the same place you get yours. 538. I just bothered to read their reviews of the different pollsters.

              The Brad

              L 1 Reply Last reply
              • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                @loki said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:

                @lufins-dad said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:

                @loki said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:

                Actually the polls have move from unlikely to improbable to impossible. Just check out the beating houses if you think that is just the MSM talking.

                The average is at 56% keep, the last polls were conducted before the 9th, and are primarily being weighted by the huge poll (6550 LV) by UC Berkeley poll, which is poorly regarded, but added weight due to the numbers.

                Besides, after the last 5 years, do you honestly still set much stock in polls?

                He is deader than a door nail. I seriously don’t know where you get your info.

                Saved for posterity. Not saying the recall will be successful but I am saying Newsom will have less than the 60% support claimed by polls.

                I get my info from the same place you get yours. 538. I just bothered to read their reviews of the different pollsters.

                L Offline
                L Offline
                Loki
                wrote on last edited by
                #8

                @lufins-dad said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:

                @loki said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:

                @lufins-dad said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:

                @loki said in Unintended Consequences - The California Recall?:

                Actually the polls have move from unlikely to improbable to impossible. Just check out the beating houses if you think that is just the MSM talking.

                The average is at 56% keep, the last polls were conducted before the 9th, and are primarily being weighted by the huge poll (6550 LV) by UC Berkeley poll, which is poorly regarded, but added weight due to the numbers.

                Besides, after the last 5 years, do you honestly still set much stock in polls?

                He is deader than a door nail. I seriously don’t know where you get your info.

                Saved for posterity. Not saying the recall will be successful but I am saying Newsom will have less than the 60% support claimed by polls.

                I get my info from the same place you get yours. 538. I just bothered to read their reviews of the different pollsters.

                I wouldn’t be surprised if the spread was fifteen points.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • LuFins DadL Offline
                  LuFins DadL Offline
                  LuFins Dad
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #9

                  There is no spread between Newsom and the replacement candidates. If 50.1% votes him out, he’s out.

                  The Brad

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins Dad
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #10

                    Unless you mean 65% vote against recall. Sure, LOL.

                    The Brad

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • L Offline
                      L Offline
                      Loki
                      wrote on last edited by Loki
                      #11

                      Given Newsom’s approval popularity is over 50% I am now calling at least 15 point spread against the recall. That’s my prediction.

                      We will have to wait a few days after Tuesday for the official result. I have no idea if the mail in or day of votes count first but I hope it’s the mail in so we don’t have to suffer it was rigged…

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