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The New Coffee Room

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  2. General Discussion
  3. S&P Breaks 4,500

S&P Breaks 4,500

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  • Doctor PhibesD Offline
    Doctor PhibesD Offline
    Doctor Phibes
    wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
    #28

    There's no moral to the story. It's just something that happened to a friend of mine.

    And he started trading in 2008, just before everything crashed, because his wife filed for divorce and he wanted to make a shit-ton of money, mainly to annoy her. Despite my repeated suggestions to stop being a fucking idiot, he persisted, and lost a shit-ton of money.

    Happy now? 😆

    The funny part of the story was the guy cashing in his 401K and offering to lend it to him.

    Sheesh.

    I was only joking

    HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
    • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

      There's no moral to the story. It's just something that happened to a friend of mine.

      And he started trading in 2008, just before everything crashed, because his wife filed for divorce and he wanted to make a shit-ton of money, mainly to annoy her. Despite my repeated suggestions to stop being a fucking idiot, he persisted, and lost a shit-ton of money.

      Happy now? 😆

      The funny part of the story was the guy cashing in his 401K and offering to lend it to him.

      Sheesh.

      HoraceH Offline
      HoraceH Offline
      Horace
      wrote on last edited by
      #29

      @doctor-phibes said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

      There's no moral to the story. It's just something that happened to a friend of mine.

      And he started trading in 2008, just before everything crashed, because his wife filed for divorce and he wanted to make a shit-ton of money, mainly to annoy her. Despite my repeated suggestions to stop being a fucking idiot, he persisted, and lost a shit-ton of money.

      Happy now? 😆

      The funny part of the story was the guy cashing in his 401K and offering to lend it to him.

      Sheesh.

      I was hoping to steer the conversation towards my insights into why diversification can be diworsification, a term coined by the great investor Peter Lynch, but a concept independently generated by yours truly. However, you were so intent on telling a funny story, you ended up walking all over the point I would have made if only anybody had asked me. It's too late now though. Don't even ask.

      Education is extremely important.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

        @jolly said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

        @doctor-phibes said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

        It feels like a crash is probably coming. Lots of people will be surprised, and say it's the end times.

        Then it will go up again.

        It doesn't always have to go up, you know.

        I'm a firm believer in things generally continuing to behave as they have in the past. Both your comment, and the stockmarket, are currently following that prediction 😀

        JollyJ Offline
        JollyJ Offline
        Jolly
        wrote on last edited by
        #30

        @doctor-phibes said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

        @jolly said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

        @doctor-phibes said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

        It feels like a crash is probably coming. Lots of people will be surprised, and say it's the end times.

        Then it will go up again.

        It doesn't always have to go up, you know.

        I'm a firm believer in things generally continuing to behave as they have in the past. Both your comment, and the stockmarket, are currently following that prediction 😀

        Do a little reading on corrections and crashes early in your retirement as compared to later in your retirement.

        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

        Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
        • JollyJ Jolly

          @doctor-phibes said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

          @jolly said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

          @doctor-phibes said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

          It feels like a crash is probably coming. Lots of people will be surprised, and say it's the end times.

          Then it will go up again.

          It doesn't always have to go up, you know.

          I'm a firm believer in things generally continuing to behave as they have in the past. Both your comment, and the stockmarket, are currently following that prediction 😀

          Do a little reading on corrections and crashes early in your retirement as compared to later in your retirement.

          Doctor PhibesD Offline
          Doctor PhibesD Offline
          Doctor Phibes
          wrote on last edited by
          #31

          @jolly said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

          Do a little reading on corrections and crashes early in your retirement as compared to later in your retirement.

          Well yeah, at the point when you're getting close to retirement, it makes sense to move things to safer areas. Short term risk is clearly a thing, particularly when there's a bubble, long-term less so. But remember the gloom mongers in 2008? How did those predictions of Armageddon play out?

          I was only joking

          HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
          • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

            @jolly said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

            Do a little reading on corrections and crashes early in your retirement as compared to later in your retirement.

            Well yeah, at the point when you're getting close to retirement, it makes sense to move things to safer areas. Short term risk is clearly a thing, particularly when there's a bubble, long-term less so. But remember the gloom mongers in 2008? How did those predictions of Armageddon play out?

            HoraceH Offline
            HoraceH Offline
            Horace
            wrote on last edited by
            #32

            @doctor-phibes said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

            @jolly said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

            Do a little reading on corrections and crashes early in your retirement as compared to later in your retirement.

            Well yeah, at the point when you're getting close to retirement, it makes sense to move things to safer areas. Short term risk is clearly a thing, particularly when there's a bubble, long-term less so. But remember the gloom mongers in 2008? How did those predictions of Armageddon play out?

            The bail out was the immediate consequence of the experts telling us by consensus that the Armageddon would happen without it.

            Education is extremely important.

            Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
            • HoraceH Horace

              @doctor-phibes said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

              @jolly said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

              Do a little reading on corrections and crashes early in your retirement as compared to later in your retirement.

              Well yeah, at the point when you're getting close to retirement, it makes sense to move things to safer areas. Short term risk is clearly a thing, particularly when there's a bubble, long-term less so. But remember the gloom mongers in 2008? How did those predictions of Armageddon play out?

              The bail out was the immediate consequence of the experts telling us by consensus that the Armageddon would happen without it.

              Doctor PhibesD Offline
              Doctor PhibesD Offline
              Doctor Phibes
              wrote on last edited by
              #33

              @horace said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

              @doctor-phibes said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

              @jolly said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

              Do a little reading on corrections and crashes early in your retirement as compared to later in your retirement.

              Well yeah, at the point when you're getting close to retirement, it makes sense to move things to safer areas. Short term risk is clearly a thing, particularly when there's a bubble, long-term less so. But remember the gloom mongers in 2008? How did those predictions of Armageddon play out?

              The bail out was the immediate consequence of the experts telling us by consensus that the Armageddon would happen without it.

              In the long run, did the bail out really matter - what would have happened without it? A bunch of companies would have gone under, and been replaced with other companies.

              I'm not really an expert on this sort of thing, but it seems to me that people talk a lot of shit. The bailout was essentially welfare for rich people.

              I was only joking

              HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
              • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                @horace said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

                @doctor-phibes said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

                @jolly said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

                Do a little reading on corrections and crashes early in your retirement as compared to later in your retirement.

                Well yeah, at the point when you're getting close to retirement, it makes sense to move things to safer areas. Short term risk is clearly a thing, particularly when there's a bubble, long-term less so. But remember the gloom mongers in 2008? How did those predictions of Armageddon play out?

                The bail out was the immediate consequence of the experts telling us by consensus that the Armageddon would happen without it.

                In the long run, did the bail out really matter - what would have happened without it? A bunch of companies would have gone under, and been replaced with other companies.

                I'm not really an expert on this sort of thing, but it seems to me that people talk a lot of shit. The bailout was essentially welfare for rich people.

                HoraceH Offline
                HoraceH Offline
                Horace
                wrote on last edited by
                #34

                @doctor-phibes said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

                n the long run, did the bail out really matter - what would have happened without it? A bunch of companies would have gone under, and been replaced with other companies.

                That is what the expert consensus spoke to. It allegedly was not going to be a matter of same old shit different day with the only fallout being some rich bankers swallowing a gun. But of course I don’t know what would have happened, and at the time was in a mood to let it burn. I still wish we would have, but maybe I should be careful what I wish for.

                Education is extremely important.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • 89th8 Offline
                  89th8 Offline
                  89th
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #35

                  Might break 5,000 today. Then again, when I started this thread in August 2021, the S&P didn't hit 4500 again for over 2 years 🙂

                  George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                  • 89th8 89th

                    Might break 5,000 today. Then again, when I started this thread in August 2021, the S&P didn't hit 4500 again for over 2 years 🙂

                    George KG Offline
                    George KG Offline
                    George K
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #36

                    @89th said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

                    when I started this thread in August 2021, the S&P didn't hit 4500 again for over 2 years

                    Welcome to .... ah never mind.

                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • taiwan_girlT Offline
                      taiwan_girlT Offline
                      taiwan_girl
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #37

                      Well, obviously the markets have confidence in what President Biden is doing. LOL

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • JollyJ Offline
                        JollyJ Offline
                        Jolly
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #38

                        Don't look now, but look what companies are posting most of the gains.

                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                        AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
                        • JollyJ Jolly

                          Don't look now, but look what companies are posting most of the gains.

                          AxtremusA Offline
                          AxtremusA Offline
                          Axtremus
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #39

                          @Jolly said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

                          Don't look now, but look what companies are posting most of the gains.

                          Why?

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • JollyJ Offline
                            JollyJ Offline
                            Jolly
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #40

                            Concentration of wealth.

                            “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                            Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                            Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                            • JollyJ Jolly

                              Concentration of wealth.

                              Doctor PhibesD Offline
                              Doctor PhibesD Offline
                              Doctor Phibes
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #41

                              @Jolly said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

                              Concentration of wealth.

                              Tech owners are essentially modern-day oil barons.

                              I was only joking

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • MikM Offline
                                MikM Offline
                                Mik
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #42

                                Oil, steel, railroad, automobile, tech.. it will be ever thus as new growth industries arise.

                                "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                  Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                  Doctor Phibes
                                  wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
                                  #43

                                  I imagine that some folk are going to get really, really rich on the back of AI, until of course they're eventually replaced by AI.

                                  I was only joking

                                  Aqua LetiferA 1 Reply Last reply
                                  • HoraceH Offline
                                    HoraceH Offline
                                    Horace
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #44

                                    It's almost like mainstream big tech has been the obvious stock market bet since the dot com bubble crash.

                                    Education is extremely important.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                                      I imagine that some folk are going to get really, really rich on the back of AI, until of course they're eventually replaced by AI.

                                      Aqua LetiferA Offline
                                      Aqua LetiferA Offline
                                      Aqua Letifer
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #45

                                      @Doctor-Phibes said in S&P Breaks 4,500:

                                      I imagine that some folk are going to get really, really rich on the back of AI, until of course they're eventually replaced by AI.

                                      I'll be amazed as fuck if AI doesn't have a catastrophic effect on the job market. Which in turn will fuck up the economy. Hard to buy tech shit when your entire career no longer exists.

                                      Please love yourself.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • CopperC Offline
                                        CopperC Offline
                                        Copper
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #46

                                        The IT industry in the US employs about 12 million people.

                                        I can remember when this number was roughly zero.

                                        Things change.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • MikM Offline
                                          MikM Offline
                                          Mik
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #47

                                          There have always been layoffs when old technologies give way to new.

                                          "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

                                          Aqua LetiferA 1 Reply Last reply
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