On inflation
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If it’s bad enough, we might very well ping pong between parties
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One of these times, it will be true...
We were assured that if GWB's tax cuts were implemented, we'd have runaway inflation.
It was certain we were in for runaway inflation if Obama's economic stimulus program was implemented.
And Trump's trillion dollar tax cut while unemployment was at a near all time low was certain disaster.
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H/t wtg:
Recovery's stumbles leave Americans confronting unfamiliar inflation risk
https://www.bgdailynews.com/washington_post/recoverys-stumbles-leave-americans-confronting-unfamiliar-inflation-risk/article_b1bb9dec-3b53-5ae4-8f43-e21c60cc16c0.html -
Inflation in April accelerated at its fastest pace in more than 12 years as the U.S. economic recovery kicked into gear and energy prices jumped higher, the Labor Department reported Wednesday.
The Consumer Price Index, which measures a basket of goods as well as energy and housing costs, rose 4.2% from a year earlier. A Dow Jones survey had expected a 3.6% increase. The month-to-month gain was 0.8%, against the expected 0.2%.
Excluding volatile food and energy prices, the core CPI increased 3% from the same period in 2020 and 0.9% on a monthly basis. The respective estimates were 2.3% and 0.3%.
The increase in the headline CPI rate was the fastest since September 2008.
Energy prices overall jumped 25% from a year earlier, including a 49.6% increase for gasoline and 37.3% for fuel oil. That came even though most energy categories saw a decline in April.
Used car and truck prices, which are seen as a key inflation indicator, surged 21%, including a 10% increase in April alone. Shelter, another key CPI component, was up 2.1% year over year and 0.4% for the month.
In addition to rising prices, one of the main reasons for the big annual gain was because of base effects, meaning inflation was very low at this time in 2020 as the Covid pandemic caused a widespread shutdown of the U.S. economy. Year-over-year comparisons are going to be distorted for a few months because of the pandemic’s impact.
For that reason, Federal Reserve policymakers and many economists are dismissing the current round of numbers as transitory, with the expectation that inflation settles down later this year around the 2% range targeted by the central bank.
Fed officials repeatedly have said they will not raise interest rates or pull back on monthly bond purchases until inflation averages around 2% over an extended period.
