NYC is ground zero

[jon-nyc]

You would expect convexity. The reproductive rate would have a non-linear relationship with density.

[Horace]

@jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:

The virus tends to spread in humans so the case count is higher where more humans live.

that's what the per-capita brigade would have us believe.

[jon-nyc]

I’m a brevet colonel in the per-capita brigade.

[Klaus]

@jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:

The virus tends to spread in humans so the case count is higher where more humans live.

Is anything known about whether it spreads via animals, too?

[jon-nyc]

Animals have caught it. Imagine they could spread it too. But I haven’t heard anything specific.

[George K]

@jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:

Animals have caught it. Imagine they could spread it too. But I haven’t heard anything specific.

Coronavirus is very common in cats (though not this particular strain). One of the scary things is that it is usually a nothingburger, but sometimes it mutates causing Feline Infectious Peritonitis. A particularly nasty disease that is usually fatal.

[jon-nyc]

This particular virus has infected large cats and domestic cats.

[George K]

@jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:

This particular virus has infected large cats and domestic cats.

Yup and at least one dog.

[brenda]

@Klaus said in NYC is ground zero:

@jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:

The virus tends to spread in humans so the case count is higher where more humans live.

Is anything known about whether it spreads via animals, too?

Yes. Several pets have gotten it, presumably from their owners. Indoor cats have gotten it. Dogs, too, have tested positive.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/daily-life-coping/animals.html

[brenda]

@brenda said in NYC is ground zero:

@Klaus said in NYC is ground zero:

@jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:

The virus tends to spread in humans so the case count is higher where more humans live.

Is anything known about whether it spreads via animals, too?

Yes. Several pets have gotten it, presumably from their owners. Indoor cats have gotten it. Dogs, too, have tested positive.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/daily-life-coping/animals.html

Tigers are getting it, and some have died.

https://api-nationalgeographic-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/api.nationalgeographic.com/distribution/public/amp/animals/2020/04/tiger-coronavirus-covid19-positive-test-bronx-zoo?amp_js_v=a3&amp_gsa=1&usqp=mq331AQIKAGwASDAAQE%3D#aoh=15881728578968&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&amp_tf=From %251%24s

https://www-chicagotribune-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.chicagotribune.com/coronavirus/sns-nyt-coronavirus-threatens-indias-tiger-population-20200423-dndxj62njvai7f2davsv6zek6a-story.html?amp_js_v=a3&amp_gsa=1&outputType=amp&usqp=mq331AQIKAGwASDAAQE%3D#aoh=15881729629981&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&amp_tf=From %251%24s&ampshare=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.chicagotribune.com%2Fcoronavirus%2Fsns-nyt-coronavirus-threatens-indias-tiger-population-20200423-dndxj62njvai7f2davsv6zek6a-story.html

[jon-nyc]

@jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:

NYS - 295,106
NYC - 162,338 up 1.3%
NJ - 113,856
MA - 58,302 - up 3%
IL - 48,102 - up 4.7%
CA - 46,033 - up 3.5%
PA - 45,137
MI - 39,262
Nassau - 35,085
Cook - 33,449 - up 4.6%
FL - 32,848
Suffolk - 32,724
Westchester - 28,245 up 1.1%
LA - 27,286
CT - 26,312 - up 3.1%

NYS - 304,372
*NYC - 167,478 up 1.6%
NJ - 118,652
MA - 62,205 - up 3.3%
IL - 52,921 - up 4.9%
CA - 49,841
PA - 47,971
MI - 41,379
Cook County - 36,513 up 4.8%
Nassau County - 35,854
FL - 33,690
Suffolk County - 33,664
Westchester County - 28,970 up 1.3%
TX - 28,313
LA - 28,001

Cook County and IL are really moving up. Looks like Chicago is the current hot spot, at least in terms of growth.

[George K]

@jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:

Cook County and IL are really moving up. Looks like Chicago is the current hot spot, at least in terms of growth.

And this, despite the "stay at home" "social distancing" directives.

[jon-nyc]

@jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:

NYS - 304,372
*NYC - 167,478 up 1.6%
NJ - 118,652
MA - 62,205 - up 3.3%
IL - 52,921 - up 4.9%
CA - 49,841
PA - 47,971
MI - 41,379
Cook County - 36,513 up 4.8%
Nassau County - 35,854
FL - 33,690
Suffolk County - 33,664
Westchester County - 28,970 up 1.3%
TX - 28,313
LA - 28,001

NYS - 308,314
NYC - 169,690 up 1.3%
NJ - 121,190
MA - 64,311 - up 3.4%
IL - 56,055 - up 5.9%
CA - 50,670
PA - 49,579 - up 3.3%
MI - 42,388
Cook - 38,668 - up 5.6%
Nassau - 36,161
FL - 34,728
Suffolk - 34,037
TX - 29,272 - up 3.2%
Westchester - 29,232 - up 1.0%
CT - 28,855

TX passed Westchester now. I'll stop tracking individual counties as they fall out of the range top 10 states (those that do).

Again Chicago is the overachiever.

Anything not marked is under 3% growth.

[jon-nyc]

@jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:

NYS - 308,314
NYC - 169,690 up 1.3%
NJ - 121,190
MA - 64,311 - up 3.4%
IL - 56,055 - up 5.9%
CA - 50,670
PA - 49,579 - up 3.3%
MI - 42,388
Cook - 38,668 - up 5.6%
Nassau - 36,161
FL - 34,728
Suffolk - 34,037
TX - 29,272 - up 3.2%
Westchester - 29,232 - up 1.0%
CT - 28,855

NYS - 316,415
NYC - 174,331 - 1.5%
NJ - 126,744
MA - 68,087
IL - 61,521 - 4.8%
CA - 53,954 - 3.2%
PA - 51,225
MI - 43,811
Cook - 42,324 - 4.7%
Nassau - 36,780
FL - 36,078
Suffolk - 34,855
TX - 31,719 - up 4.2%
Westchester - 29,884 - 1.1%
LA - 29,340

If it's not listed it's under 3.

Cook/IL again the overachievers.

[George K]

Once again, Chicago (and Cook County) excel in all the wrong ways.

[jon-nyc]

@jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:

NYS - 316,415
NYC - 174,331 - 1.5%
NJ - 126,744
MA - 68,087
IL - 61,521 - 4.8%
CA - 53,954 - 3.2%
PA - 51,225
MI - 43,811
Cook - 42,324 - 4.7%
Nassau - 36,780
FL - 36,078
Suffolk - 34,855
TX - 31,719 - up 4.2%
Westchester - 29,884 - 1.1%
LA - 29,340

NYS - 318,953
NYC - 175,651 - up 0.76%
NJ - 128,269
MA - 69.087
IL - 63,777 - up 3.7%
CA - 55,658 - up 3.2%
PA - 52,816 - up 3.1%
MI - 43,801 - down 10 cases? wtf?
Cook - 43,715 - up 3.3%
Nassau - 36,965
FL - 36,897
Suffolk - 35,077
TX - 32,711 - up 3.2%
Westchester - 30,097
LA - 29,673

IL still leading the growth pack. More states above 3% growth than we've seen in a while.

(if it's not listed it's under 3%)

[Jeffrey]

7pm cheering for the medical and essential workers. Quite a tradition.

[Jeffrey]

Lasts about 10 minutes now.

[jon-nyc]

That's cool. Rachel heard it here the other day.

[jon-nyc]

@jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:

NYS - 318,953
NYC - 175,651 - up 0.76%
NJ - 128,269
MA - 69.087
IL - 63,777 - up 3.7%
CA - 55,658 - up 3.2%
PA - 52,816 - up 3.1%
MI - 43,801 - down 10 cases? wtf?
Cook - 43,715 - up 3.3%
Nassau - 36,965
FL - 36,897
Suffolk - 35,077
TX - 32,711 - up 3.2%
Westchester - 30,097
LA - 29,673

NYS - 321,192
NYC - 176,874 - up 0.68%
NJ - 130,593
MA - 70,271
IL - 65,889 - 3.3%
CA - 58,304 - 4.9%
PA - 53,434 -
Cook - 45,223 - 3.5%
MI - 44,451
FL - 37,439
Nassau - 37,275
TX - 33,826 - 3.4%
CT - 30,621
Westchester - 30,240 - 0.47%

Wow, California.

Westchester fell out of the top 10 states range! If it stays down there I'll quit including it after a while.

(if it's not listed it's under 3%)