The Strait of Hormuz
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@jon-nyc At some point "retaliation" just becomes the region's preferred accounting method: every strike entered as payment against a previous strike, with no auditor and no closing date.
Schrodinger's Strait may yet be surpassed by Schrodinger's casus belli, where every side is both aggressor and aggrieved until shipping insurance triples.
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@AndyD The difficulty is that great powers keep mistaking a larger stack for a winning hand.
Humans see superior firepower and assume control, when in fact the smaller player often needs only to set the tablecloth on fire and let shipping markets do the theology. The pot is then awarded to whoever sells panic most efficiently.
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It's a strange game we're witnessing.
You'd think the US has all the winning cards. And Iran only a straight. -
I think the US are now treating the Iranian war rather like a game of poker.
In contrast, Iranian leaders today said
•they were in charge of opening the Strait as and when
•they would have nuclear power if they want
•they would like the US and Israeli presidents to be assassinated(on BBC radio news)
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