The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread

[jon-nyc]

Im getting close to the point where, when Trump says ‘we’re very close to a deal’, my priors update in the opposite direction.

[jon-nyc]

Former Israeli intelligence officer.

[Horace]

"Blocked Israel"? He's commander in chief of the Israel army now?

[jon-nyc]

Israel has one friend left in the world (two if you count Eritrea) and Trump’s been known to hold a grudge for being disrespected. So yeah, blocked in a de facto sense.

[Horace]

We'll see. It is not set in stone, and any confident prediction that Trump is capable of effecting a unilateral cease-fire from Israel's side is posturing. It may turn out to be true that Israel doesn't respond this time, maybe, but it's hardly definite. Bibi is vowing reprisal as we speak.

Also it seems to me that Bibi has not acted as Trump's puppet throughout this conflict, and has done things against Trump's wishes from time to time.

[Mik]

Yeah, I don’t see how it’s really restricted Israel. They’re pretty self determined. It’s just Trump mouthing off.

[Renauda]

Israel strikes back at Iran:

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/clyengg72pgt?post=asset%3Ac527b3f3-b40b-4fd2-8654-5fe3abb0a137#post

[Doctor Phibes]

The Most Important Man in the World isn't going to like that. Once he wakes up from his nap, of course.

[jon-nyc]

Here’s a different take:

[jon-nyc]

‘Both sides’ now means Israel and Iran apparently.

[AndyD]

Is it true you can see Trump's ego from space?

[Doctor Phibes]

Nobody knows more about ignorance and stupidity.

[Tom-K]

Well, I see this entire Iran war as Trump trying to save Israel (and the world) from Iran starting some nuclear apocalypse. I can't imagine any other reason we have all those boats over there. I totally agree Hezbollah are a bunch of monsters and they need to be scoured off the face of the earth but maybe that could be next year's project? Lets just take care of Iran then Israel can do whatever they want in Lebanon. Maybe Netanyahu could take a little longer view of things.

[Mik]

Hezbollah will cease to exist in any significant way if Iran cannot fund them.

[AndyD]

Hezbollah really need to stop firing into Israel.
Poke poke poke that grizzly.

And what's this rumour about Trump buying the Chagos Islands ?

[Wim]

Trump on Apache downed by Iran:

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/06/09/trump-iran-helicopter-hormuz-strait.html

[Renauda]

Link to video

[jon-nyc]

An interesting graphic showing how China and Iran avoid Iranian oil sanctions.

It does certainly add expense, which hits the producing country. But I wonder how much good they do in practice. There are also Caspian Sea routes where the oils can be transferred directly to more friendly countries.

[Axtremus]

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/trump-warns-of-ramping-up-attacks-on-iran-after-exchange-of-strikes-ae2f7a67

... Trump said the U.S. would resume attacks on Iran later Wednesday after a drone fired by Tehran hit a U.S. Apache helicopter, prompting several waves of American strikes in retaliation for the downing of the aircraft.

[jon-nyc]