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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Are we in an AI bubble?

Are we in an AI bubble?

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  • MikM Away
    MikM Away
    Mik
    wrote last edited by
    #3

    Sure looks like one. I think it will be followed by a slower but very long climb.

    "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

    1 Reply Last reply
    • 89th8 Offline
      89th8 Offline
      89th
      wrote last edited by 89th
      #4

      image.png

      Reddit comments - https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/1p0pqei/oc_sp_500_comparing_dotcom_and_ai_bubbles_with/

      1 Reply Last reply
      • HoraceH Offline
        HoraceH Offline
        Horace
        wrote last edited by
        #5

        I'm probably not going to stop investing in American tech.

        Education is extremely important.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • 89th8 Offline
          89th8 Offline
          89th
          wrote last edited by
          #6

          Some relevant comments from reddit include the guy starts the chart at 1950 because the data in 1930s/40s was too volatile or something.

          Also, if indeed we see an AI bubble burst, then the trend line will also decrease with it, making the current AI level "look more like a bubble", but if you look at the dot com bubble, had it not burst, it would've fit the rising trendline naturally.

          Anyway...my guess is Trump will do whatever he can to inflate the economy and it would probably be wise to shift to low-risk investments around Sept or Oct 2027.

          HoraceH jon-nycJ 2 Replies Last reply
          • 89th8 89th

            Some relevant comments from reddit include the guy starts the chart at 1950 because the data in 1930s/40s was too volatile or something.

            Also, if indeed we see an AI bubble burst, then the trend line will also decrease with it, making the current AI level "look more like a bubble", but if you look at the dot com bubble, had it not burst, it would've fit the rising trendline naturally.

            Anyway...my guess is Trump will do whatever he can to inflate the economy and it would probably be wise to shift to low-risk investments around Sept or Oct 2027.

            HoraceH Offline
            HoraceH Offline
            Horace
            wrote last edited by
            #7

            @89th said in Are we in an AI bubble?:

            Anyway...my guess is Trump will do whatever he can to inflate the economy and it would probably be wise to shift to low-risk investments around Sept or Oct 2027.

            You think your dollar is premium under Trump. His opponent won't care.

            Education is extremely important.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • 89th8 89th

              Some relevant comments from reddit include the guy starts the chart at 1950 because the data in 1930s/40s was too volatile or something.

              Also, if indeed we see an AI bubble burst, then the trend line will also decrease with it, making the current AI level "look more like a bubble", but if you look at the dot com bubble, had it not burst, it would've fit the rising trendline naturally.

              Anyway...my guess is Trump will do whatever he can to inflate the economy and it would probably be wise to shift to low-risk investments around Sept or Oct 2027.

              jon-nycJ Online
              jon-nycJ Online
              jon-nyc
              wrote last edited by jon-nyc
              #8

              @89th said in Are we in an AI bubble?:
              … shift to low-risk investments around Sept or Oct 2027.

              And what might those be?

              That’s what makes this time, dare I say it, different. The old concept of ‘flight to quality’ (Treasuries) is no longer reliable.

              If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

              89th8 1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nyc
                wrote last edited by
                #9

                If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • HoraceH Offline
                  HoraceH Offline
                  Horace
                  wrote last edited by
                  #10

                  Nvda up in after hours after another glowing earnings report. Rumors of the stock market’s death have been exaggerated. So far.

                  Education is extremely important.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                    @89th said in Are we in an AI bubble?:
                    … shift to low-risk investments around Sept or Oct 2027.

                    And what might those be?

                    That’s what makes this time, dare I say it, different. The old concept of ‘flight to quality’ (Treasuries) is no longer reliable.

                    89th8 Offline
                    89th8 Offline
                    89th
                    wrote last edited by
                    #11

                    @jon-nyc said in Are we in an AI bubble?:

                    @89th said in Are we in an AI bubble?:
                    … shift to low-risk investments around Sept or Oct 2027.

                    And what might those be?

                    That’s what makes this time, dare I say it, different. The old concept of ‘flight to quality’ (Treasuries) is no longer reliable.

                    Yeah I don't really know. Maybe I'd shift my 401Ks from moderately/aggressive mode into low risk profile. I always say I'll do that but as we all know...you can't really time the market. My goal is to retire around the years 2035-2039 which will be a lot of fun when the country becomes insolvent and the great dollar worldwide crash hits. Guess I can always throw it into gold... the Egyptians and Larry were right about one thing, and I'm not talking about their reverence for pussy.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote last edited by
                      #12

                      LOL

                      If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

                      1 Reply Last reply
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