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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Significant undercount of deaths in NYC?

Significant undercount of deaths in NYC?

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  • L Loki

    @jon-nyc said in Significant undercount of deaths in NYC?:

    And part of this could be the answer to the question ‘where are the heart attacks?’

    Apparently deaths at home in NYC are hitting 200 a day, normal is 20 or 25.

    https://gothamist.com/news/surge-number-new-yorkers-dying-home-officials-suspect-undercount-covid-19-related-deaths?fbclid=IwAR3A66FU1jVmCwqfQ9MPYWYjRWT6FZzot7JAv-SywTmq8IuReSnK0DVTdqo

    There has been much reporting on a similar phenomenon in Italy.

    Did not read article carefully. Heart attack and stroke patients are way down in health systems, it’s been noted as a mystery. Where these cases accounted for in the analysis.

    L Offline
    L Offline
    Loki
    wrote on last edited by
    #4

    Where have all the heart attacks gone?

    https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/06/well/live/coronavirus-doctors-hospitals-emergency-care-heart-attack-stroke.html

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    • jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nyc
      wrote on last edited by
      #5

      Yeah that was my first question in the first post.

      But 200 a day?

      Only non-witches get due process.

      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
      L 1 Reply Last reply
      • Aqua LetiferA Offline
        Aqua LetiferA Offline
        Aqua Letifer
        wrote on last edited by
        #6

        That's one nasty case of the flu!

        Please love yourself.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

          Yeah that was my first question in the first post.

          But 200 a day?

          L Offline
          L Offline
          Loki
          wrote on last edited by Loki
          #7

          In 2016 44,000 people died of heart disease in NY, that is 120 a day. I suspect heart disease wouldn’t capture the entire denominator.

          Aqua LetiferA 1 Reply Last reply
          • L Loki

            In 2016 44,000 people died of heart disease in NY, that is 120 a day. I suspect heart disease wouldn’t capture the entire denominator.

            Aqua LetiferA Offline
            Aqua LetiferA Offline
            Aqua Letifer
            wrote on last edited by
            #8

            @Loki What's exponential growth factor of heart disease?

            Please love yourself.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote on last edited by
              #9

              Loki - you already said that the most of the known COVID dead would have died soon enough from their co-morbidity. Are you trying to count the heart patients in both groups now?

              Only non-witches get due process.

              • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
              L 1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                Loki - you already said that the most of the known COVID dead would have died soon enough from their co-morbidity. Are you trying to count the heart patients in both groups now?

                L Offline
                L Offline
                Loki
                wrote on last edited by
                #10

                @jon-nyc said in Significant undercount of deaths in NYC?:

                Loki - you already said that the most of the known COVID dead would have died soon enough from their co-morbidity. Are you trying to count the heart patients in both groups now?

                I don’t have a point of view on this, just sharing data.

                I think people are being undercounted but my gut is it’s not game changing from a data analysis point of view.

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                • jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #11

                  FDNY (runs EMS):

                  “A year ago – same time frame – we were seeing an average of 54-74 cardiac arrest calls per day, with 22-32 deaths,” the Fire Department said in a statement. “Now, in this pandemic, we are seeing more than 300 cardiac arrest calls each day, with well over 200 people dying each day.”

                  Certainly consistent with the first person story George posted the other day.

                  Only non-witches get due process.

                  • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                  L 1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                    FDNY (runs EMS):

                    “A year ago – same time frame – we were seeing an average of 54-74 cardiac arrest calls per day, with 22-32 deaths,” the Fire Department said in a statement. “Now, in this pandemic, we are seeing more than 300 cardiac arrest calls each day, with well over 200 people dying each day.”

                    Certainly consistent with the first person story George posted the other day.

                    L Offline
                    L Offline
                    Loki
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #12

                    Total deaths per day is probably the best way to get an initial view of things.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                      And part of this could be the answer to the question ‘where are the heart attacks?’

                      Apparently deaths at home in NYC are hitting 200 a day, normal is 20 or 25.

                      https://gothamist.com/news/surge-number-new-yorkers-dying-home-officials-suspect-undercount-covid-19-related-deaths?fbclid=IwAR3A66FU1jVmCwqfQ9MPYWYjRWT6FZzot7JAv-SywTmq8IuReSnK0DVTdqo

                      There has been much reporting on a similar phenomenon in Italy.

                      brendaB Offline
                      brendaB Offline
                      brenda
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #13

                      @jon-nyc
                      Yes, I noted this in one of the earlier articles you posted, and that article made me wonder how many COVID deaths were not reported when the death was at home. It's hard to track, but this gives at least something to work from for info. I'm not surprised that another aricle gives it more direct attention.

                      The same thing happened in Italy, so it's not a surprise to see it here, too.

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