Let’s do Pope odds

[89th]

[Tom-K]

Not to make too much of a point on this, but I seem to be TNCR's "official Catholic" these days and FWIW I don't give a freakin' hoot the next Pope is. And I think I'm speaking for 95% of the Catholics out there. We don't care.

Just saying. But, certainty enjoy yourselves and have fun.

[89th]

I love Pope Francis’ emphasis of humility and hope that continues with the next.

[Renauda]

@Tom-K

And I think I'm speaking for 95% of the Catholics out there. We don't care.

If you include lapsed Catholics that number is probably closer to 99%.

[Axtremus]

This was posted on the official White House account.

[jon-nyc]

Conference of Bishops replies:

There is nothing clever or funny about this image, Mr. President. We just buried our beloved Pope Francis and the cardinals are about to enter a solemn conclave to elect a new successor of St. Peter. Do not mock us.

[Renauda]

Good for the Bishops. It is one thing when the rabble posts questionable memes, quite another and highly inappropriate when such come from Trumpigula himself.

[jodi]

That man is such an ass.

[Renauda]

@jodi said in Let’s do Pope odds:

That man is such an ass.

He’s an insult to all equines.

[jodi]

🫏

[Renauda]

An insult to their rear ends as well. 🫏

[taiwan_girl]

Come on White House.gov, you can do better.

[Renauda]

@taiwan_girl said in Let’s do Pope odds:

Come on White House.gov, you can do better.

Actually, it cannot so long as “that thing” sits in the big chair.

[Renauda]

A mob of Donald Trump fans have apparently been gathering outside St Peter’s Square for the last few days, hoping to replicate their ‘historic liberation of the Capitol building on January 6th’.

https://newsthump.com/2025/05/08/maga-fans-preparing-to-storm-st-peters-basilica-should-trump-lose-conclave/?fbclid=IwY2xjawKJwcFleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHsyGIG-_5bX-44ZAmgM-knJ9tAAy77jOGnNYujGTFEu_IVFYMTY8BNiomJFf_aem_c7BDu91zbtJ4ILcR4rfnmw

[Doctor Phibes]

@Renauda said in Let’s do Pope odds:

A mob of Donald Trump fans have apparently been gathering outside St Peter’s Square for the last few days, hoping to replicate their ‘historic liberation of the Capitol building on January 6th’.

https://newsthump.com/2025/05/08/maga-fans-preparing-to-storm-st-peters-basilica-should-trump-lose-conclave/?fbclid=IwY2xjawKJwcFleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHsyGIG-_5bX-44ZAmgM-knJ9tAAy77jOGnNYujGTFEu_IVFYMTY8BNiomJFf_aem_c7BDu91zbtJ4ILcR4rfnmw

The new Pope is JFK Jnr.

You heard it here first.

[Doctor Phibes]

I was close!

He's an American, Robert Prevost. From Chicago!

[jon-nyc]

Pizzaballa can still win this if Mike Pence has the courage

[89th]

LOL

[taiwan_girl]

https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2025/05/08/at-least-two-pope-bettors-made-more-than-50000-on-robert-francis-prevosts-longshot-selection/

On the blockchain-based site Polymarket, six users profited at least $20,000 on Prevost wagers, according to a publicly available ledger of all bets placed on Polymarket.

Leading those winners was a whopping $63,650.65 profit off of a $1,059.52 bet from a user named “JustPunched,” a more than 6,000% return on investment.
Polymarket rival Kalshi said one bettor on its platform received a $52,641 payout off of a $526 wager.

Prevost was a long-shot candidate on both sites before the church announced his selection, with just 1.6% and 1.8% market-implied odds of becoming the next pope as of 12 p.m. EDT on Thursday on Kalshi and Polymarket, respectively.

That means a $170 bet on Prevost at 12 p.m. would have netted a roughly $10,000 payout.

[Horace]

Prediction markets might not be too useful for opaque processes like this.