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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Revisiting Tariffs on Imports from China

Revisiting Tariffs on Imports from China

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  • X xenon

    There's an argument to be made that strategic decoupling from China is more important than taming inflation.

    But no one has really spelled out a plan for how to do that (including Trump). Sure, Trump put the issue firmly on the agenda - but didn't really have a solve for it.

    AxtremusA Away
    AxtremusA Away
    Axtremus
    wrote on last edited by
    #13

    @xenon said in Revisiting Tariffs on Imports from China:

    But no one has really spelled out a plan for how to do that (including Trump). Sure, Trump put the issue firmly on the agenda - but didn't really have a solve for it.

    Forget about a “solve,” Trump didn’t even articulate the problem or the strategic intent coherently when he sprung the extra tariffs on imports from China.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • AxtremusA Away
      AxtremusA Away
      Axtremus
      wrote on last edited by
      #14

      https://wapo.st/4c2dwvA

      Biden and Trump share a faith in import tariffs, despite inflation risks

      [Biden & Trump] say that tariffs on imported Chinese goods are needed to promote domestic manufacturing and to clap back at China’s zero-sum trade practices. While economists say that tariffs result in higher prices, both Biden and Trump insist that consumers will be unscathed.

      .
      Biden’s tariffs on $18 billion in Chinese electric vehicles, batteries and computer chips, announced last month, are likely too small to lift the economy’s overall price level, economists said. But Trump’s plan for 60 percent tariffs on all $427 billion in goods that China ships to the United States each year would almost certainly reshape trade in ways that consumers would notice.
      ...

      1 Reply Last reply
      • JollyJ Offline
        JollyJ Offline
        Jolly
        wrote on last edited by
        #15

        As with several important things, Trump was right and Biden has changed his position.

        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

        1 Reply Last reply
        • taiwan_girlT Offline
          taiwan_girlT Offline
          taiwan_girl
          wrote on last edited by
          #16

          Dont think we have a "China Tariff Deserves Its Own Thread" so I will post this here.

          Walmart puts pressure on suppliers to absorb the cost of US tariffs. Chinese government is mad.
          "If Walmart insists" ... "then what awaits Walmart is not just talk," says China government

          https://news.cctv.com/2025/03/12/ARTIhEixOXf3hiVR127ojvxh250312.shtml

          RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
          • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

            Dont think we have a "China Tariff Deserves Its Own Thread" so I will post this here.

            Walmart puts pressure on suppliers to absorb the cost of US tariffs. Chinese government is mad.
            "If Walmart insists" ... "then what awaits Walmart is not just talk," says China government

            https://news.cctv.com/2025/03/12/ARTIhEixOXf3hiVR127ojvxh250312.shtml

            RenaudaR Offline
            RenaudaR Offline
            Renauda
            wrote on last edited by Renauda
            #17

            @taiwan_girl

            Walmart puts pressure on suppliers to absorb the cost of US tariffs.

            That is probably what Trumpigula and his minions were hoping US importers would ask (or try to coerce) from their offshore suppliers. I trust it won’t happen; in fact I would anticipate the suppliers’ prices ex factory to increase and leave the importer with the choice of take it or leave it. American consumers must bear the weight of Trump’s folly so long as the tariffs remain in place.

            Elbows up!

            1 Reply Last reply
            • taiwan_girlT Offline
              taiwan_girlT Offline
              taiwan_girl
              wrote on last edited by
              #18

              https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/major-us-toymaker-speeds-up-plan-move-manufacturing-out-china-2025-03-13/

              A major supplier of toys to Walmart (WMT.N), opens new tab and Target (TGT.N), opens new tab is accelerating its shift out of China as it reshapes production amid President Donald Trump's intensifying trade war with the country.

              California-based MGA Entertainment, which makes its Bratz and L.O.L. Surprise! dolls and other toys primarily in China, is taking steps to move 40% of its manufacturing to India, Vietnam and Indonesia within six or so months, up from around 10% to 15% currently, CEO Isaac Larian said in an interview.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • HoraceH Offline
                HoraceH Offline
                Horace
                wrote on last edited by
                #19

                It's of reasonable strategic importance for the US to not rely on china for so much of its manufacturing. I like moving it to other low-labor-cost countries. I don't like generalized tariffs that would make it cost effective to manufacture the stuff in the US. Targeted tariffs against countries that we would like to rely on less are ok.

                Education is extremely important.

                taiwan_girlT jon-nycJ 2 Replies Last reply
                • HoraceH Horace

                  It's of reasonable strategic importance for the US to not rely on china for so much of its manufacturing. I like moving it to other low-labor-cost countries. I don't like generalized tariffs that would make it cost effective to manufacture the stuff in the US. Targeted tariffs against countries that we would like to rely on less are ok.

                  taiwan_girlT Offline
                  taiwan_girlT Offline
                  taiwan_girl
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #20

                  @Horace said in Revisiting Tariffs on Imports from China:

                  It's of reasonable strategic importance for the US to not rely on china for so much of its manufacturing.

                  Agree.

                  I think in maybe 50 years or so, Africa will be the low cost world manufacturing "hub"

                  JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                  • HoraceH Horace

                    It's of reasonable strategic importance for the US to not rely on china for so much of its manufacturing. I like moving it to other low-labor-cost countries. I don't like generalized tariffs that would make it cost effective to manufacture the stuff in the US. Targeted tariffs against countries that we would like to rely on less are ok.

                    jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #21

                    @Horace said in Revisiting Tariffs on Imports from China:

                    It's of reasonable strategic importance for the US to not rely on china for so much of its manufacturing. I like moving it to other low-labor-cost countries. I don't like generalized tariffs that would make it cost effective to manufacture the stuff in the US. Targeted tariffs against countries that we would like to rely on less are ok.

                    +1

                    Only non-witches get due process.

                    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                      @Horace said in Revisiting Tariffs on Imports from China:

                      It's of reasonable strategic importance for the US to not rely on china for so much of its manufacturing.

                      Agree.

                      I think in maybe 50 years or so, Africa will be the low cost world manufacturing "hub"

                      JollyJ Offline
                      JollyJ Offline
                      Jolly
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #22

                      @taiwan_girl said in Revisiting Tariffs on Imports from China:

                      @Horace said in Revisiting Tariffs on Imports from China:

                      It's of reasonable strategic importance for the US to not rely on china for so much of its manufacturing.

                      Agree.

                      I think in maybe 50 years or so, Africa will be the low cost world manufacturing "hub"

                      Ain't happening.

                      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • HoraceH Offline
                        HoraceH Offline
                        Horace
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #23

                        Maybe Nigeria can export its culture to the rest of the continent. I mean, I don't know anything about Nigerian culture, other than how well its representatives do in the west, but I'm assuming.

                        Education is extremely important.

                        W 1 Reply Last reply
                        • taiwan_girlT Offline
                          taiwan_girlT Offline
                          taiwan_girl
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #24

                          No one probably predicted 50-75 years ago that Bangledesh would be a "superpower" in making clothes for the world.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • HoraceH Offline
                            HoraceH Offline
                            Horace
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #25

                            An economically integrated African continent sure would be nice.

                            Education is extremely important.

                            CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
                            • HoraceH Horace

                              An economically integrated African continent sure would be nice.

                              CopperC Offline
                              CopperC Offline
                              Copper
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #26

                              @Horace said in Revisiting Tariffs on Imports from China:

                              An economically integrated African continent sure would be nice.

                              Kiss the Serengeti goodbye.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • taiwan_girlT Offline
                                taiwan_girlT Offline
                                taiwan_girl
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #27

                                The number of canceled sailings of freight vessels out of China is picking up as ocean carriers attempt to manage a pullback in orders due to the trade war and tariffs.
                                A steep decline in containers being shipped to the U.S. will have a big impact on the supply chain, from port to trucking, rail and warehouse economics.
                                "We won't go to zero containers, but we will see a decrease in containers and as a result, in the future we will see a massive raft of blank sailings announced," one freight expert tells CNBC.

                                U.S. importers are being notified of an increase in canceled sailings by freight ships out of China as ocean carriers try to balance the pullback in orders resulting from President Trump's tariffs and the escalation of tensions in the trade war.

                                A total of 80 blank, or canceled, sailings out of China have been recorded by freight company HLS Group. It wrote in a recent note to clients that with the trade war between China and the U.S. leading to a demand plummet, carriers have started to suspend or adjust transpacific services.

                                https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/business/money-report/trade-war-fallout-cancellations-of-chinese-freight-ships-begin-as-bookings-plummet/6227862/

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • AxtremusA Away
                                  AxtremusA Away
                                  Axtremus
                                  wrote on last edited by Axtremus
                                  #28

                                  File this under “Trump as a cultural phenomenon,” I guess. Just some online e-commerce platform researcher’s observations on how China’s e-commerce people view Trump:

                                  https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/16/opinion/trump-tariffs-china-ecommerce.html

                                  In China, one of many nicknames for President Trump is Chuan Jianguo. It literally translates as “Trump the Nation Builder.” … The joke is that Mr. Trump … is diligently advancing Chinese interests by causing chaos in the United States.

                                  So perhaps it makes sense that so many Shenzhen merchants seem to admire Mr. Trump as a businessman, if not as a leader. Their affection, as I understand it, is complicated, as their admiration is now tempered with upset at his new tariff regime. ... But many share a sense that, however painful they may be in the short term, the tariffs will eventually spur China to assume its rightful place as the world’s leader and the beacon of a new phase of globalization that’s no longer centered on America.

                                  And then there is this:

                                  On Taobao, a Chinese domestic e-commerce platform, you can buy a ceramic statue of Mr. Trump to bring good luck to your business.

                                  IMG_0121.jpeg

                                  Search for “xitian dongfo trump” if you want to find one on Amazon. Though the versions on Amazon would more likely be resin rather than ceramic.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • HoraceH Horace

                                    Maybe Nigeria can export its culture to the rest of the continent. I mean, I don't know anything about Nigerian culture, other than how well its representatives do in the west, but I'm assuming.

                                    W Offline
                                    W Offline
                                    Wim
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #29

                                    @Horace I have my doubts....

                                    https://globalchristianrelief.org/christian-persecution/stories/palm-sunday-attack-nigeria/

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • taiwan_girlT Offline
                                      taiwan_girlT Offline
                                      taiwan_girl
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #30

                                      As good a place as any to put this article

                                      https://www.aol.com/finance/huge-decline-la-port-hit-094500870.

                                      alt text

                                      On Thursday, the founder of a media firm that tracks shipping trends reported that daily volumes this week are equivalent to Thanksgiving and Christmas Day—the two slowest shipping days of the year. The founder, Craig Fuller, also warned truckers to avoid hauling shipments to Los Angeles since they would likely have to “deadhead” back home—the industry term for driving an empty load

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • jon-nycJ Offline
                                        jon-nycJ Offline
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #31

                                        So much winning.

                                        Only non-witches get due process.

                                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • kluursK Offline
                                          kluursK Offline
                                          kluurs
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #32

                                          Nuther thing that is landing is that on Friday, the de minimus (items less than $800) is eliminated which means that a huge amount of trade that was excaping the tariffs will be affected - only about a gazillion pieces per year. It will affect a lot of businesses.

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