How October 7th, 2023 is shaping the 2024 election
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What is ambiguous about Jewish space lasers? Or money-changing globalists?
"You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
-Cormac McCarthy -
@jon-nyc said in How October 7th, 2023 is shaping the 2024 election:
What is ambiguous about Jewish space lasers? Or money-changing globalists?
Nothing. Nothing new, either. That shit’s been going on in the extremes of both parties since well before Donald Trump.
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@jon-nyc said in How October 7th, 2023 is shaping the 2024 election:
What is ambiguous about Jewish space lasers? Or money-changing globalists?
MTG is clearly a theorist of Jewish conspiracies, but the guy who said something about soros being a money changing globalist, is a mainstream Republican in his support for Israel. If he's an anti-semite, he's doing it wrong. Much like Israel does genocide wrong, and white supremacists do white supremacy wrong.
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@jon-nyc said in How October 7th, 2023 is shaping the 2024 election:
Results from the actual poll. Interesting numbers that LD omitted are the Jews who normally vote R but will vote D this time.
Even if there are 4 of Jewish voters that were dropping support for Trump, it’s still a new loss of well over 10% of the Jewish support for the Dem leadership. That is extremely significant, and is unsustainable for their traditional voting block. Everything I read says the Dems need to maintain X% of Jewish voters, Y% of Blacks, Z% of Hispanics. Losing any one of those spells defeat. Yet all of the crosstabs suggest they are losing ALL of those demos. So where are the replacement votes coming from? I strongly suspect nowhere, and we’re seeing an LV error by the various polling groups.
@LuFins-Dad said in How October 7th, 2023 is shaping the 2024 election:
So where are the replacement votes coming from? I strongly suspect nowhere, and we’re seeing an LV error by the various polling groups.
College educated whites broke for Hilary by +6 and Biden by +9. Harris has them by +18.
Probably more women generally due to Dobbs.
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If Harris wins a close one, it will be reasonable to attribute her win to SCOTUS' overturn of Roe v Wade.
@Horace said in How October 7th, 2023 is shaping the 2024 election:
If Harris wins a close one, it will be reasonable to attribute her win to SCOTUS' overturn of Roe v Wade.
I think that is true. That is why Republicans are "talking back" a bit their stand on abortion.
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