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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Well, that was blunt.

Well, that was blunt.

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  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    Personally I’m fine with voter ID laws, but it’s still worth posting the counterpoint, since Musk is obviously wrong again.

    AxtremusA Away
    AxtremusA Away
    Axtremus
    wrote on last edited by
    #4

    @jon-nyc, just curious … how closely do you follow Yann LeCun?

    1 Reply Last reply
    • jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nyc
      wrote on last edited by
      #5

      Never heard of him/her. Someone I follow on twitter retweeted it

      "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
      -Cormac McCarthy

      AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
      • JollyJ Offline
        JollyJ Offline
        Jolly
        wrote on last edited by Jolly
        #6

        Here's the link within the cited rebuttal:

        https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/challenge-obtaining-voter-identification

        I'm sorry, but that's mostly BS. A picture ID is required to buy alcohol, cigarettes, to apply for Medicaid or Medicare, to apply for welfare or food stamps, to apply for Social Security, to drive a car, to fly on a commercial airplane, and to buy a gun.

        Their argument is that it's just too hard for some people to obtain a photo ID in order to vote. If that's the case, how are these people doing anything in modern life? They aren't able to drive, buy a bottle of cheap wine, apply for welfare and Medicaid, but we need desperately for them to vote?

        That's weak sauce, folks...

        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

          Never heard of him/her. Someone I follow on twitter retweeted it

          AxtremusA Away
          AxtremusA Away
          Axtremus
          wrote on last edited by
          #7

          @jon-nyc said in Well, that was blunt.:

          Never heard of him/her. Someone I follow on twitter retweeted it

          Thanks. I am not familiar with LeCun's political activism, but recognize him as a geek celebrity -- a towering figure in the A.I. / machine learning field. Turing Award winner. Chief AI Scientist at Meta/Facebook AI Research. Instrumental at developing and open-sourcing the LLaMA large language model which gave the field a big boost.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ Offline
            jon-nycJ Offline
            jon-nyc
            wrote on last edited by
            #8

            Wow

            "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
            -Cormac McCarthy

            1 Reply Last reply
            • HoraceH Horace

              I have a dumb question. If you don't need to supply ID when voting, what's to stop a person from voting more than once?

              I guess they just check whether a registered voter self-reported as voting more than once. So the trick to voting more than once, is to vote as a registered voter who didn't vote, and also vote as yourself, showing ID neither time. This seems a low-risk felony to commit. I bet the statistics of double-voters (most of which are presumably attempted felony voter fraud) aren't reported. And of course when it works, that's not reported either. But we confidently say there is no appreciable voter fraud. How do we know?

              HoraceH Offline
              HoraceH Offline
              Horace
              wrote on last edited by
              #9

              @Horace said in Well, that was blunt.:

              I have a dumb question. If you don't need to supply ID when voting, what's to stop a person from voting more than once?

              I guess they just check whether a registered voter self-reported as voting more than once. So the trick to voting more than once, is to vote as a registered voter who didn't vote, and also vote as yourself, showing ID neither time. This seems a low-risk felony to commit. I bet the statistics of double-voters (most of which are presumably attempted felony voter fraud) aren't reported. And of course when it works, that's not reported either. But we confidently say there is no appreciable voter fraud. How do we know?

              I also read that if you vote twice, they take the first vote. So if you want to vote for someone else, just vote early, and your fraud vote cancels their real vote. I mean, I know that this never happens, because all the smart people know it never happens, but I'm at a loss as to how we know it never happens, and how we enforce that it never happens. But definitely I know it never happens. Because I'm smart.

              Education is extremely important.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • CopperC Offline
                CopperC Offline
                Copper
                wrote on last edited by
                #10

                I have never, in the last 40 years, seen a story about someone whose vote was suppressed.

                I think there is no such thing.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • HoraceH Offline
                  HoraceH Offline
                  Horace
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #11

                  The AI genius cites the study about 10% of people not having ID, and conflates it with the notion that 10% of people would like to have ID, but don't, because it's too inconvenient to get ID. That seems a rather tenuous assumption.

                  Education is extremely important.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • HoraceH Offline
                    HoraceH Offline
                    Horace
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #12

                    The overview of the difficulties people face in getting their free photo ID, rests entirely on living > 10 miles away from the nearest ID-providing office open "more than 2 days a week". So, they could live next door to an office that provides free photo IDs twice per week, but they would be counted as someone facing prohibitive difficulties getting a free ID. I hope the AI genius' AIs draw better conclusions than he does. He is well and truly lost in his righteous tribalism.

                    Education is extremely important.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • HoraceH Offline
                      HoraceH Offline
                      Horace
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #13

                      I'm glad for this thread. Now for the first time I have a pretty confident opinion about voter ID. And I'm confident that all the best arguments against voter ID are complete garbage.

                      Education is extremely important.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • HoraceH Horace

                        I have a dumb question. If you don't need to supply ID when voting, what's to stop a person from voting more than once?

                        I guess they just check whether a registered voter self-reported as voting more than once. So the trick to voting more than once, is to vote as a registered voter who didn't vote, and also vote as yourself, showing ID neither time. This seems a low-risk felony to commit. I bet the statistics of double-voters (most of which are presumably attempted felony voter fraud) aren't reported. And of course when it works, that's not reported either. But we confidently say there is no appreciable voter fraud. How do we know?

                        jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #14

                        @Horace said in Well, that was blunt.:

                        I have a dumb question. If you don't need to supply ID when voting, what's to stop a person from voting more than once?

                        Everywhere I’ve voted they look up your registration in a book, and you sign next to it before they give you a ballot. This provides signature verification as well as checking off that you voted.

                        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                        -Cormac McCarthy

                        HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                          @Horace said in Well, that was blunt.:

                          I have a dumb question. If you don't need to supply ID when voting, what's to stop a person from voting more than once?

                          Everywhere I’ve voted they look up your registration in a book, and you sign next to it before they give you a ballot. This provides signature verification as well as checking off that you voted.

                          HoraceH Offline
                          HoraceH Offline
                          Horace
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #15

                          @jon-nyc said in Well, that was blunt.:

                          @Horace said in Well, that was blunt.:

                          I have a dumb question. If you don't need to supply ID when voting, what's to stop a person from voting more than once?

                          Everywhere I’ve voted they look up your registration in a book, and you sign next to it before they give you a ballot. This provides signature verification as well as checking off that you voted.

                          Yes I mentioned this in the rest of that post. I know you probably skip my posts longer than two sentences as a rule, but they are often extremely informative, so you're really missing out.

                          Education is extremely important.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • HoraceH Horace

                            I have a dumb question. If you don't need to supply ID when voting, what's to stop a person from voting more than once?

                            I guess they just check whether a registered voter self-reported as voting more than once. So the trick to voting more than once, is to vote as a registered voter who didn't vote, and also vote as yourself, showing ID neither time. This seems a low-risk felony to commit. I bet the statistics of double-voters (most of which are presumably attempted felony voter fraud) aren't reported. And of course when it works, that's not reported either. But we confidently say there is no appreciable voter fraud. How do we know?

                            jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nyc
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #16

                            @Horace said in Well, that was blunt.:

                            I guess they just check whether a registered voter self-reported as voting more than once. So the trick to voting more than once, is to vote as a registered voter who didn't vote, and also vote as yourself, showing ID neither time. This seems a low-risk felony to commit.

                            I don’t know how low it is. The people in my town that work the polls are local. They may well know Joe Smith when I pretend to be him.

                            What it is, however, is a felony with zero reward. Adding one vote to the total gives you nothing. Voter fraud that requires actual humans faking registrations or faking names doesn’t scale well. To have an impact you’d need thousands of participants at which point the odds of it getting discovered approach 1.

                            "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                            -Cormac McCarthy

                            JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                            • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                              @Horace said in Well, that was blunt.:

                              I guess they just check whether a registered voter self-reported as voting more than once. So the trick to voting more than once, is to vote as a registered voter who didn't vote, and also vote as yourself, showing ID neither time. This seems a low-risk felony to commit.

                              I don’t know how low it is. The people in my town that work the polls are local. They may well know Joe Smith when I pretend to be him.

                              What it is, however, is a felony with zero reward. Adding one vote to the total gives you nothing. Voter fraud that requires actual humans faking registrations or faking names doesn’t scale well. To have an impact you’d need thousands of participants at which point the odds of it getting discovered approach 1.

                              JollyJ Offline
                              JollyJ Offline
                              Jolly
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #17

                              The Long machine did not hand out bags of cash for nothing. Whether it was buying votes or rigging machines, it was done. There is nothing that man has ever made that can't be cheated.

                              For things as important as election integrity, we have to make cheating as hard as possible.

                              “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                              Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                                #18

                                I can see where handing cash to pastors to get their voters to the polls could be effective, and probably could be done in a way that doesn’t violate the letter of the law. But to try to get thousands of people to sign up for a felony seems really difficult. Inevitably some will refuse and talk.

                                Manipulation at the counting point is different obviously. There you could have a large effect with a handful of people, at least in theory.

                                "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                -Cormac McCarthy

                                taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
                                • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                  I can see where handing cash to pastors to get their voters to the polls could be effective, and probably could be done in a way that doesn’t violate the letter of the law. But to try to get thousands of people to sign up for a felony seems really difficult. Inevitably some will refuse and talk.

                                  Manipulation at the counting point is different obviously. There you could have a large effect with a handful of people, at least in theory.

                                  taiwan_girlT Offline
                                  taiwan_girlT Offline
                                  taiwan_girl
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #19

                                  @jon-nyc said in Well, that was blunt.:

                                  But to try to get thousands of people to sign up for a felony seems really difficult. Inevitably some will refuse and talk.

                                  This. In the age where everyone wants to be famous for 15 minutes it is not reasonable to expect there is massive voter fraud with no one talking.

                                  (BTW, in general, having a photo ID to vote is not a bad idea. I believe that in most (all?) US states, if you cannot get a driver license, you can still get a state ID.)

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