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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. It's gonna be a hell of a day.

It's gonna be a hell of a day.

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  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    Just remember, the stock market is still substantially higher than it was at any point in the Trump administration.

    JollyJ Offline
    JollyJ Offline
    Jolly
    wrote on last edited by
    #16

    @jon-nyc said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

    Just remember, the stock market is still substantially higher than it was at any point in the Trump administration.

    Higher than it was under FDR, too.

    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

    1 Reply Last reply
    • JollyJ Offline
      JollyJ Offline
      Jolly
      wrote on last edited by
      #17

      I don't think this is a minor correction. Recession on the way, if it ain't already here.

      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

      1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
        #18

        You’ve been wishcasting a recession since January 21st, 2021.

        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
        -Cormac McCarthy

        JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nyc
          wrote on last edited by
          #19

          I tried to login to vanguard to sell some of those munis while they’re high but the site is having issues.

          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
          -Cormac McCarthy

          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

            You’ve been wishcasting a recession since January 21st, 2021.

            JollyJ Offline
            JollyJ Offline
            Jolly
            wrote on last edited by
            #20

            @jon-nyc said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

            You’ve been wishcasting for a recession since January 21st, 2021.

            And at such an opportune time. 😛😛

            “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

            Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

            1 Reply Last reply
            • taiwan_girlT Offline
              taiwan_girlT Offline
              taiwan_girl
              wrote on last edited by
              #21

              And if the recession happens during the first part of 2025, and President Trump has been elected, then the recession is his fault? LOL

              LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
              • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                And if the recession happens during the first part of 2025, and President Trump has been elected, then the recession is his fault? LOL

                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins Dad
                wrote on last edited by
                #22

                @taiwan_girl said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                And if the recession happens during the first part of 2025, and President Trump has been elected, then the recession is his fault? LOL

                Of course not, but if it doesn’t get fixed by him, then we look for new answers in 2028.

                The Brad

                1 Reply Last reply
                • George KG Offline
                  George KG Offline
                  George K
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #23

                  "Oh no! The assets I don't plan on touching for 20-30 years are worth 2% less than they were yesterday. The sky is falling!"

                  "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                  The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                  JollyJ CopperC 2 Replies Last reply
                  • George KG George K

                    "Oh no! The assets I don't plan on touching for 20-30 years are worth 2% less than they were yesterday. The sky is falling!"

                    JollyJ Offline
                    JollyJ Offline
                    Jolly
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #24

                    @George-K said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                    "Oh no! The assets I don't plan on touching for 20-30 years are worth 2% less than they were yesterday. The sky is falling!"

                    Yeah, but what if this continues? What about us guys with a five year horizon?

                    During Obama, I took a 30-something percent haircut. Took 38 months to get that back.

                    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                    X 1 Reply Last reply
                    • 89th8 Offline
                      89th8 Offline
                      89th
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #25

                      For those with a 5 year horizon, I would hope they aren’t riding with an index fund or similarly volatile portfolio and have shifted into less risky holdings especially after the recent frothy bubble up in values.

                      taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
                      • 89th8 Offline
                        89th8 Offline
                        89th
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #26

                        I’m on summer vacation (shocker, at a lake) so I haven’t really been tracking the news. Probably shouldn't check my accounts.

                        Oops, just did. Woof. As long as they keep going up over the long term… if we get really into deep territory I might even shift some accounts into aggressive mode to ride the eventual rebound that much faster.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • 89th8 89th

                          For those with a 5 year horizon, I would hope they aren’t riding with an index fund or similarly volatile portfolio and have shifted into less risky holdings especially after the recent frothy bubble up in values.

                          taiwan_girlT Offline
                          taiwan_girlT Offline
                          taiwan_girl
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #27

                          @89th said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                          For those with a 5 year horizon, I would hope they aren’t riding with an index fund or similarly volatile portfolio and have shifted into less risky holdings especially after the recent frothy bubble up in values.

                          Agree. Definitely should be agressive if long term view. As your long view gets shorter, become less aggressive.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • JollyJ Jolly

                            @George-K said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                            "Oh no! The assets I don't plan on touching for 20-30 years are worth 2% less than they were yesterday. The sky is falling!"

                            Yeah, but what if this continues? What about us guys with a five year horizon?

                            During Obama, I took a 30-something percent haircut. Took 38 months to get that back.

                            X Offline
                            X Offline
                            xenon
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #28

                            @Jolly said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                            @George-K said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                            "Oh no! The assets I don't plan on touching for 20-30 years are worth 2% less than they were yesterday. The sky is falling!"

                            Yeah, but what if this continues? What about us guys with a five year horizon?

                            During Obama, I took a 30-something percent haircut. Took 38 months to get that back.

                            After Jan 2009?

                            taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
                            • George KG George K

                              "Oh no! The assets I don't plan on touching for 20-30 years are worth 2% less than they were yesterday. The sky is falling!"

                              CopperC Offline
                              CopperC Offline
                              Copper
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #29

                              @George-K said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                              "Oh no! The assets I don't plan on touching for 20-30 years are worth 2% less than they were yesterday. The sky is falling!"

                              At that rate, you will be broke in a few months.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • X xenon

                                @Jolly said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                                @George-K said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                                "Oh no! The assets I don't plan on touching for 20-30 years are worth 2% less than they were yesterday. The sky is falling!"

                                Yeah, but what if this continues? What about us guys with a five year horizon?

                                During Obama, I took a 30-something percent haircut. Took 38 months to get that back.

                                After Jan 2009?

                                taiwan_girlT Offline
                                taiwan_girlT Offline
                                taiwan_girl
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #30

                                @xenon said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                                @Jolly said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                                @George-K said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                                "Oh no! The assets I don't plan on touching for 20-30 years are worth 2% less than they were yesterday. The sky is falling!"

                                Yeah, but what if this continues? What about us guys with a five year horizon?

                                During Obama, I took a 30-something percent haircut. Took 38 months to get that back.

                                After Jan 2009?

                                I think a lot was during President Bush turn. I believe that high Dow Jones during president Bush was 21000 in Sept 2007, and when President Obama took office, it was ~12000, but did do a significant drop to ~10500 in March 2009. Back up to 12000 a couple of months later, and back up to 21000 in Nov 2013

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • MikM Away
                                  MikM Away
                                  Mik
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #31

                                  We've already gotten back more than half of yesterday.

                                  “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                  kluursK 1 Reply Last reply
                                  • MikM Mik

                                    We've already gotten back more than half of yesterday.

                                    kluursK Offline
                                    kluursK Offline
                                    kluurs
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #32

                                    @Mik said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                                    We've already gotten back more than half of yesterday.

                                    In 1929, the market recovered much of the fall - only to fall again. I've sat on some cash because the market seemed high. I suspect Buffet is following my strategy and is waiting for me to make a move.

                                    Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                                    • kluursK kluurs

                                      @Mik said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                                      We've already gotten back more than half of yesterday.

                                      In 1929, the market recovered much of the fall - only to fall again. I've sat on some cash because the market seemed high. I suspect Buffet is following my strategy and is waiting for me to make a move.

                                      Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                      Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                      Doctor Phibes
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #33

                                      @kluurs said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                                      @Mik said in It's gonna be a hell of a day.:

                                      We've already gotten back more than half of yesterday.

                                      In 1929, the market recovered much of the fall - only to fall again. I've sat on some cash because the market seemed high. I suspect Buffet is following my strategy and is waiting for me to make a move.

                                      You know a guy who owns a buffet? How cool is that!

                                      I was only joking

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