The polls are completely fvcked, especially with the 3rd parties and independents.

[jon-nyc]

To me it seems like we basically shook the etch-a-sketch.

Let’s see where the polls converge in a month or so after the country absorbs her VP pick and the convention with its concomitant horrors.

[LuFins Dad]

It’s like the assassination attempt has been buried. Republicans are too busy trying to attack Kamala and not promoting the most iconic moment in the last 40 years.

[jon-nyc]

Two quite historic events in 8 days. Neither has an analogue in 50+ years. It’s really remarkable.

[LuFins Dad]

@jon-nyc said in The polls are completely fvcked, especially with the 3rd parties and independents.:

Two quite historic events in 8 days. Neither has an analogue in 50+ years. It’s really remarkable.

It really is. I do think Trump hurt himself with the VP pick.

[Mik]

Yeah, but the thing is every time you think Trump has shot himself in the foot he comes out stronger.

[Copper]

@jon-nyc said in The polls are completely fvcked, especially with the 3rd parties and independents.:

Let’s see where the polls converge in a month or so after the country absorbs her VP pick and the convention with its concomitant horrors.

The timing was all carefully scored months ago.

It will be like a John Williams Jaws crescendo, we are still working on the initial tuba solo notes.

Link to video

[89th]

There’s still for another historical event if Trump is sentenced to prison. Could be first President to serve from behind bars.

[jon-nyc]

@Mik said in The polls are completely fvcked, especially with the 3rd parties and independents.:

Yeah, but the thing is every time you think Trump has shot himself in the foot he comes out stronger.

Though he’s been a net loser in every election since 2016.

[Jolly]

@LuFins-Dad said in The polls are completely fvcked, especially with the 3rd parties and independents.:

It’s like the assassination attempt has been buried. Republicans are too busy trying to attack Kamala and not promoting the most iconic moment in the last 40 years.

Assassination attempt? There was an assassination attempt?

Lemme check Google.... Damn, I didn't know they tried to knock off Truman. Gee, I hope Bess is okay....

[LuFins Dad]

So Nate Silver is showing Kamala with an even wider electoral vote gap than Joe.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/harris-trump-electoral-college

[Jolly]

I still think she's not well known, yet. As her past political positions become known, her negatives will rise. How that impacts the vote, I'm not sure.

[LuFins Dad]

Again, in a 2 way race, Bloomberg has Trump at 49-46. In a 5 way, it’s Trump 46-45, with RFK getting 3 and Stein getting 1. It seems pretty clear that RFK is dragging votes from Donald, not the Dems…