Here’s the problem with the Dem polling…
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In the 2 way races, Trump is in the upper 40s or lower 50s against Biden. In PA Trump is at 49 vs Biden’s 43. In Michigan, Trump was at 49, Biden at 42. Wisconsin, AZ, NV, all the same. Now, unless you think that there are some Trump voters that are going to switch to Harris, that means that Harris needs to pick up ALL of the undecideds and almost all of the 3rd party votes. She will need all of Jill Stein’s, Cornel West’s, and 2/3rds of Kennedy’s voters. I don’t see that happening.
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@Mik said in Here’s the problem with the Dem polling…:
There is nothing to attract independents other than she's not Trump. I don't think it will work, and I'm not entirely convinced she won't get bounced at the convention.
Who'd they go with then?
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@Mik said in Here’s the problem with the Dem polling…:
There is nothing to attract independents other than she's not Trump. I don't think it will work, and I'm not entirely convinced she won't get bounced at the convention.
That’s just it. There are enough voices saying “slow down for a minute” that I could easily se e them moving to option C, EXCEPT…
Trump is still at 49% and typically outperforms his polls. The Dems don’t have anybody that will pull votes away from him. Even their best options won’t move his numbers. I think they leave Kamala as a sacrificial lamb, the blue wall becomes the senate seats they try to hold, and they save their best options for 2028.
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@Aqua-Letifer said in Here’s the problem with the Dem polling…:
@Mik said in Here’s the problem with the Dem polling…:
There is nothing to attract independents other than she's not Trump. I don't think it will work, and I'm not entirely convinced she won't get bounced at the convention.
Who'd they go with then?
Someone far more centrist and experienced.